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Search found 57 matches

by Lighthouse
Thu Apr 17, 2025 3:00 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Possible Easter low with showers, rain and storms.
Replies: 26
Views: 1019

Possible Easter low with showers, rain and storms.

Farmers around the district have started to shoot stock as record heat combined with record low rainfall turns one of Australia’s traditionally reliable agricultural districts to dust with no feed and no water. South Australia is even worse with even big trees beginning to die. Absolute disastrous ...
by Lighthouse
Tue Apr 15, 2025 11:08 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Another long warm and dry spell: April 9-
Replies: 30
Views: 1248

Another long warm and dry spell: April 9-

Presume any cutoff low will heavily favour eastern areas of the state but hopefully this one is the exception to the rule. But I won’t be betting on it.
by Lighthouse
Sat Apr 12, 2025 10:20 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Another long warm and dry spell: April 9-
Replies: 30
Views: 1248

Another long warm and dry spell: April 9-

We’ve already been in drought for two years as has Southern South Australia. Farmers there are facing a third year of drought.
by Lighthouse
Fri Apr 11, 2025 3:41 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Another long warm and dry spell: April 9-
Replies: 30
Views: 1248

Another long warm and dry spell: April 9-

Yes, unbelievable actually, Melbourne’s April average is 20C, looking at least six days in a row over 27C. Just on due for a drought, while it is true lots of Oz has had a wet period, it’s definitely not the case for Victoria’s south-west where we’ve had more dry years than wet. In fact, nearly ...
by Lighthouse
Tue Apr 08, 2025 10:13 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: A series of strong fronts to start April
Replies: 34
Views: 1429

A series of strong fronts to start April

Just 1.6mm for the “event”. Unprecedented dry roles on here, no rain in forecast, been slightly above average temperatures for start of this month but that will spike this week.
by Lighthouse
Sun Apr 06, 2025 12:16 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: A series of strong fronts to start April
Replies: 34
Views: 1429

A series of strong fronts to start April

Yes, you don’t have to be Einstein to realise what’s happening to our climate and what’s coming as a consequence. We are trying to sell our house, only hope we haven’t left it too late. It’s too risky to stay. While everyone knows about climate change, I don’t think most people have any idea of what ...
by Lighthouse
Sat Apr 05, 2025 1:39 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: A series of strong fronts to start April
Replies: 34
Views: 1429

A series of strong fronts to start April

I’m not sure of the distance between Gordon and Aireys Inlet as the crow flies but it wouldn’t be very far yet my experience is nothing like yours. Been here for nine years and only 2021 was above average, with 2022 close but no cigar. Most years have been well below average, 18, 19, 23 and 24 being ...
by Lighthouse
Wed Apr 02, 2025 11:31 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: A series of strong fronts to start April
Replies: 34
Views: 1429

A series of strong fronts to start April

The latest long term BOM outlooks is dire for most of Victoria but especially south-western Victoria. Let’s hope BOM gets it as wrong as they have these past two years which resulted in unprecedented and record breaking drought for the south-west despite it predicting above average rainfall for much ...
by Lighthouse
Mon Mar 31, 2025 1:45 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Major rain event for northeast Australia: Will it edge south? March 25-
Replies: 32
Views: 1567

Major rain event for northeast Australia: Will it edge south? March 25-

Just 24mm for month against average of 35mm, 58mm for YTD against an average of 109mm. Daytime maximum temperature for March +2.1C, our fifth consecutive month of above +2C temperatures. Now in our third year of drought and it only seems to get hotter and drier. Tree dieback is extreme in places.
by Lighthouse
Sat Mar 29, 2025 10:56 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Major rain event for northeast Australia: Will it edge south? March 25-
Replies: 32
Views: 1567

Major rain event for northeast Australia: Will it edge south? March 25-

I know everyone is desperate for rain but when you look at the past two years it’s really only been the west and south west of Victoria that’s missed out. The problem really is it hasn’t been just dry, it’s been record dry and it is amazing BOM has never picked it up in its models. It’s looking ...
by Lighthouse
Wed Mar 26, 2025 10:11 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Major rain event for northeast Australia: Will it edge south? March 25-
Replies: 32
Views: 1567

Major rain event for northeast Australia: Will it edge south? March 25-

The ants in my garden are reasonably busy building up their nests at present. Hopefully they know something.
by Lighthouse
Thu Mar 20, 2025 10:25 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Something from nothing? Showers and storms 20 March - ?
Replies: 40
Views: 1769

Something from nothing? Showers and storms 20 March - ?

