The Australian Weather Forum

Hard to believe but the ECL is going to last until about Thursday. Next low coming from the bight weakens and spins around the top injecting a bit more cold air and dragging it back west. Unfortunately very little rain for the week ahead. Really strange weather patterns atm.

Just a cold blustery one here today. Winds a bit too southerly so showers have really dried out :( Still, interest was with huge waves coming in from the south. Apparently waves topped 7m off the east cost (that is 14m top to bottom). On Hobart’s beaches were the biggest in two years. A lot of beach...

10.1C here today with light showers and mist. Hiked Kunanyi in the morning. Was clouded in super cooled fog with a huge amount of ice. Will posts some photos later. Never seen so much ice. In some spots it was more than 5cm thick built up on surfaces pointing into the wind. Some photos from the moun...

9.4C here yesterday for our second sub 10C max for the week. Today looks similar and Sunday and Monday about the same but wetter. Another 2mm overnight. Month is slowly adding up and should pass average by later Monday :D Melbournes site measures Melbourne temps. That is its purpose. Pointless homog...

Maximum of 10.1 in the city today. Now waiting for some magical air tomorrow morning to somehow blow in before 9am to push "today's" max over that 10.1. Ridiculous way of measuring temps. Should be midnight to midnight If you change the approach you can no longer easily compare values wit...

Melbourne with 10.1C headed for its coldest day in five years. Pretty unremarkable number by historical standards. As a kiddie recall sub 10s happened pretty often, but guess not so much now a day. Southerly to southeasterlies set to persist for another few days, not really clearing to Tuesday. Look...

Coldest day here today in two year with a max of 9.3C. First proper winter day since 2022. Last year was record mild here, so not really that notable but good to reminded that TAS can still do winter. Very slowly clearing, now, but showers won’t leave eastern parts of TAS and Victoria until about Tu...

Cold showery night here with front pushing through. Heavy falls out west which is good to see for the dams after a few pretty dry months. Front pushing through vic with good falls in the usual wet spots. Snow level dropped a lot, down to about 600m here atm. Mainland resorts looking much better, tho...

System really getting shreaded today by the ranges in both Vic and TAS. Drying low levels and weak link to the tropics an issue. Just shy of 2mm here so far. Showery day ahead for most, but not particularly heavy away from the northeast ranges of VIC and western Tasmania. Looks like the low that for...

Just shy of 2mm here overnight. Few coldies around atm so might sneak a bit more. System still looks strong for Tuesday and Wednesday but really poor link to the tropics. Going to mean the mainland away from the usual wet spots is going to struggle again. Starts very mild but eventually gets cool so...

Progs flatten mid week out a bit particularly so for the mainland where it looks like a bust for SA and much of inland Victoria. Guess we will see how it plays out.

Active sequence of weather ahead with an ECL developing the next couple of days, which drifts south allowing a back door front to sneak up for the weekend. This is then followed by a series of strong fronts and a big low. Looks like the first big westerly blow of the year with gales, storm surges, r...

Another mm here with weak onshore flow. Progs are really starting to fire up. ECL for eastern vic followed by a strong backdoor front for the weekend then a big low for next week. Not overly cold for most of it, but otherwise will feel very wintery. New thread time

20mm here yesterday which is our heaviest daily fall for the year :D Very patchy with the northern suburbs of Hobart getting 1-2mm while the hilly suburbs to the south locally got more than 30mm. Easterlies are odd systems as they tend to peak just inland on the first hill with rapid increases then ...

Getting some showers here this morning. Unfortunately the low doesn’t quite make it on the latest batch of progs, loitering near northeast Tasmania before moving southeast. So close, but not close enough :( Expecting perhaps 10mm here but looks like the long dry continues, overall. Better for east G...

Progs wound back and now started to look better for the ECL for eastern Victoria and Tasmania. Big spread though so who knows. Ranges from near 100mm here in the UK to 2mm in the ICON. Expecting around 20mm, but tbh could be anywhere between 10 and 50mm. Still rather dry here so hopefully something ...

Crazy winds here yesterday though not much damage. The Derwent River looked like a hurricane middle of the day with spray in the air, sideways rain and wind waves which were around three feet tall. Not a lot of rain, though didn’t really expect it. Low levels too dry. Now waiting on the ECL. Tis for...

Just crazy warmth here today with temps in the low 20s which are record for two days before June. More like a January day with gusty winds and a few spots of rain. This was never going to be good for southern TAS, but very handy for the north. Good falls norther central and northeast VIC. Bit underw...

Really warm night here with gusty winds and temps around 15C. More like mid January tbh. Rain inbound for most, and should give a break for most of northern Victoria, and be a useful top up for northern and western TAS. Strong rainshadows for both Victoria and Tasmania so will be a lot lighter in th...

Progs are looking good. ECL now sticking in all the models so first a big wet westerly system followed by a complex ECL that comes south and west. Might finally get a big fall down here and finally get some runoff, while croppers on the mainland will finally have something for their plantings. Overa...