Event discussion and analysis for Victoria and Tasmania, including day to day weather.
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Looks like at least a week of cool and damp weather for most of Vic, starting tomorrow with rain barely creeping over the border, but becoming more widespread and significant over the weekend as the low centre nears far East Gippsland. Then a cold front on Monday sets up the remainder of the week for showers and cool/ cold conditions. Rainfall totals look highest for the eastern third of the state, but should be useful follow-up for most after the recent big falls.
Tassie could do okay too, east (ECL) then west (cold fronts).
Looks like a big event for NSW, ok for eastern Victoria and northeast TAS, and showery for quite a few days for western TAS and east central VIC. Not so much elsewhere. The southwesterly part of the system will be very cold and long lived. For quite a while it will be cold for snow on the peaks in both states, but the eventually eventually wraps in warmer air which will wash the cover away.
It certainly looks and feel like autumn this year lasted for about six hours on Monday evening
Looks like a bit of a miss for most on the forum. Good for eastern VIC and northeast TAS and eastern NSW, but rest getting the scrappy showers that make it further west.
Down here in southeast TAS waiting to see how far the rain pushes. Progs range from near 20mm to less than a mm across the greater Hobart area, and don’t really agree on how far south and west the rain will push. Despite the rain last weekend it’s still pretty dry here. Vergetation looks better but deep soil moisture is very ordinary. Could do with a follow-up.
Cold week ahead for early April, but not a lot of rain in it away from the usual wet spots.
4.6mm here overnight and this morning. Probably won't get much more today, and we're on the margins anyway. But east central will likely do well for a while longer and I see the rain has pushed down into SE Tas.
Nice rainy Sunday here, though just light. Most spots scored 5mm in the southeast, but heavy falls in parts of the northeast with a few spots near 50mm for the event.
Rather cold week head. Westerly flow and quite dry air, so rain will be limited to coastal areas, and focused on western TAS and east central VIC.
Picked up 47.25mm here with the Saturday night easterly rain event. Adds to 19mm we got 6 days back to provide the Autumn break for Nth Central Gippsland, soil temp still 18C and grass growth is amazing today.
Expecting another 12mm tonight with the cold front, from tomoz on, cool weather will slow the things down in the paddocks.
Remarkable bay event for parts of central. A warm bay plus cold upper. The bay is still a remarkable 20C so 850Ts of 0C make for an exceptionally unstable airmass.
Nothing much to report for TAS. A few dry coldies. Light dusting on the peaks. Tis a cold dry air ass overall.
The system is destined to form an east coast low off the central coast of NSW with gales, heavy coastal rain and big swell.
We largely missed out on the ECL part of this system, with only 2mm. But a better result with the cold front, bringing 10mm - quite a bit more than the 1-5mm forecast. I do like it when forecast rain totals are underestimated . Hope it's a sign of a shift back to wetter conditions.
(Nice to see a bit of snow on the ground for all the Vic resorts except Lake Mountain.)
jimmyay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 09, 2024 8:47 am
Torrential in bayside earlier.
Rained all night and absolutely bucketing earlier. Feels like we’ve had about 50 mm in Brighton
Yes, inner bayside was in a good position. The city got a quick, isolated dump around 6pm with 12mm. The rainband then really amplified with 3 hours of solid rain here, then bonus heavy showers this morning in the SW stream. Wind chill on the bay is icy
Also worth noting Mt Buller was white early this morning. It's now mainly melted due to warm ground I guess.