The Australian Weather Forum

Some big falls under that band of storms but somehow managed to miss areas north of the city

Humid with showers and storms today for the mainland. Fine and mild for TAS.

Next few days are messy with poor consistency between models and models runs.

System is now focussed in SA with the troughs moving west. Huge falls out there. Some December records already fallen. Cool maxima with all the rain out there. Weather turns hot for much of VIC and warm for Tasmania from Monday. Will pop into the low 40s in the Mallee. Showers and storms will be spa...

Handy 7mm overnight in southeast TAS. Mostly cleared now. Today is mainly a western and central VIC day with a stalled cloud and rainband, with a narrow area of good falls. Expecting locally 25mm+ where the band settles. Nasty heat in NSW. Yesterday’s cloud was a bit more persistent than expected. S...

Hot day ahead for much of VIC, and warm for TAS. Rain building late. The band will be split in two parts. One runs through TAS today with a swathe of 10-25mm. The second through VIC from late arvo through middle of tomorrow. That one is narrow and slow, so will be locally heavy, but as it weakens as...

Progs backed off a little, but still looks solid. One part that slipped a bit under the radar is the heat. It mostly stays north of Victoria, but the Mallee will fry on a few days. Close to 45C on Friday, and then a couple of days into the low 40s next week. Horrid conditions in NSW where some spots...

This one again looks impressive and very long lived. Days of humid weather. Starts with showers and rain then sorta clears, then showers and storms return in waves. Should deliver for all of southeast Australia, and be heavy out in western Vic and South Australia which is a bit unusual. We are stuck...

Such a great system for topping up the dams, creeks and giving the gardens and forests a drink. Should make for a nice start to summer. Not as great down here. Few spots got 50-100mm, but most was a bit of a struggle. 30mm here in Howden. Progs look pretty dull. Maybe shower from about Thursday. Cou...

One last burst of showers tending to rain today for vic. A weak upper low will support a period of southeasterly upslide, which I expect will target particularly west Gippsland. Probably more flooding issues. Quite remarkable really for a positive IOD moderate El Niño. Expecting showers here in sout...

Not really Tas’s system. Quite unusual to get such a persistent block just sit at the same latitude like this. We’ve had days of humid easterlies but mainly trade wind type showers that build up overnight and early morning, then fade in the arvo. Only 3mm so far for this part down here, though much ...

Heaps of November records falling with this event across southern NSW then onto the south coast. Expect a few spots in the area near Eden have all ready gone over 400mm. Will wait to see when the obs come in at 9am. Would not be surprised to see the NSW November record fall with this. Just crazy. Fo...

Today looks to be focussed on South Australia and near the Murray as the upper low edges through southern NSW. Further south showers spread east to west across southern VIC and eastern Tasmania. Think this will be a big one for south coast NSW and Gippsland. Elsewhere will depend a fair bit on detai...

Took a while to get going in southeast TAS, but basically hasn’t stopped raining now for 24 hours. About 25mm at home, and locally near 70mm in the foothills of Wellington. Turning around a very ordinary start to the month. Very wet week coming up for most of southeast Oz, particularly if you have e...

Rainy Saturday for southern and eastern TAS. Best falls were to the north and east of Hobart. Wasn’t well picked by the progs with a little low forming in the trough close to the Tasman Peninsula. Messy slow clearing trend then the next trough comes in mid week. The whole system doesn’t really clear...

Some remarkable totals scattered around today, perhaps most notably Naracoorte with near 120mm in 30 hours. It’s broken both its wettest November day on record and November monthly record. Melbourne looks to have picked a hole in the bank with the trough coming too late for storms to hold. TAS is ru...

Progs sorta wriggled off this system, but now seem to have settled down. Main event for Victoria is Friday and Saturday, with rain tending to build during the afternoons and fade during the morning. Widespread 20-50mm. Tasmania see it about 12 hours later. Definitely need something solid for eastern...

A substantial system showing up in the progs with an upper trough to the west and easterlies at the surface with a deepening trough which eventually forms a low near southeast Australia. It becomes increasingly humid and showers and storms slowly spread south and west as the week goes on. For Melbou...

A cool cloudy few days in southern TAS but potential rainfall largely fizzed. Fortunately have a real event brewing now for the last week of November. Do need a system to round out the month. Is going to be a big system for most of eastern Australia.

Got a couple of coldies here yesterday, though overall the system was too westerly for here. Heavy showers about the far southwest and Bruny but not much else. Kunanyi scored a few heavy snow showers, but only settled for a few minutes. Troughs for most days in the next ten days but not much in it. ...

Bit of an in between system with a series of weak troughs for late in the week into next week. Will be mainly a QLD and NSW system, but Vic and TAS both get a bit. Pretty mild overall for the southeast, and not much rain, but being slow moving and quite humid some will do ok. Will get hot late next ...

Topped out at 24C down here on Friday. Nice day. Lots of early season records in SA. Adelaide’s 40.3C was an equal early season record, but much warmer in some of the suburbs up to 43C. Regional spots broke lots of records. VIC and TAS mostly missed it which is not a bad thing :) Struggling to see m...

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Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Re: Becoming humid with showers, storms and rain: November 22-30

Re: Becoming humid with showers, storms and rain: November 22-30

Re: Becoming humid with showers, storms and rain: November 22-30

Re: Becoming humid with showers, storms and rain: November 22-30

Re: Becoming humid with showers, storms and rain: November 22-30

Re: Becoming humid with showers, storms and rain: November 22-30

Re: Becoming humid with showers, storms and rain: November 22-30

Re: Becoming humid with showers, storms and rain: November 22-30

Re: Becoming humid with showers, storms and rain: November 22-30

Becoming humid with showers, storms and rain: November 22-30

Re: Series of weak troughs with some showers and storms: November 17-22

Re: Series of weak troughs with some showers and storms: November 17-22

Series of weak troughs with some showers and storms: November 17-22

Re: Cool start to November followed by an extended warm spell: November 1-10