The Australian Weather Forum

Nice to have at least something on the horizon again. Even a dust-settler would be welcome here.

If ever there was an argument for BOM to split Central into two forecast districts: East Central and West Central, today provides it!

Thanks, just had a search. Is it this one? https://weathercams.airservicesaustrali ... ilmore-gap

That late afternoon cell can't have missed you by much Didjman? Frustrating! Barracking for you today.

Only 8 mm at Mansfield. I was expecting more than that.

At least the Eildon catchment overall got good rain yesterday, with inflows today at 5000 ML/d - not bad for mid-January, even if they don't last.

We finished with 18mm, at the high end for the district (for once)! Heard of one 20mm. Most ...

Round 2: thunder and lightning are back, but only moderate rain with it so far.

Hopefully there's something for you at the back end of this Strato?

dazrain wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:22 pm hammering in Brighton East.

No thunderstorm warning from BOM.

Work experience kids running it.

They must have heard you - STW issued 3 minutes later

Ballarat forecast just updated: 'The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe, with damaging winds, large hail and heavy falls in the afternoon and early evening.'

The last bit is new - so seems BOM think the worst (best?) is yet to come?


So basically the usual ...

Thanks for all that Didjman.
Well the storm part is certainly happening - non-stop rumbles getting very close, and rain just starting. Guess severity will be revealed in the coming hours!

Edit: Rain very heavy now* (Just checked - 12mm in about as many minutes). Full force lightening right ...

Surprised to see the radar to our west fill in so early?

Suspect the full cloud might suppress severe storms for west central at least? (Thoughts please Didjman? hillybilly?) But I'll take the rain however it comes!

Can't help with ABC... except to make the generalisation that reporting quality of all sorts (across all media) tends to decline over the Christmas/ New Year period - fewer staff on duty and less experienced. Saw an ABC report a few days ago about that poor bugger lost near Geehi, and it talked ...

20mm here so far and still bucketing down. Bloody good start to 2025 after our rainfall-starved 2024.

Vic rainfall deciles for 2024 tell the story - you can clearly see the reasonable rain for Melbourne's eastern suburbs, vs the poor year for the likes of Lighthouse and me.

http://flystream.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Screenshot-2025-01-02-122044.png

Things would have been even more dire for ...

A bushfire is good for the bush. An ecological treasure will become even better after this.

Not that simple unfortunately. Type of bush, intensity and frequency are the issue. Moderate intensity fires, with many years between, are basically good (even necessary) for most sclerophyll forests ...

Mt William AWS went offline at 1:30am last night. Either lost power or got run over by fire. 70-80 kmh gusts when it died.


Looks like it burnt out. Temps started to spike in the couple of minutes before.

So sad. That area is unique and has some rare snow gums. It joins Mt Cole a year back in ...

Fingers crossed for you Macedonian, hopefully they can get some more containment work done during this brief cool/ damp period.

Boxing Day looks like it will be an anxious one for those of us living in rural areas, particularly in the western half of Victoria. Traditionally, we spend Boxing Day ...

4mm here. You know it's our driest year in our 28 years here when I count that as a win :(

What is your YTD total Gordon?
We have had 907mm which is below average but not bad at all. Our total is higher than Trentham this year which is quite unusual. They are still only in the 8's this year ...

4mm here. You know it's our driest year in our 28 years here when I count that as a win

Yesterday afternoon was a complete bust here - 1.5mm. However, a few heavy showers this morning have brought that up to 7mm, so something at least.

StratoBendigo wrote: Fri Dec 06, 2024 9:50 am Yep, completely backed off.

I'm giving reverse psychology a try: if promising models keep letting me down, maybe a downgrade will do the opposite .