The Australian Weather Forum

As always-not a cracker here, pun intended!

Gordon wrote: Mon Jan 13, 2025 11:53 am Thanks, just had a search. Is it this one? https://weathercams.airservicesaustrali ... ilmore-gap

Yes

Gordon, did you checkout the link to the airport cams?? The one up here is very good for convection / storm watching. Saves a drive! They don't auto refresh though.

Romsey 20 mins west of here got the thunder Macedonian did, but we only got very distant booms or crawler rumbles to the west and south.

Gordon wrote: Mon Jan 13, 2025 11:08 am Hopefully someone will fluke a big storm today!

I reckon my area is due for one! Missed out yesterday BIG time!

Gordon wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 2:30 pm Round 2: thunder and lightning are back, but only moderate rain with it so far.

Hopefully there's something for you at the back end of this Strato?

Me too! 1.2mm here lol-no rumbles

Meanwhile, just a light sprinkle up here! The warm bay has really kicked it of down there! Lines of orange on radar.

Suspect the full cloud might suppress severe storms for west central at least? (Thoughts please Didjman? hillybilly?) But I'll take the rain however it comes!


Depends on instability which may overcome lack of heating. Plenty of moisture obviously. Latest GFS has large areas of -4LIs in west ...

Thunderstorm Forecast
Issued at 6:42 am Sunday, 12 January 2025,
Valid until midnight on Sunday, 12 January 2025.

THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE (>10% chance of thunder within 10km of a point) across most of Victoria, LIKELY (>30%) across most districts except the far west and some coastal areas ...

Could be a good chase day - just waiting for storm forecast. Vertical and horizontal shear is forecast in the upper levels. Good chance of hail (as on aviation forecast), and heavy rain too. Storms will be slow moving so flash flooding is possible.

A trough will be slowly crossing Vic between the above dates. GFS is bullish about Sunday atm with LIs of -6 and Cape above 1400 over a large area from Echuca to Ballarat. It's early days, but if only indicative - could be a great chase day :D One to watch!
https://stormcast.com.au/stormcast.html ...

22mm fell here in Wallan. Biggest single fall since November.

Whats the possibility of the fire getting into the Wombat Forest under the 50k northerly?

We are putting our normal Boxing Day family get together back to the 27th due to expected heat. Will be a bad fire day too!

Maybe some rough weather for the yacht race?

32mm in 24 hrs here

Planning a storm chase Saturday; thinking NE Vic. What do people think?

32mm here - will keep the fires away for a bit longer!

Our son sent us vid of flakes at Romsey but not collecting on the ground. Around 6pm it was -4c at 2000ft above Tulla (don't know if ASL or AGL). I did see snow clouds at that altitude above Wallan, but nothing (snow) reached the ground. Was 5c at 90% humidity so too warm and moist.

Australis(Shell3155) wrote: Sun Sep 01, 2024 5:38 pm Dudes that get out of doing dishes tonight..

We went out to celebrate - but like others, I get my hands wet often too, "Dish Fairy" as we call it
Stay safe all!!