We camping near Eildon, and that line looks to be building and heading our way.. I have mixed feelings about that, but it will be interesting to say the least. Good tent and cover setup so cant imagine it being too bad ... famous last words.
1mm here Watching a band of storms training just to my west. Not sure if it will slip away or move east. Few falls in the 5-10mm rain showing up over the middle eastern burbs. Other area doing ok is the northeast (as expected).
Sadly another bust for most. Not surprising, but disappointing. I’ve never seen such a shocking run,with last year awful (saved by the freak November and December rainfall), and now back to record (or there abouts) dry again
10mm so far this April. So, it won't be the driest on record, but it will still be much drier than usual unless we get something substantial in the next week and a bit.
Soil very dry a few centimetres below the surface. A week of 20s and some wind will dry it out completely.
I keep hoping that our luck will change, but it feels like we're trying to scramble up a near-vertical sand dune. I mean, the YTD is shocking, even in the areas doing best.
When the **** are we gonna have a good year? It's been a literal decade just about.
Just over 3mm here in the end. Local AWS did a bit better with 5mm. Near miss with some nice storms developing off the backside of the Dandenongs, so could have easily have been 10 or 20mm (but not to be).
Cooler week ahead, with showers becoming more widespread later Thursday and Friday. Could add up locally in the south, but again best goes through Tasmania. Another front about Sunday.
Sean wrote: ↑Sun Apr 21, 2019 11:26 pm
When the **** are we gonna have a good year? It's been a literal decade just about.
You can trace this back to late 1996. Since then we've had below average rainfall the majority of months, with the occasional deluge. No regularity to the rainfall, and the best of it has tended to come from the tropics (think the crazy wet conditions in "summer" 2010/11 and 2011/12, really wet November/December 2017 & 2018).
hillybilly wrote: ↑Mon Apr 22, 2019 6:30 am
Just over 3mm here in the end. Local AWS did a bit better with 5mm. Near miss with some nice storms developing off the backside of the Dandenongs, so could have easily have been 10 or 20mm (but not to be).
Cooler week ahead, with showers becoming more widespread later Thursday and Friday. Could add up locally in the south, but again best goes through Tasmania. Another front about Sunday.
Sean wrote: ↑Sun Apr 21, 2019 11:26 pm
When the **** are we gonna have a good year? It's been a literal decade just about.
You can trace this back to late 1996. Since then we've had below average rainfall the majority of months, with the occasional deluge. No regularity to the rainfall, and the best of it has tended to come from the tropics (think the crazy wet conditions in "summer" 2010/11 and 2011/12, really wet November/December 2017 & 2018).
You are so right HB. I moved to melbourne from the blue mountains at the end of '95 and except for 2010-2012 it has been dismally dry the whole time. Moving up onto mt macedon has been the only saving grace as far as rainfall goes.
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
Work- "Bolobek" at Macedon. 430m
I doubt it. Long term monthly averages show remarkably even rainfall. Not the boom-bust sort of stuff we have been getting since the turn of the century.
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
Work- "Bolobek" at Macedon. 430m
We've been lucky enough to have had a good run here since 2010, including last year (thank goodness!).
However I've never seen a flash drought like the one that's hit us this year - that's only 22 years of records admittedly, but still, it is just incredible how fast and hard it's happened. Basically negligible rain for almost 4 months (no double figure daily totals at all, among other mini-records).
As an aside, the BOM rainfall outlooks have been consistently pathetic - as if anyone needs reminding. Why such poor information continues to be published, I do not know.
I actually had a look at BoM data recently on this long term topic at the nearest long term station to here, Malmsbury reservoir dating back to 1872. Here are the driest starts to the year in order. 2019 is currently 14th associated with this BoM data.