The Australian Weather Forum

Nothing like those numbers here sadly. 38mm for November (average 85mm). At least we beat our driest in our 28 years here of 31mm in November 2006. YTD is 511mm. Driest is 544mm, again in 2006. Hoping to better that.

Week total is 40.5mm - a godsend, but a lot less than most.

10mm here from that lot; 22mm for the dates.

(And hope you're wrong steveco, but suspect you're right!)

The south west and Surf Coast keep missing out. 1mm in Aireys Inlet for the event and on track for our driest November ever and currently running more than 200mm below average for the year. Another record dry month will mean five such record dry months in the past year. It’s seriously dire. ...

Hoping your analysis comes off for us HB. 12mm is a start but could really do with more. Fingers crossed.

10mm here so far, reasonable start.

Hard to say what's to come - 5mm or 50mm? (Looks like the work experience kid is doing WATL again this morning; still stuck on yesterday.)

Not good timing. Many of the crops just North of Bendigo were looking quite good. If it can dry out quickly it might be ok. Agreed, but I'll take the rain. Somehow, many crops up here are still green and growing, and 'driest November since records began' is not a record I want to see fall. That's ...

Macedonian wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2024 7:01 am We had 3mm yesterday. It's sad to be counting such pathetic amounts in November.

2.5mm here. 5mm mtd

What doesn’t really make sense is the drivers should be favourable, but rainfall up to July was really ordinary, and since then the negative SAM episodes have been dry for most of the mainland with dry blustery westerly winds. Very frustrating & hard to understand. For us, being well west of M ...

Not much to report here from a fairly bland end to month. Cool to mild, with only a sprinkle of rain (2.5mm) in the last week.

Finished October on 52.5mm - yet another below average month to once again contradict the useless BOM climate forecasts .

Frost in the valley here this morning, got down to 2C on our hilltop. Almost as cold yesterday morning.

Squeezed out 2mm of rain for the dates and looking sparse ahead.

35mm for the week here, 32 of which from 7am yesterday. 52mm mtd.

Looking at the gauge back home in Truganina, 23 KM directly west, just behind Laverton North. My gauge at home is showing 41.2mm. That's crazy rain for my spot, does that sound about right? Missing all the action!!! Every chance, plenty of 30-40mm+ falls in that general area. We're on 31mm here ...

A few very tame rumbles about. Humid, but I reckon it's just about done and dusted here. We're both comfortably back inside the latest STW zone http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDV21033.shtml, so maybe a bit of life in this system yet? Low has been moving east slower than forecast, which has to be a ...

Radar seems to be underestimating...pouring here Agreed. Almost seemed to overestimate for the day or two prior to this morning, but we just had the heaviest rain so far - absolutely torrential - and yet it didn't look like anything special on the radar. (27mm in 30 minutes at Gardners Creek, and ...

Slow start here, with only a mm or so for the 48 hours up until 7am. Was beginning to think this event might have (incredibly) been a fail, we'd been missing everything. Then another 20mm since 7am, so 24mm for the event (thanks to 3mm earlier in the week). I was thinking earlier in the week that an ...

Yes, WATL has been rocksteady. But everything from 5 to 60mm on individual forecast models. Inland trough early this week then a complex Low on Thursday/Friday certainly makes for tough rain forecasting... Regardless, it could make for a fun week. Latest BOM 4 day synoptic chart has a 990 low in ...

Bursts of quite heavy rain here. Should be at least a few mm's worth by morning if it keeps up like this. Good start.

WATL has been surprisingly consistent for 25-50mm over the week for much of Vic, despite wild fluctuations in individual models.

Certainly worth this new thread; some rain is forecast to begin here from tonight.

hillybilly wrote: ↑Thu Oct 10, 2024 5:24 pm Something brewing for next week but geez progs are jumpy.

Yes, progs keep coming and going WATL reasonably upbeat (25mm plus) for a decent chunk of Vic next week, but certainly wouldn't be betting my life savings just yet...

Surprise 13mm for us to 9am - first time in ages actual rain has exceeded the forecast.