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by hillybilly
Thu Feb 22, 2024 7:53 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28
Replies: 21
Views: 1003

Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28

Utterly horrible day here. 36C, Smokey skies from a big fire in the upper Derwent Valley and gusty swirling winds. Starting to look a bit b grade disaster movie around here with every thing crisped right off now with almost no rain for a month. Nasty back in VIC, though a lucky few got a storm. Some...
by hillybilly
Thu Feb 22, 2024 6:50 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28
Replies: 21
Views: 1003

Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28

Hot one yesterday here with 29C. Expect about 34C here today which will be the high point for summer. Horribly dry here now. Hobart is currently running driest February on record, while weve had 8mm so not as bad but still grim. Late change for all of us. Looks like 7pm give or take for Melbourne an...
by hillybilly
Wed Feb 21, 2024 6:25 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28
Replies: 21
Views: 1003

Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28

Good to see some get lucky yesterday. Down here mid level rubbish killed the convection just after noon. Heavy falls for the northeast corner of TAS. Those storms for Victoria were remarkable. Pulse storms with slow movement so hit and miss. Odd spot around 40mm but neighbouring suburbs seeing zero....
by hillybilly
Tue Feb 20, 2024 6:50 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28
Replies: 21
Views: 1003

Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28

Warm one today. Chance of showers for eastern VIC, and maybe the odd rumble. Quite widespread but hit and miss showers and maybe the odd rumble for TAS. Not a lot in it, but anything is welcome.
by hillybilly
Mon Feb 19, 2024 6:36 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28
Replies: 21
Views: 1003

Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28

Looks like a long warm to hot and mostly dry sequence head. Shots of fairly hot air, though fortunately we escape the record heat that sits over WA. Looks like it will cap off a very dry and hot month for most of us. Not really seeing much rain. Odd shower for eastern areas initially, then the odd s...
by hillybilly
Mon Feb 19, 2024 6:33 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2153

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

Struggling a bit to find a thread worthy sequence in the progs. Just boring warm to hot weather. Guess that’s what it is.

Getting seriously dry here now. Most of VIC is better, though the west is dry.
by hillybilly
Wed Feb 14, 2024 6:36 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2153

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

Was in Canberra yesterday. Crazy storms with big delays in the air. Coming into Hobart late we ran into squalls and missed our landing and had to go around. Two hours late in the end :( Max of 25C for us in Howden with a welcome 4mm of rain. No drought breaker, but tops the tanks up a touch and fres...
by hillybilly
Mon Feb 12, 2024 9:36 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2153

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

Stinker for most of Victoria, many places warmer than expected. TAS a mixed bag with stiff sea breezes keep coastal spots in the low 20s with 30s just inland. No complaints at home where it peaked at 24C🤗 Tomorrow looks horrible in VIC. High 30s to 40s, dry air, nasty gusty winds and a late change. ...
by hillybilly
Mon Feb 12, 2024 6:49 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2153

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

Moving into the hot ones. Mid to high 30s most of VIC. Mainly mid to high 20s TAS. Change looks quite strong but won’t have much rain for most. Heavy falls for southwest TAS. Odd shower and storm elsewhere. Hoping to sneak 10mm here, but progs really spraying over a wide range so could be anywhere b...
by hillybilly
Sun Feb 11, 2024 6:33 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2153

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

Nice day here yesterday. Unfortunately had too many nice days with things really browned off here now. Plants starting to get pretty stressed. Warming up today. Should be mid 20s here and 30s for vic. Might nudge 35C locally in southern vic and high 30s on the north. Monday and Tuesday look similar....
by hillybilly
Fri Feb 09, 2024 6:43 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2153

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

25C here yesterday so already quite warm. Another warm one today.

Starts to crank up the heat on Sunday, but not unusually hot.
by hillybilly
Wed Feb 07, 2024 9:08 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2153

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

Slow warming trend from here ahead of a warm to hot weekend, and a hot start to the work week. Pretty likely northwest VIC will see a couple of days near or above 40C. Melbourne, likely mid to high 30s. Change through TAS earlier on Tuesday and about a day later for northeast Victoria. There is quit...
by hillybilly
Wed Feb 07, 2024 9:04 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 1856

Re: A hot start to February with gusty winds.

Probably time for a new thread. Quite warm then a strong front. Could be a rainband with storms on the front, but progs are pretty jumpy.

Melbourne is pretty likely to see two hot days, but probably fall short of 40C again.
by hillybilly
Tue Feb 06, 2024 5:48 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 1856

Re: A hot start to February with gusty winds.

28.8C was the top here for the event with 4mm of rain. Was hoping for a bit more, but not to be. Still dry here, though mild weather is helping. Very wet on the west coast where some spots have had over 200mm in the past two weeks. Good to see the rain in the northeast yesterday, but overall a dry s...
by hillybilly
Sun Feb 04, 2024 7:24 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 1856

Re: A hot start to February with gusty winds.

42.5C at Walpeup the top for VIC, and 39.1C at Point Cook the top for the Melbourne metro. Pretty typical February stinker. Will be short lived with the change slowly pushing in. Almost fine for the south, but the northeast will get some rain from the ex-TC. Quite a different day down here. Had a ma...
by hillybilly
Sun Feb 04, 2024 8:26 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 1856

Re: A hot start to February with gusty winds.

Stinker today for VIC. Might sneak a 40C somewhere around Melbourne today, but cbd looks like a near miss. Northwest will easily get past 40C. Melbourne historically used to average a 40C about once ever year or two, so nothing too unusual with summer so far, except all that rain which was locally r...
by hillybilly
Thu Feb 01, 2024 6:00 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 1856

Re: A hot start to February with gusty winds.

Progs not really budging. They sped up the change and have now slowed it down. Still think the old 100F looks good for Melbourne. Avalon will turn on one of its most horrible days with gusty winds and a 40C+. That area can really behave like it’s in the middle of the desert under the right condition...
by hillybilly
Tue Jan 30, 2024 6:23 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 1856

A hot start to February with gusty winds.

Classic summer stinker coming up to start the new month. Saturday won’t be too bad, perhaps peaking at high 30s, but Sunday looks quite awful for the southern mainland. Temps into the low to mid 40s in the northwest, touch 40C in the south, and gust windy with a late in the day change. Front looks b...
by hillybilly
Tue Jan 30, 2024 6:20 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 2981

Re: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

Not a lot to report down here with mild to warm days rolling on. Tis worth noting that the climate has reorganised with the SAM dropping back to neutral after two to three months of dominant positive SAM. Means next few weeks will likely be a lot hotter and drier for the southern mainland. Time for ...
by hillybilly
Sat Jan 27, 2024 6:19 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 2981

Re: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

Some amazing totals there 😳 We’ve been stuck down here between the tropical systems to the north and fronts to the south. Been really windy last few days, but most showers being shredded by the ranges. Picked a couple of mm’s so far. Hasn’t been a bad summer here with our total so far almost exactly...