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by stevco123
Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:33 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Vic Trough with possible showers and storms Jan 9-12
Replies: 52
Views: 2060

Vic Trough with possible showers and storms Jan 9-12

That thunder is next level. Been a number of years since I've heard cracks like that in short intervals (less than 30 seconds) and all close by.
Weather porn at its best
by stevco123
Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:18 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Vic Trough with possible showers and storms Jan 9-12
Replies: 52
Views: 2060

Vic Trough with possible showers and storms Jan 9-12


Ballarat forecast just updated: 'The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe, with damaging winds, large hail and heavy falls in the afternoon and early evening.'

The last bit is new - so seems BOM think the worst (best?) is yet to come?


So basically the usual ...
by stevco123
Sun Jan 12, 2025 8:48 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Vic Trough with possible showers and storms Jan 9-12
Replies: 52
Views: 2060

Vic Trough with possible showers and storms Jan 9-12

So basically the usual for Melbourne, like the last 2 days. Move on. Next system please...
by stevco123
Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:22 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot then a low developing with possible showers and storms: January 3-
Replies: 52
Views: 3455

Becoming hot then a low developing with possible showers and storms: January 3-


Nasty numbers around Melbourne. Curious that Olympic park is once again strangely cool. It is a cooler location, but suspicion is that irrigation of sports grounds is lowering temperatures in hot days. You can see this in the dewpoint which is higher than surrounding stations.

Down here a humid ...
by stevco123
Tue Dec 31, 2024 11:41 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot then a low developing with possible showers and storms: January 3-
Replies: 52
Views: 3455

Becoming hot then a low developing with possible showers and storms: January 3-


Unfortunately it looks like another East Coast event. Finished the year at Aireys Inlet with about a third less rainfall than average, 450mm compared to an average of 625mm. That’s nearly the same rainfall deficit as the year before, making two exceptionally dry years. The December temperature ...
by stevco123
Tue Dec 24, 2024 9:09 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot and very windy with bad fire weather: December 25-27
Replies: 22
Views: 3789

Becoming hot and very windy with bad fire weather: December 25-27

Probably not looking as bad as forecast for Thursday to be honest. Still bad, but not THAT bad. Melbourne Probably 35-37 degrees as the cloud moves in sooner.
Only thing I'm concerned about the fire near Mount macedon, on the change. That area is now quite populated
by stevco123
Fri Dec 06, 2024 10:16 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 99
Views: 17460

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-


James Weather forecasting technology and skills are more advanced than ever. That said, it’s unrealistic to expect pinpoint accuracy for your specific suburb, today or a week ago. As I understand it, weather forecasting is less about being "all-knowing at all times" and more about giving the best ...
by stevco123
Mon Dec 02, 2024 6:35 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 99
Views: 17460

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-



The absence of cold fronts seem to be impacting the rainfall patterns of Western Victoria, as they've been doing in South western WA for a while now. Those rain bands that come down from the north rarely deliver for the Surf Coast, although Saturday was an exception. 21mm for November against an ...
by stevco123
Sat Nov 30, 2024 8:50 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 99
Views: 17460

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-


Drizzle picking up here now after a murky humid day. ACCESS-C has about 70mm here tonight so I’ll guess we will see.

Victoria basically tracked as expected. Great to see the Otways get some after a such a dry year. It’s very unstable over Victoria atm so would not be surprised to see rumbles next ...
by stevco123
Sat Nov 30, 2024 12:04 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 99
Views: 17460

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

4mm so far. Just about what i expected. Certainly didn't/ don't expect storms
by stevco123
Fri Nov 29, 2024 7:00 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-
Replies: 99
Views: 17460

Deep low with storms, gales and heavy rain: Nov 30-

Everything depends on the path of the low. Literally by a few kilometres
by stevco123
Wed Nov 27, 2024 5:41 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 16572

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

Seems to be over almost. Wind has turned a cooler southerly,l. Port philip bay surely needs a drink of water, so glad they're copping it
by stevco123
Wed Nov 27, 2024 5:09 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 16572

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

Yeah... a bit meh. Like there's a forcefield. Got a nice downpour but most cells go east or west of us, or come towards me, die, and then redevelop once they pass my area
by stevco123
Wed Nov 27, 2024 2:46 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 16572

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

James wrote: Wed Nov 27, 2024 2:24 pm yes it would be good to get some thunder out of all this humidity :D
Go outside and listen. No storms where i am, but hard thunder a few time. Therefore it's a storm day officially
by stevco123
Wed Nov 27, 2024 7:49 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 16572

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

Let me guess... once this band passes, it'll be a mainly fine day with storms on the eastern ranges?
by stevco123
Mon Nov 25, 2024 10:35 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 16572

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

Hygrometer stuck on 100% humidity the whole day today, even in the CBD. that's gotta be some sort of record
by stevco123
Sun Nov 24, 2024 10:36 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 16572

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

... and to add to the strange weather, we're having what seems like some rare sea fog moving in. Humidity almost 100% and quite breezy out there
by stevco123
Sun Nov 24, 2024 4:20 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29
Replies: 99
Views: 16572

Warm to hot, then rain and storms: Nov 21-29

That humidity is next level. Real Queensland type. HATE IT!
by stevco123
Fri Nov 08, 2024 9:16 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot then possible thundery change: November 2-
Replies: 17
Views: 4595

Becoming warm to hot then possible thundery change: November 2-

Should be the wettest part of the year, but not this year it seems
by stevco123
Mon Oct 21, 2024 2:48 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with heat storms and rain: October 16-
Replies: 74
Views: 17062

Developing low with heat storms and rain: October 16-

I captured this in the morning. Is it the rare Kelvin–Helmholtz cloud?