Issued at 9:00pm Monday 11th January 2016


Straight from the forecasters mouth, take a listen


A weak trough across Victoria will move to eastern Victoria on Tuesday and linger around that region. At the same time, a high pressure system will move to be over roughly Tasmania. The trough is likely to result in some afternoon instability across the eastern ranges, thus the odd isolated shower or storm is possible in that region. Elsewhere, conditions should be mostly dry and fine under the influence of the high pressure system.


On Wednesday, the high moves into the Tasman Sea, directing a very hot and mostly dry fresh and gusty north to northwesterly airstream across the state. The temperatures and winds combined are likely to result in a few districts at "EXTREME" fire danger. A cold front will reach the far southwest later in the day. Instability does increase across the state ahead of the front, so there is the potential for some isolated showers and thunderstorms to develop across western and central areas during the afternoon. This activity is likely to increase from the southwest later in the day and at night.


The southwesterly change will extend across the remainder of the state early Thursday, introducing a much cooler southwesterly flow which will be fresh to locally strong over southern and mountain areas. Scattered showers are expected across the south, more isolated over the north. There is also the potential for a weak band of rain to extend from the west early morning but clear during the day.


On Friday, the next high moves into the Great Australian Bight, extending a ridge across Victoria and generally clearing any isolated showers to the east. Mild conditions persisting in a southerly flow.


Extended outlook is for the high to slowly move eastwards and into the Tasman Sea by Sunday and Monday. Find conditions persisting and warming up.

The next update is due Tuesday 12th January 2016

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