Finished with 11.8mm. Very welcome but fizzled out a bit earlier than I expected. Had around 17mm for the week, hopefully the start of something. Still in drought but at least some of the grass will have a green tinge.
by Lighthouse
Thu Mar 20, 2025 5:04 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Something from nothing? Showers and storms 20 March - ?
Replies: 40
Views: 1769

Something from nothing? Showers and storms 20 March - ?

Brilliant so far, just ticked over 10mm and still raining hard. Will end up our best fall since November 30. Looking forward to seeing some green shoots around here soon. Hope it doubles before it finishes.
by Lighthouse
Wed Mar 19, 2025 6:39 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Something from nothing? Showers and storms 20 March - ?
Replies: 40
Views: 1769

Something from nothing? Showers and storms 20 March - ?

BOM predicting between 2-8mm here and looking at models there doesn’t appear much more this month according to EC. Not much change there. Massive swell on the Surf Coast today, anyone know why. By the way a report in the Financial Times said Carbon Dioxide levels in at atmosphere has reached a 800 ...
by Lighthouse
Mon Mar 17, 2025 7:57 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Will We Finally Get Some Rain This Weekend March 15/16 ?
Replies: 34
Views: 1631

Will We Finally Get Some Rain This Weekend March 15/16 ?

Has there ever been a more stark example of the continued east/west rainfall divide than today’s BOM 24 rainfall and river map?All the rain concentrated in the East, just1.6mm for Airey’ s Inlet. Maybe for the first time since European settlement we reach the Autumn solstice with the bushfire threat ...
by Lighthouse
Sun Mar 16, 2025 1:43 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Will We Finally Get Some Rain This Weekend March 15/16 ?
Replies: 34
Views: 1631

Will We Finally Get Some Rain This Weekend March 15/16 ?

Just 4.8mm at Aireys Inlet, up to 7mm for the month. Settle the dust for a few hours.
by Lighthouse
Fri Mar 14, 2025 11:35 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Will We Finally Get Some Rain This Weekend March 15/16 ?
Replies: 34
Views: 1631

Will We Finally Get Some Rain This Weekend March 15/16 ?

Talk about raining on the parade HB, here I was thinking the Surf Coast might finally get some rain on Sunday and then you utter the horrible words of the past two years, East central Vic will do ok. That means we miss out.
by Lighthouse
Wed Mar 12, 2025 7:59 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Vic Trough & Low with possible showers and storms March 10-12
Replies: 47
Views: 2174

Vic Trough & Low with possible showers and storms March 10-12

Another miss for the West, the brutal dry rolls on. Hopefully get something on Sunday but probably be only a couple of mm at most. Amazing the rainfall discrepancies across Victoria over the past 24 months. Aireys Inlet normally gets about the same rainfall totals as Melbourne but have had around ...
by Lighthouse
Wed Mar 12, 2025 8:29 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Vic Trough & Low with possible showers and storms March 10-12
Replies: 47
Views: 2174

Vic Trough & Low with possible showers and storms March 10-12

Today sounds like a repeat of the last 24 months HB, Victoria’s east gets the rain, central areas hit or miss depending on the trough line and the west misses out. No change there. We need cold fronts, troughs only rarely deliver, more likely to get lightning than rain. By the way, as bad as things ...
by Lighthouse
Tue Mar 11, 2025 8:27 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Vic Trough & Low with possible showers and storms March 10-12
Replies: 47
Views: 2174

Vic Trough & Low with possible showers and storms March 10-12

Still waiting on the Surf Coast and not overly optimistic about this week. Storms from the north typically get shredded by the Otways here. Really need one to link up moisture with a decent cold front to get rain, but not seeing any of them on the horizon. The vegetation stress here is getting ...