A brief hot spell followed by some rain: February 11-13

[hillybilly]

Bit of an inbetween event which might surprise. Winds have now gone northerly ahead of a trough that will move across Victoria on Thursday and Friday. The air is quite hot initially with 850Ts spiking into the low 20s so around 40C in the northwest. The system is tapping a strong feed of tropical moisture with precipitable water values rising to near 50mm later on Thursday so a deep tropical infeed.

There will be a band of rain following the trough, though the forcing isn’t great. Progs showing mostly 5-15mm, though they have been toying with heavier falls. Currently looks like peaking near central into the northeast.

[Adam38]

I love this type of weather, warm and humid with a gentle breeze

[WeatherViewer]

Looking at the long term forecasts, looks as though Summer has finally come to play down here for a while. Nothing extreme though, which is good.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/ea ... ?id=947612

https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/?view=1

[hillybilly]

Sticky 26C in FC yesterday. Some nice Cu bubbling overhead.

Another warm to hot one today followed by a rainband of sorts. Progs jumping around but still looks to peak around central. Not really looking thundery, but rather mainly post trough stratiform rain. Is possible for some embed rumbles and stray cells later this arvo.

[hillybilly]

Sticky 26C here today. Now waiting on the change and some rain. Hoping for 10mm, but might not get there. Guess will see.

Gusty winds atm.

[Adam38]

Had a top of 33c, moderate rain falling here atm with the wind gusty at times.

[Tassiedave]

Tas rain overnight: Meander 66mm, Upper Esk 52mm, Sheffield 47mm, Devonport 25mm, Launceston 20mm, Hobart 7mm

[snowfall]

The rain overnight was somewhat lighter and patchier here than others areas, so only 1.8mm in the gauge this morning. We've had a little bit of light drizzle this morning, but nothing to make much difference. A coolish weekend ahead, but then it looks like a rather hot week coming up next week, especially as we head towards next weekend. We're sitting on just over 11mm MTD and at this stage, it's looking mostly dry for the rest of the month. Hope that somehow changes, but at the moment, the pattern suggests a period of high pressure dominance.

[Wilko]

5mm here overnight
Nice drop before the heat returns

[StratoBendigo]

5.5mm here. Not bad for Feb, our driest month.

Cool and humid now.

[Mike]

7.5mm overnight so pleasant surprise. Woke to reasonably heavy rain in the early hours.

[Didjman]

A massive 1.4mm overnight here!

[hillybilly]

5.4mm. Getting the odd shower this morning so might yet scrape 6mm for the event

Warm to hot week ahead. Pattern shift with lots of rain on the Queensland coast and a block with northeasterly flow for us. Phasing is unfortunate with the tropical low destined to stay marooned over inland SA and decay. Some solid falls through the outback, with many areas getting a fair part of their annual average the past few days. Probably the most impressive is ERNABELLA with near 150mm. Must be some decent runoff happening in the steams up there.

Here’s the Todd River as a distraction...

[hillybilly]

3mm in the gauge this morning. Makes 8mm for the event. Looks like a dull seven to ten days ahead.

[Didjman]

Looks like a dull seven to ten days ahead.

Not if you are into astrophotography as well Having said that - haven't witnessed a good storm for a couple of years at least.

[weathergasm]

Yep, weather looks interminably boring for the next 10ish days. Look on the bright side, no fizzers!

I would hate being a weather nerd based in Melbourne who didn’t have other hobbies

[stevco123]

Finally!!!! Summer is here. A bit late but at least the sting in the heat is starting to taper off a bit... just a bit. In my opinion, the sun in mid to late February starts to be a little more bearable as autumn comes knocking...

[Gordon]

Yep, weather looks interminably boring for the next 10ish days. Look on the bright side, no fizzers!

LOL ... unless of course we are surprised by some unforeseen weather, sort of a fizzer in reverse!

[hillybilly]

Forecasts currently reads like Darwin in the dry No need to check out the numbers as they barely budge. Perhaps a tiny chance of something decent on Saturday. Not sure what the new thread should be called....