The Australian Weather Forum

Looks good. Pretty classic autumn break, fingers crossed. Does look best for the western half of Victoria, and northeast and southwest Tasmania. System forms a low in the Tasman which may well spread easterlies showers south into next week.

Picked up a mm on Tuesday. Was locally up to 10mm in the hills in southern Tasmania, but not much on the flats. Been out hiking so slow on the reports.

Here is the Tarn Shelf and Mt Field West on Wednesday. Did a 25km 1000m climb/loop including Mt Field West which is one of the prettiest mountains ...

Good to see decent falls tucked in on the south side of the divide in central and for Gippsland, but bust elsewhere. Just struggling to rain atm despite all the climate rivers being very normal :( Autumn is just not the season it once was for the southern mainland.

Fortunately next system showing ...

Bit of fizzer on the back end of this system. Just 1mm more here, and 11mm for the event. Worse for central Victoria with zilch in many spots. Will see some showers wrap around today as the strengthens off Sydney.

New system coming in quickly. Be here by Thursday. That one looks much better for ...

Will order another load of water, cannot hang out, hoping for later next week, to be let down once again, hopefully by doing this, it will break our cycle, :? Nothing in the gauge here either, just want this summer of hell, and dryness to end.


I’d wait to Thursday. Be unlucky not to get 10-25mm ...

Good to see solid falls in SA this afternoon. Not everywhere but the hills behind Adelaide have done well as has the southeast. Both areas have been suffering terrible drought. Down here, 3mm so far today, 10mm for the thread. It’s calm and very humid with a 16C dewpoint atm and quite unstable ...

Rained all night here but never quite got going. 7mm in the gauge. Still light rain this morning. Most falls in the 5 to 10mm range across TAS. Mild and muggy with tropical moisture spilling south.

System has been another dud tbh overall. Still more to come but messy and patchy. Will be decent ...

Raining steadily here in southern Tasmania this evening after a warm murky days. We do need a tank top up and farm dams down here are all pretty low so fingers crossed it rains all night. Further north you get the patchier. Victoria is going to be a mixed bag with good falls in Gippsland, patchy ok ...

Would expect just about every run of days above record has fallen this month now. Insane weather for six weeks from winter. Nice beach weather, well except on the east coast where waves are riding record high sea levels and causing massive erosion. Definitely not wise to live on sand dunes in a ...

Adelaide average this April 27.2 - April avge is 22.2. The last 8 days have been over 28 degrees. I know a lot of people now are shy about highlighting weather extremes on social media for fear of being attacked by hordes of people who don't believe in climate change. Some of whom can be really ...

Progs probably looking better tonight but still a big spread. Not very confident on details, but tending to think about 20mm here. Western Victoria also looks pretty promising. Will all bomb into a deep low off the NSW coast so risk of more serious wave damage up there.

Meanwhile heat rolls on with ...

Messy system coming up which might ease the current dry conditions impacting much of southeast Australia. Very complicated with an initial weak low drifting southeast of Tasmania then an approaching front which cuts off and eventually forms a low somewhere near Bass Strait. Finally a third low ...

Geez it’s hard to read the models for the weekend. Guess a thread, for something that could give us all 2mm or 25mm. Heavier falls likely for Gippsland and western Tasmania. Before then a couple more warm, almost hot days for much of the southeast. If the coming system doesn’t deliver April’s going ...

12z GFS has a spectacular Anzac Day special - deep trough, bombing Low, alpine snow, Autumn break for Western Vic. EC has a ridging High and clipper front.


Almost time for a new thread. Progs are pretty jumpy but does look like an autumn break of sorts for much of Victoria. Might slip under ...

Very welcome 12mm here overnight. Pretty general 10-20mm which will be very welcome after a very dry three month. We were getting close to to having to order water which cost ~$150 a load so good timing.

Scraping Gippsland but won’t make it further north.

Cooler day today, actually quite cold ...

Wow nearly 900mm ytd. Half you luck

Warm one here today with 23C. A bit of rain but mostly shreaded so far. Should thicken up tonight down here, but not quite sure when ti trust the rain forecasts as stalled fronts can be fickle - in the right spot can pour down but a bit north or south and you miss out.

Hot on the mainland ...

Warm one today for the mainland. Bit cooler for Tasmania with rain developing. Unfortunately most that rain slips just under Victoria. There’s an excellent tropical infeed but it just doesn’t connect for the mainland.

Will be pretty windy pre trough with some fire weather warnings posted. Bit of ...

Nice day here today but hazy. Max of 21C. Looking forward to some rain here tomorrow. That front will scrape South Gippsland but not get any further north :( On the mainland temperatures are far too warm for the time of year. Widely running 10 to 15C above average.

Signs that we might see a break ...

Seems like all of southern Vic is trending towards drought, the past 2 years. I suppose timing is right for a drought too. It's been 'wet' since 2011 (so 14 years). Previous to that, the millennium drought lasted for about 15 years (from 1996ish to 2011).


Unfortunately Victoria hasn’t been wet ...