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VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

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VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by hillybilly »

A decent front moving up for late on Monday which will bring increasing showers and cold air storms. The system is quite chilly so snow on the alps, potentially dropping to spots like Mt Macedon for a period. It’s mostly showery precip which will favour the wetter spots in the south.

Could be some moderate to locally heavy falls in the Yarra Ranges, Otways and South Gippsland.

The upper trough will eventually sharpen up and see a low develop near the NSW coast which could trigger a second burst of showers later in the week.
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Re: Strong front: October 7-9

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Do I need to bring in wood. ? for tomorrow as today I'm blocking that sun out..
Extremes..
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Re: Strong front: October 7-9

Post by chasersaddict76 »

Yeah cold nights return for me 3c to 7c for week properly heating again ...
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

1.5mm so far,
Nice misty drizzle.
Garden saying thank you, (Weeds too)
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by hillybilly »

4mm of mizzle and drizzle this morning in FC. Was nice and damp out, though not overly cool.

Today looks like an inbetween day ahead of increasing showers late.

BTW bay has just popped up to be warmer than Bass Strait which now means showers coming out of the southwest will get a boost when they move up towards Melbourne. This is the typical spring transition (and is seen with a switch from showers which tend to weaken as they hit the bay to showers which tend to strengthen).

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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by Skywalker »

Another BOM blunder with their forecast. Either that or lazy forecasting once again.

Melbourne area
Partly cloudy with a very high (90%) chance of showers early this morning


:? :dunno:
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by StratoBendigo »

hillybilly wrote: Mon Oct 07, 2019 7:46 am 4mm of mizzle and drizzle this morning in FC. Was nice and damp out, though not overly cool.

Today looks like an inbetween day ahead of increasing showers late.

BTW bay has just popped up to be warmer than Bass Strait which now means showers coming out of the southwest will get a boost when they move up towards Melbourne. This is the typical spring transition (and is seen with a switch from showers which tend to weaken as they hit the bay to showers which tend to strengthen).

Image
Incidentally, the Ocean temp is close to the coldest it's been in 20 years. Similar to 2003 (and 2018 for that matter).
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by Wilko »

Fingers crossed for some sparks tonight over the Bay
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by hillybilly »

Showers thickening up nicely on radar as the front and trough stand up. Tomorrow looks like a classic spring cold outbreak, though not super cold so be more notable for the coldies, thunderies and small hail rather than low level snow.

A few sparks southwest of Melbourne atm.
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-12 2019

Post by hillybilly »

11mm in the gauge this morning. Makes ~15mm for the two days counting yesterday's drizzle. Looks like the main trough is sitting just to Melbourne's west and will flick through for this afternoon. Should make for a nice showery day. Won't be a lot in the north, though the odd shower.

Have added a couple of days to the thread as the cold air lingers, and likely we will see the odd showers through til Saturday evening. It could well be a bit thundery at times.
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by hillybilly »

Scored some cracking showers just after 8am with a quick 7mm and another mm since. Makes for 22mm for the thread now including yesterdays drizzle :D

Pretty hit and miss. Falls across central areas range from 0mm east of Macedon to over 20mm around parts of the Dandenongs and outer Yarra Valley.
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by Skywalker »

Wow, check out that radar. There is more spots on it than a Dalmatian, showers everywhere.
Love it when things go more southerly. :D
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by Gordon »

Not up to those Dandenong totals but 6.5mm to 9am and regular heavy showers since; a fair bit of sleety hail too - current temp is just 6C.

Baw Baw snow cams looking like midwinter! (Feels like it too...)
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by hillybilly »

Nice wintery day in the Dandenongs. Frequent showers with hail and a chilly max of 8.2C. Up to 25.4mm since mid-night with 4.3mm yesterday. Loving it :)

Sharp contrast to the horrible weather to our north with a bunch of early season heat records and locally catastrophic fire weather :(
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by snowfall »

Showery day here today. 13mm so far (including the rain overnight), with a couple of squalls and hail showers this afternoon and a cool maximum of 10.8c. Sure felt lovely and wintry - the wood burner is roaring away! Currently 7c.
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by Didjman »

My wife said she heard on the radio that it snowed in Gisborne.
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Wow... Wet...
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by hillybilly »

Didjman wrote: Tue Oct 08, 2019 7:22 pm My wife said she heard on the radio that it snowed in Gisborne.
Probably hail or graupel. I would put the snow level around 800m, perhaps a touch below with the heaviest showers.

We dipped to 4.5C here, so about 2C too warm. Was plenty of hail showers during the day.
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Re: VIC - Strong front: October 7-9 2019

Post by snowfall »

Didjman wrote: Tue Oct 08, 2019 7:22 pm My wife said she heard on the radio that it snowed in Gisborne.
Yeah, no snow that I saw. Definitely hailed and might have been a bit of sleet when the temp dipped.
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