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by Pengaz
Wed Mar 27, 2024 10:19 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Another long dry spell for most: March 22-
Replies: 11
Views: 754

Another long dry spell for most: March 22-

Yep, still holding this morning too. Looks like the potential for some form of low to develop this time next week? We’ve actually managed a light shower here today but hardly enough to register. Shaping up to be a great Easter long weekend for those camping. Still not seeing any true autumn break on...
by Pengaz
Wed Mar 20, 2024 10:42 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm ahead of a stronger cold front: March 16-20
Replies: 21
Views: 1206

Becoming warm ahead of a stronger cold front: March 16-20

Managed to luckily snag 10.5mm out of this one, mostly overnight from showers when the colder southwesterly flow kicked in. Great result.
by Pengaz
Thu Mar 14, 2024 1:15 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
Replies: 43
Views: 2174

When will it rain? 1 March -?

2.75mm here over past two days to ensure we don’t end up on a donut for March.
by Pengaz
Thu Mar 07, 2024 9:01 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
Replies: 43
Views: 2174

When will it rain? 1 March -?

I very much seeing strong parallels with March 2016 - both in terms of sea-surface temperatures and a transition from El-Nino to LaNina. We had a spectacular heatwave in early March that year (3x 39c days in a row, and 8 days in a row over 35c), before things cooled off. It also feels a bit similar...
by Pengaz
Wed Feb 28, 2024 10:07 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot again: February 26-
Replies: 21
Views: 1474

Becoming hot again: February 26-

Temp still hovering at 32c here, shooting up with the wind change approaching but still a little while off. Incredible for this time of night!
by Pengaz
Sun Feb 25, 2024 8:36 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot again: February 26-
Replies: 21
Views: 1474

Becoming hot again: February 26-

I’m curious about these predictions of a shift back to wetter weather in March. Typically it’s one of our driest months - we often end up with an Indian summer with an extended run of warm mild weather into April. It feels like we’re on a similar trajectory again this year... Elders long range weath...
by Pengaz
Tue Feb 20, 2024 8:29 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28
Replies: 24
Views: 1578

Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28

After building up for the last few hours, those outer east suburbs cells have made it to us too.

Here’s the last pic I took before I started getting wet. Good light show too 👍
by Pengaz
Tue Feb 13, 2024 8:49 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2495

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

Brutal storm through here just after 4pm. I’ll never forget the noise, constant rumbling thunder and roaring wind. Didn’t get a chance to get a pic before it hit due to work, but some of the wind squalls were right up there with the strongest I’ve felt. The straight line winds felt microburst-like. ...
by Pengaz
Fri Jan 26, 2024 8:28 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 3395

Re: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

6.5mm here yesterday with a brief storm at lunchtime.

Couple of showers in the morning today then a breezy afternoon. Cool and calm out there now.
by Pengaz
Sun Jan 21, 2024 7:55 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5363

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

Returned from 10 nights down at Phillip Island to find 15.5mm here, most of it presumably from Wednesday’s rain and Thursday’s follow up showers. The Jan total keeps ticking over. Perfect beach weather for the first week with mostly light easterly winds and plenty of sun. The change to westerly flow...
by Pengaz
Mon Jan 08, 2024 8:25 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Another 18.5mm here today. Constantly changing from drizzle/light rain/heavy rain all day before clearing at dinner time. 74mm for the thread. The next 7 days looks relatively sedate for Vic, although the troughy synoptic pattern continues with the highs stubbornly remaining to the south of the cont...
by Pengaz
Mon Jan 08, 2024 7:55 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Up to 55.5mm here, incredible result and way beyond what a lot of the models had for progged for us. Woke up to a long torrential downpour at 2.30, but must have slept through the rest of it. Looks like the area to our west through to Pakenham copped more, saw a few VicEmergency incidents presumably...
by Pengaz
Sun Jan 07, 2024 7:54 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

18mm since 2pm here, 15mm of it fell in the first two hours. Has backed off to mainly light rain since. Surprised that we’ve scored so well, was expecting to get heavily rainshadowed today. Must be a testament to the sheer amount of moisture over Vic atm. Most models have us pegged for another inch ...
by Pengaz
Wed Jan 03, 2024 5:39 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Mild then more showers, 29 Dec to 5 January
Replies: 54
Views: 5125

Re: Mild then more showers, 29 Dec to 5 January

Been away for a week down at Inverloch. Just tipped out 32mm for that period, including 10mm from a storm earlier this arvo. Muggy as out there now.

Looks like we missed most of the nasty stuff, everything very green here from the Christmas Day rain.
by Pengaz
Tue Dec 26, 2023 9:20 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Narrowly missed a line of storms that rolled in from the north east this arvo. Dumped a quick 20-30mm on Drouin and caused a few incidents on the VicEmergency app. Here’s a few pics of the front and back side of the storms. Very dynamic skies and an unusual trajectory for storms to take for this area.
by Pengaz
Tue Dec 26, 2023 8:56 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Sale now up to 84mm, most of which has been since 5am. That would be causing some decent flash flooding. You getting any of that in Maffra Petros?
by Pengaz
Tue Dec 26, 2023 7:09 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

22mm here since Sunday night. Happy with that at this time of year. We managed to get a few dry hours in yesterday, but when it did rain it was dense! No storms. Have woken up to thunder this morning. The slow moving storm complex that dumped 28mm on Sale in half an hour is now passing to our south....
by Pengaz
Thu Dec 21, 2023 3:06 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

I don’t think I can remember a December dominated by so many trough’s and easterly weather events. Christmas Day synoptics look like making Gippsland even soggier (if that’s possible!)
by Pengaz
Sat Dec 09, 2023 8:46 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12
Replies: 76
Views: 7505

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Another rain all day Saturday for us. A touch under 17mm when I last checked. Has eased off now, but a great drop nonetheless. A couple of rumbles this morning too.