Becoming cold, wet and windy: September 17-2?

Event discussion and analysis for Victoria and Tasmania, including day to day weather.

Moderator: Rivergirl

Forum rules
When posting photos, particularly in active breaking weather threads, please link to clickable photos to minimise download issues. For more information, see Posting Photo Guidelines for more information. Threads that are six weeks old or older will be Archived Here
User avatar
hillybilly
Senior Moderator
Posts: 4323
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Ferny Creek 560m and Walkerville 100m
Contact:

Tue Sep 21, 2021 7:55 pm

Chilly max of 7.8C here. Warm air advection kicking in now so expecting a drizzly night.

Looked like about an inch on the ground in Marysville. They have a fascinating micro climate with low level snow quite common as cold air gets trapped in the deep valley. They had a cm or two back in the April cold outbreak which was most unusual for the time of year :D

Could be a second sting in the tail with this system with a dome of seriously cold air passing to the near south of us late Friday. Still attached to the same low. EC has snow to sea level in Tasmania and dropping to about 500m about coastal parts of Vic. A tiny bit further north and it could come good for Vic :?:
BringOnTheCoolChange
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 216
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2014 9:27 pm
Location: East Warburton, Victoria, asl 232m

Tue Sep 21, 2021 11:11 pm

hillybilly wrote:
Tue Sep 21, 2021 7:55 pm
Chilly max of 7.8C here. Warm air advection kicking in now so expecting a drizzly night.

Looked like about an inch on the ground in Marysville. They have a fascinating micro climate with low level snow quite common as cold air gets trapped in the deep valley. They had a cm or two back in the April cold outbreak which was most unusual for the time of year :D

Could be a second sting in the tail with this system with a dome of seriously cold air passing to the near south of us late Friday. Still attached to the same low. EC has snow to sea level in Tasmania and dropping to about 500m about coastal parts of Vic. A tiny bit further north and it could come good for Vic :?:
Would be nice to live in Marysville right now on the other side of the mountains, we are unlucky to be included in Metro lockdown in this part of the Yarra Ranges. Hopefully those vaccination numbers rise quicker than expected.

Blessed to have some snow within the 10km radius though. :D
User avatar
hillybilly
Senior Moderator
Posts: 4323
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Ferny Creek 560m and Walkerville 100m
Contact:

Wed Sep 22, 2021 6:14 am

BringOnTheCoolChange wrote:
Tue Sep 21, 2021 11:11 pm
hillybilly wrote:
Tue Sep 21, 2021 7:55 pm
Chilly max of 7.8C here. Warm air advection kicking in now so expecting a drizzly night.

Looked like about an inch on the ground in Marysville. They have a fascinating micro climate with low level snow quite common as cold air gets trapped in the deep valley. They had a cm or two back in the April cold outbreak which was most unusual for the time of year :D

Could be a second sting in the tail with this system with a dome of seriously cold air passing to the near south of us late Friday. Still attached to the same low. EC has snow to sea level in Tasmania and dropping to about 500m about coastal parts of Vic. A tiny bit further north and it could come good for Vic :?:
Would be nice to live in Marysville right now on the other side of the mountains, we are unlucky to be included in Metro lockdown in this part of the Yarra Ranges. Hopefully those vaccination numbers rise quicker than expected.

Blessed to have some snow within the 10km radius though. :D
Yep. No cases in the Nongs for a year 😢 and still locked up. Does my head in when the eligible in the household have been vaxed for months.
User avatar
hillybilly
Senior Moderator
Posts: 4323
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Ferny Creek 560m and Walkerville 100m
Contact:

Wed Sep 22, 2021 6:15 am

Foggy drizzly night with 3mm more. Clearing now for a day or two. Next front clips us, and touch and go whether we get the really cold air. Currently looks like a near miss. Sea level snow in southern Tasmania if there are showers.
Wilko
Supercell
Posts: 1314
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 12:08 pm
Location: Highett, Vic

Wed Sep 22, 2021 9:24 am

Wow...earth tremor...in Highett..actually whole of Victoria :o
User avatar
Australis(Shell3155)
Supercell
Posts: 2827
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2009 8:05 pm
Location: FTG
Contact:

Wed Sep 22, 2021 9:35 am

Defiantly awake now...

Far out.. not impressed with that feeling..
Tassiedave
Cumulonumbus Calvas
Posts: 977
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2010 11:09 am
Location: Grindelwald Tasmania

Wed Sep 22, 2021 7:14 pm

Tas temps today: St Helens 25.2, Fingal 24.9, Friendly Beaches 23.9, Hobart 22.2, Cressy 20.7, Launceston 18.9
User avatar
hillybilly
Senior Moderator
Posts: 4323
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Ferny Creek 560m and Walkerville 100m
Contact:

Thu Sep 23, 2021 6:58 am

Foggy start to Thursday. Nice day today ahead of a mid arvo front tomorrow. Might get a rumble on the change :D Seriously cold air passing through Tasmania and Bass Strait Friday night into Saturday but looks like missing Vic by about 200km. Snow to sea level in Tasmania’s south. South Vic has snow to about 500m about the coast, so Otways and Prom, but marginal here.

