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by StratoBendigo
Wed Dec 04, 2024 6:39 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 57
Views: 3281

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

Crazy divergence in forecasts. 0-60mm on Friday. Mad.
by StratoBendigo
Wed Dec 04, 2024 9:53 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 57
Views: 3281

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

We've gone from totally brown lawns to lushness in the past week.

Friday has downgraded, but still a good chance of another 15-40mm here. Farmers are having a tough time trying to harvest damp crops atm.
by StratoBendigo
Tue Dec 03, 2024 2:46 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 57
Views: 3281

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

IC still reckons 60mm here on Friday-Saturday, but significant tropographic influence will make it patchy downwind of the Great Divide again.

Anyway, I will note there has been a notable lack of polar air drifting over us this Spring. The climate seems to go more sub-tropical in summer now...
by StratoBendigo
Tue Dec 03, 2024 10:18 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 57
Views: 3281

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

Being on the Northern slopes has helped us overnight. The strongly -ve IOD has finally kicked in and is having an affect.

Nearly 70mm in the past 10 days. YTD = 520mm at Bendigo AWS.
by StratoBendigo
Tue Dec 03, 2024 9:19 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 57
Views: 3281

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

19mm overnight. Very very humid still.
by StratoBendigo
Mon Dec 02, 2024 10:23 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 57
Views: 3281

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

Bendigo YTD is 497mm which is just 50mm below the Annual mean, so we are closing in and may exceed it in the coming week or so.

Looks like 15-20mm possible tonight, and potentially a very very wet Friday if some of the forecasts verify...
by StratoBendigo
Sat Nov 30, 2024 9:45 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 57
Views: 3281

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

13mm today (all this morning). That makes it 50mm for the past week.

Some rain near Swan Hill/Kerang on the radar. Meanwhile, 18z GFS and IC have little or no rain now forecast for the rest of the week. Very jumpy model outputs.
by StratoBendigo
Sat Nov 30, 2024 5:02 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 57
Views: 3281

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

Today was fairly non-eventful tbh. Tuesday might be a bit stormy.

48mm in the past week.
by StratoBendigo
Sat Nov 30, 2024 10:49 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 57
Views: 3281

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

About 10mm this morning. Now clearing.
by StratoBendigo
Fri Nov 29, 2024 9:22 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 57
Views: 3281

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

Decent storm near Heathcote. Coming in from the East.
by StratoBendigo
Fri Nov 29, 2024 12:44 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 57
Views: 3281

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

Still a huge amount of divergence in forecast rainfall over the weekend. No idea what we'll end up with tbh - 5mm or 60mm? Dunno....

Some weird totals being thrown up. Ie. 226mm near Woomelang on UKMet 18z - yeah right.
by StratoBendigo
Wed Nov 27, 2024 3:00 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 7784

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

Only a few drops of rain with front this afternoon. Nothing of note.

What is of note was the massive 85 km/h wind gust associated with the change. Temp dropped 9 degrees.
by StratoBendigo
Wed Nov 27, 2024 11:45 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 7784

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

Going by the forecast charts, the cutoff Low/inland trough is going to hang around until early next week. A very persistent pattern which will make things quite toasty over the Nullabor later next week.
by StratoBendigo
Wed Nov 27, 2024 10:32 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 7784

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

We've just made it to our monthly November average. Will likely exceed it in the next 3 days.

Sun is now shining....
by StratoBendigo
Wed Nov 27, 2024 8:32 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 7784

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

Cold front is likely to hit around 1pm. The soundings indicate it could get intense.
by StratoBendigo
Wed Nov 27, 2024 7:43 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 7784

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

23mm overnight. 37mm this week. Very damp outside.
by StratoBendigo
Tue Nov 26, 2024 4:32 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 7784

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

I just walked outside and I was like "Hello Sydney! (in February)"...

CBD in town had a couple of mm earlier this afternoon. Nothing at Kangaroo Flat.
by StratoBendigo
Tue Nov 26, 2024 9:47 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 7784

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

14mm since Sunday takes our November MTD to 19mm. Still well below average.

Sun is shining this morning, which is nice. Sydney-ish humidity though.
by StratoBendigo
Mon Nov 25, 2024 7:34 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 7784

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

So far 8mm and light rain at present.

Unfortunately the rain is persistent in the Northern cropping and fruit growing areas. Not good at this time of year.
by StratoBendigo
Sun Nov 24, 2024 6:07 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 7784

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

It's a fizzer. All the rain is to our North. We'll be lucky to get 5mm for the rest of week. All over.