The Australian Weather Forum

Sorry for ranting, but its a very valid rant, the inconsistency is the problem. If you update a forecast at 4.30 for next to no rain and "showers" but then almost immediately release a storm warning for the same area for heavy rainfall, then cancel it within the hour...hmm? The pattern long term has ...

storm warning only just got distributed and now its cancelled!....lol

seriously, i cant believe anything thats being spat out of the official channels lately, its now saying 8mm for this area

no storms for here, 0-8mm forecast now

i predicted that days ago!

edit: severe thunderstorm warning now for here for heavy rainfall...?? sure? lets see!

and

forecast

(uhmm report /observation?) updated again at 11.37am.... i guess its anything goes?

Yep, completely backed off. I'm giving reverse psychology a try: if promising models keep letting me down, maybe a downgrade will do the opposite :) . well i havent brought anything in, everythings out to get smashed if we got a storm, so maybe that will work! - maybe i should put some washing out ...

haha now since 9.30am the bom upgraded rainfall for this area again, lol - its a forecast that u can change as it happens, which isnt a forecast, thats a nowcast

Sadly its downgraded just like all before for here, it always predicts armageddon in the future then changes closer and especially the day before.... the models showing all the lightning has vanished almost completely, rainfall levels have been dropped by BOM I tell everyone NEVER take any notice of ...

bom already downgrading friday and sat in latest forecasts, this always happens, i expect it will be nothing like forecast either

not a chance....

Still waiting on "those storms", or even the rain, it was supposed to be heavy rain today? Everyone i know still keeps looking at the forecasts and planning around them, and i keep saying see what happens... I fully expect the deluge forecast for Saturday to change. The models i have been watching ...

So much for storms predicted for all last night and early this morning... the models are totally not to be trusted atm.

We'll see about today but again, i do not think anything will happen

Still hanging out for an actual thunderstorm here, so much humidity and opportunity for one but so much dissapointment. Interesting today there was a severe thunderstorm warning for north of here in a little circle, i looked and looked at it and thought it couldn't be as there was no lightning or ...

That was nice to see some lightning to the north, not at all what the models were saying, so be interesting to see what else happens

the bom forecast for here changed about 3 times this morning, initially being fine, last one by late morning now says chance of a storm about the hills... hmm i dont think they know either! during the storm event the other day the specific warnings were a nightmare to follow, they'd warn of a storm ...

5 drops...annnnd its gone! (again)

amazing how they keep tracking (or not) over the same path over and over today what is causing that to happen?

yep I must be jinxed, so many storms and all straight past either side, not a drop of rain!

all sliding past me again, impressive structure on it from the side view

storm just developed near here, few rumbles but it was gone, not a drop with it either - blue sky now

yes it would be good to get some thunder out of all this humidity

Still yet to hear any thunder in any of these storm days, looking good out there but seems i am in a gap so it is going to the west and east of me here