Next week is looking classic La Niña troughy. Guess we will see if that holds.
User avatar
Pengaz
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 195
Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 10:04 pm
Location: Warragul

Thu Sep 23, 2021 8:29 am

We had another 7mm in drizzle which mostly fell overnight on Tuesday, which bumped our event total up to 35.5mm.

September total is pretty healthy now, but think its still just under our long term average so the slightly drier than average year continues for us. Hoping we can score another 10mm in tomorrows front to bolster it a bit further.
StratoBendigo
Supercell
Posts: 2134
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2015 2:18 pm
Location: Kangaroo Flat

Thu Sep 23, 2021 10:33 am

This Sept is just above average rainfall wise, although NW of here it is quite dry.

Next week is starting to look rather promising. Could well be 30mm+, although the Mallee might miss out again.
User avatar
hillybilly
Senior Moderator
Posts: 4323
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Ferny Creek 560m and Walkerville 100m
Contact:

Fri Sep 24, 2021 5:54 am

Cracker of a front today, but sadly just misses most of Vic. Solid snowfalls in Tasmania to sea level in the south. EC has snow in Hobart, which might settle lightly.

We get the change through here about 1pm, then cold air overnight though not like that to the south. Snowfalls dropping to 500-700m. A chance for a bit the Nongs, and does look a pretty good chance for a the Otways and South Gippsland.

Substantial warm rain event next week. Nice wet end to the month :D
Wilko
Supercell
Posts: 1314
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 12:08 pm
Location: Highett, Vic

Fri Sep 24, 2021 9:15 am

Great HB
Looks like a good time to plant those tomatoes :D
BringOnTheCoolChange
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 216
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2014 9:27 pm
Location: East Warburton, Victoria, asl 232m

Fri Sep 24, 2021 1:34 pm

hillybilly wrote:
Fri Sep 24, 2021 5:54 am
Cracker of a front today, but sadly just misses most of Vic. Solid snowfalls in Tasmania to sea level in the south. EC has snow in Hobart, which might settle lightly.

We get the change through here about 1pm, then cold air overnight though not like that to the south. Snowfalls dropping to 500-700m. A chance for a bit the Nongs, and does look a pretty good chance for a the Otways and South Gippsland.

Substantial warm rain event next week. Nice wet end to the month :D
Shall be interesting to see how low it gets around Warburton this time.

Last event was definitely rare, with a little dusting of snow settling in McMahons Creek around 300m asl Tuesday morning.

Image
StratoBendigo
Supercell
Posts: 2134
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2015 2:18 pm
Location: Kangaroo Flat

Fri Sep 24, 2021 8:09 pm

Rain next week is firming up. Could be 25-40mm here. Great finishing rains for crops around here potentially.
snowfall
Cumulonumbus Calvas
Posts: 938
Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2017 7:39 pm
Location: Gisborne South (349m asl)

Fri Sep 24, 2021 8:29 pm

1.4mm here this evening. Nice to have a little cold outbreak anyway, even if it’s not the full blast with snow.
User avatar
hillybilly
Senior Moderator
Posts: 4323
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Ferny Creek 560m and Walkerville 100m
Contact:

Sat Sep 25, 2021 8:06 am

Had a few flurries this morning, along with a heap of graupel. Dipped to 2C with each shower. Another degree or two and would have been a decent cover (again). Nongs used to get a lot of snow, and that final degree or two makes a big difference :( Just shy of 7mm in the gauge.

Reports of flurries to sea level in Tasmania and settling to about 150m. Nice :D Will be there in a few months :D :D :D

Solid potential big rain event for the week ahead with lot of moisture coming in from the north and a low deepening over us. La Niña starting to put on a show :?:
StratoBendigo
Supercell
Posts: 2134
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2015 2:18 pm
Location: Kangaroo Flat

Sat Sep 25, 2021 9:28 am

Just cold, dry, and windy here.

Firming up for quite a rain event this coming week. Classic La Nina trough...
User avatar
hillybilly
Senior Moderator
Posts: 4323
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Ferny Creek 560m and Walkerville 100m
Contact:

Sat Sep 25, 2021 5:43 pm

Chilly 8.2C here today. Had one more wet snow shower just after noon. Started at 7C and finished on 3C. All up 2mm more to add to the 7mm overnight. Looks like a cold night out there.

Time for the new thread :D
User avatar
Petros
Supercell
Posts: 1755
Joined: Tue Dec 01, 2009 6:25 pm
Location: Maffra, Gippsland, Vic

Sat Sep 25, 2021 6:11 pm

3.25mm here over past 48 hrs, jeez it went cold today! After the change hit late morning, temps would have been below 10C for a couple of hours I reckon.

14.75mm tallied for this thread. Things very green here, farmers happy for some warm days, .....whenever that will be!?
Post Reply