Welcome New Members! We want to hear from you. Register, stop lurking and start posting!

Search found 3414 matches

by Blackee
Tue Dec 03, 2024 9:42 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 54
Views: 3083

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

Yeah NE Vic has been consistently wet since the switch flicked. We got another 20mm this morning from the rainband, taking the total to around 120mm for the last two weeks. Lake Eildon has started filling again after dropping for most of 2024. Hoping Melb gets another good fall this Friday/Saturday ...
by Blackee
Sat Nov 30, 2024 8:27 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 54
Views: 3083

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

About 25 mm here in the NE today. Close to 100 mm for the last week or so. So wet, squelchy wet ground and all gullied flowing. Landscape looking refreshed and thankful. Interesting to see what the wraparound brings this evening from the NW
by Blackee
Wed Nov 27, 2024 5:23 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 7631

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

Just going through round 4 for the day here. Massive rain rates in this drenched atmosphere. The 3pm cell dumped 12mm in 5 mins! Flash flooding all around Elwood and area. Just hit 50mm for the event since it started early this morning. Cells just materialising out of nowhere at times.
by Blackee
Tue Nov 26, 2024 10:37 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 7631

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

Welcome Ryant1234. Yeah those storms bubbling away to Melb's north may make it to town.
by Blackee
Mon Nov 25, 2024 12:42 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 7631

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

Rained most of the night and early morning here. 23mm ETD
by Blackee
Sun Nov 24, 2024 6:32 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 7631

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

Not a fizzer for parts of central, n central and n east. 35mm + falls so far in ne ranges and 14mm here event total and still coming down nicely. Up to 25mm here is forecast tomorrow with possible severe storm. Dew point arond 20c here currently
by Blackee
Sun Nov 17, 2024 2:39 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot and windy followed by a strong front with showers and storms: Nov 16-
Replies: 14
Views: 2750

Becoming hot and windy followed by a strong front with showers and storms: Nov 16-

Nice little burst Bayside has cleared to blue skies. Meanwhile, in Mansfield we had 15mm so far since about 6am. This was on top of a lucky strike on Wednesday when we received a 20mm fall in 20 mins. Back to green for now. Optimistic for tropical moisture toward the end of the month as some models ...
by Blackee
Fri Oct 18, 2024 12:55 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with heat storms and rain: October 16-
Replies: 74
Views: 11809

Developing low with heat storms and rain: October 16-

all this talk of severe storms for many days now in the forecasts but yet to hear one piece of thunder locally, its just been very muggy with rain here and there. Lets see if today delivers, all models said storms through last night but nothing happened. Perhaps wait until this afternoon brings ...
by Blackee
Thu Oct 17, 2024 10:15 pm
Forum: Forum News, Information & Updates
Topic: Exciting changes for the forum.
Replies: 5
Views: 4040

Exciting changes for the forum.

A big thanks to @93ben for the large amount of tech work he has done to sure up the forum for the years ahead, including new site hosting arrangements.
by Blackee
Thu Oct 17, 2024 10:01 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with heat storms and rain: October 16-
Replies: 74
Views: 11809

Developing low with heat storms and rain: October 16-

Ummm...that is a crazy frame!
by Blackee
Thu Oct 17, 2024 9:44 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with heat storms and rain: October 16-
Replies: 74
Views: 11809

Developing low with heat storms and rain: October 16-

Massive plumes showing on the sat pic SE SA/NW Vic look incredible as does the current radar for the same area.

I'm a little concerned for the NE tomorrow. Could the second tornado in a couple of months happen?
by Blackee
Sat Oct 05, 2024 4:00 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Series of fronts: October 4-
Replies: 30
Views: 5320

Series of fronts: October 4-

Wet wet wet here with flangs galore from this latest line. Scored a black core. Easy 6-8mm in it here
by Blackee
Sun Sep 29, 2024 3:10 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Grand Final Weekend front
Replies: 13
Views: 2392

Grand Final Weekend front

Solid rainband over us presently. High country is drier than it should be for now and the lake is dropping thanks to GV irrigation I guess.
by Blackee
Sun Sep 29, 2024 3:09 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Grand Final Weekend front
Replies: 13
Views: 2392

Grand Final Weekend front

Solid rainband over us presently. High country is drier than it should be for now and the lake is dropping thanks to GV irrigation I guess.
by Blackee
Fri Sep 06, 2024 11:04 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Blustery spring fronts with showers: September 5-10
Replies: 44
Views: 6509

Blustery spring fronts with showers: September 5-10

Yeah that early AM temp spike is nuts.

This rain band has been a giver for us so far with about 10mm falling since it started about 6 and still delivering moderate rain presently.
by Blackee
Sun Aug 25, 2024 6:49 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Rain, gales, heat, storms and snow to end winter: August 20-
Replies: 88
Views: 12951

Rain, gales, heat, storms and snow to end winter: August 20-

Tornado or severe microburst just touched down at our Mansfield house. Big trees down, debris everywhere
by Blackee
Sun Aug 25, 2024 2:40 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Rain, gales, heat, storms and snow to end winter: August 20-
Replies: 88
Views: 12951

Rain, gales, heat, storms and snow to end winter: August 20-

Here we go. Blue, warm and sunny in Melb presently. Radar looking more intense from the west with each frame :o
by Blackee
Sat Aug 24, 2024 8:37 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Rain, gales, heat, storms and snow to end winter: August 20-
Replies: 88
Views: 12951

Rain, gales, heat, storms and snow to end winter: August 20-

Indian Ocean SSTa is worth noting. Really warm patch South of India, and a cold patch near Java is having a strong influence IMO. There could be a supercell outbreak in Vic tomorrow afternoon looking at those SRH values... Tornado anyone? You look like being in a prime spot for intense storms ...
by Blackee
Sat Aug 17, 2024 1:28 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Slow moving complex low: August 13-
Replies: 26
Views: 3591

Slow moving complex low: August 13-

12mm here 24hr total in two bursts which was in the forecast range
by Blackee
Fri Aug 16, 2024 2:12 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Slow moving complex low: August 13-
Replies: 26
Views: 3591

Slow moving complex low: August 13-

A heavy rain period lasting 20mins for us up here around 11 but that's it for now. Dry but not ridiculous Mansfield way ATM.

Lake Eildon just under 90% has risen slightly from the seasonal low of 88%.