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- by snowfall
- Fri Apr 19, 2024 9:34 am
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: Another spell of high pressure: April 13-
- Replies: 6
- Views: 418
5.2mm here since yesterday evening, mostly falling as drizzle. Still waiting for a good rain event, but it seems unlikely this month. Interesting that the IOD has entered positive territory. Not sure if it will actually last long enough to be officially declared a positive IOD, but if it does, then ...
- by snowfall
- Sun Apr 14, 2024 9:43 am
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: Another spell of high pressure: April 13-
- Replies: 6
- Views: 418
Yeah there's not much to report at the moment. Looks like high pressure will be dominating for at least the next 10 days, possible the rest of the month. So not a great deal of rain apart from some showers across southern Vic at times, maybe adding up a bit more in areas like east central and Gippsl...
- by snowfall
- Sun Apr 07, 2024 9:26 am
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: ECL and cold fronts 5 April - 12 April
- Replies: 23
- Views: 1024
4.6mm here overnight and this morning. Probably won't get much more today, and we're on the margins anyway. But east central will likely do well for a while longer and I see the rain has pushed down into SE Tas.
- by snowfall
- Tue Apr 02, 2024 10:38 am
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: Slow moving low with rain and storms: April 1-5
- Replies: 60
- Views: 2118
What a night. 87mm here. We were hit hard. Storms were mostly going around us yesterday and, after going into the evening with only 5mm, I thought maybe we might clock about 20mm all up. But it just unleashed with intense rain at times, all going for a solid 6 to 7 hours, plus some additional bursts...
- by snowfall
- Mon Apr 01, 2024 10:59 am
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: Slow moving low with rain and storms: April 1-5
- Replies: 60
- Views: 2118
Nice to finally be on the cusp of something. Everything's looking good for decent totals, with the main event later today and overnight. We've got a strong northerly here, which makes me a little less confident due to the potential for rain shadowing, but hopefully we'll still do OK. At this stage, ...
- by snowfall
- Thu Mar 28, 2024 10:56 am
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: Another long dry spell for most: March 22-
- Replies: 13
- Views: 1052
Yeah it's hard to put much faith in the models next week, especially when we are still quite a few days away and they're jumping all over the place. One thing to note, but still can't be all that confident, is that GFS is at least showing more activity this time. In the past couple of months, it has...
- by snowfall
- Sat Mar 23, 2024 9:55 am
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: Another long dry spell for most: March 22-
- Replies: 13
- Views: 1052
A bit of drizzle this morning, but nothing meaningful.
We really need some rain now. But unfortunately it's still looking dry for the period ahead. If we end up with only 3mm for March, which seems likely, that would make it the driest month I have ever experienced living here.
- by snowfall
- Mon Mar 18, 2024 10:24 am
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: Becoming warm ahead of a stronger cold front: March 16-20
- Replies: 21
- Views: 1241
Yeah it's not looking promising for this week. Maybe parts of the north/north east of Vic might also get a bit. West central and further west is looking mostly dry now. Model runs seem highly volatile at the moment, which is never a great sign. This has been an extreme couple of months. We've had a ...
- by snowfall
- Tue Mar 12, 2024 12:05 pm
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
- Replies: 43
- Views: 2220
19c and dark and cloudy this morning.
GFS is still not interested in much rain this week in Vic, except maybe east Gippsland. Other models are a bit over the place, but have generally downgraded overall. Might be something better in a week's time, but it's a long way out.
- by snowfall
- Mon Mar 11, 2024 12:06 pm
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
- Replies: 43
- Views: 2220
Glad you got some rain HB. A bit of cloud around today, which feels like it's taking the edge off it a bit, although it's still 30c here at the moment after an overnight low of 21c. Hopefully we'll still see some rain on Wednesday/Thursday, but there is a wide divergence between models. In the lates...
- by snowfall
- Sun Mar 10, 2024 10:21 am
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
- Replies: 43
- Views: 2220
24.9c was the minimum here. I'd have to go back through my records, but I reckon it would have been many years since last having an overnight minimum that high, if at all. For the coming week, there's still a fair bit of movement on the models. At this stage, rainfall totals are looking fairly modes...
- by snowfall
- Sun Mar 10, 2024 12:06 am
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
- Replies: 43
- Views: 2220
Adam38 wrote: ↑Sat Mar 09, 2024 7:46 pm
A stinker for March! 39c here with a reasonably highish dew point too. AC will be on all night tonight.
Yep, the aircon will be on all night here too. It’s midnight, and still a crazy 29c…
- by snowfall
- Sat Mar 09, 2024 5:33 pm
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
- Replies: 43
- Views: 2220
As forecast by non-BoM organisations months ago. As I said many posts ago, March is the turning point. La Nina is already forming. Unsure why BoM has gone with a drier than normal 3 months ahead for the whole of Australia. Seems to be their "go-to" forecast these days. It'll just put them...
- by snowfall
- Sat Mar 09, 2024 10:54 am
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
- Replies: 43
- Views: 2220
A very concerning few days ahead with regard to fire potential. Hope everyone stays safe. It's already pushing 30c here this morning. Not too windy at the moment, but will likely strengthen as the day goes on. What a summer. Over the past 6 weeks, we've had just 14mm. During the 6 weeks prior to tha...
- by snowfall
- Thu Feb 29, 2024 10:14 am
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: Becoming hot again: February 26-
- Replies: 21
- Views: 1486
A late max of 33.4c here yesterday, once the cloud cleared. We had a short spell of spitty rain around midday but not enough to register in the gauge. Cool change arrived just after midnight but it still took several hours to take effect. We're only on about 12mm for the month. Very much below avera...
- by snowfall
- Fri Feb 23, 2024 10:12 am
- Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
- Topic: Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28
- Replies: 24
- Views: 1602
A terrible situation with the bushfire near Beaufort, which has already destroyed homes and farms. It would have been an awful, stressful night for people out that way. Hopefully it will get under control today. Unfortunately, it looks like we are in for a repeat next week, especially Wednesday, wit...