VIC: Rain/showers & thunderstorms - October 12th- 14th

[DarkEye]

A band of rain and a lot of cloud in my area.

[Nick Sykes]

Looks like a few areas of storms going up, the one in the Otways is rapidly building, the line of storms developing just ahead of the rainband and the more isolated cells to the west of Bendigo. Expect the radar to really light up soon, this is making study hard, lol.

[Twister]

Hot 29/13c here and going up

Cu all overv the sky now and looking great

Nice band of Showers and Thunderstorms developing along the trough from Renmark down to Cape Otway this will only continue to develop as it slowly moves East

Watch for isolated cells ahead of the band of Showers and thunderstorms developing along this line cells should be intense and a bit impressive

Great few days ahead, huge rain band building in SA and Showers and Thunderstorms developing across the state this avro

[wolfcat]

and lightning now on the tracker from the cells out near skipton

[Nick Sykes]

12mm in less than half an hour out Westmere, 7mm in the last half hour out at Horsham, looks like pretty heavy rain in the cells.

[Twister]

Yeah looking unreal cells exploding all the way back into SA looking Great W NW of Melb as to,to my SW, W Cells going up all over now looks great

Big falls about later today and into tonight might head out soon looking good

[Karl Lijnders]

Melbourne I feel sitting in the sweet spot. Should see a nasty line of wet storms come through in a few hours. Thunderstorms will flatten after dark but will watch closely.

Still anticipating 40mm overnight.

[jmw2207]

Strap yourselves in ....its all starting to come together now....sun is out here now ...couple of hours and we should see some nice fireworks.

[mantis]

15mm at Horsham AP so far

[Karl Lijnders]

That line to the west is the dominating area of storms so anything that gets going ahead of it should be relatively mild in comparison to the main line sitting well west of Geelong.

24C here with light rain.

Billowing convection further west.

Latest 3 Day Access has 30-50mm across C areas.

[tizza]

Sniper thanks for that chart!!
From Horsham to Geelong it's starting to look fantastic, could be a great arvo/evening for Melbourne after all

[johnno]

Looking good really starting to crank up, got some sun here things warming up ahead of it too

[Vortex]

That's it.. I am moving to Melbourne!!

http://shanee.bsch.au.com/tracker/track ... =melbourne" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

[Vortex]

Doppler wind signatures are showing signs of quite strong inflow! Should be an interesting afternoon down there I must say!! I hope to jump on a few webcams and have a look as it nears the CBD later on this afternoon.

I wish I could just fly down for the day to chase with the Victorians!!

[samueliza]

Will they issue an STW soon and shouldnt they have issued one for the west or Geelong area by now???

OK- there it is. Great minds think alike BOM.

[occluded]

Looks like they just did:

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria Regional Office

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for FLASH FLOODING and LARGE HAILSTONES
For people in parts of the Northern Country, Wimmera, North Central, Western and
Central Forecast Districts.

Issued at 3:14 pm Tuesday, 12 October 2010.

Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce very heavy rainfall, flash flooding
and large hailstones in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations
which may be affected include Ballarat, Maryborough, Castlemaine, Kyneton,
Geelong and Bacchus Marsh.

The line of thunderstorms is moving only slowly eastwards and the individual
cells are moving in a south southeast direction.

[rikjpool]

I just got back from Harcourt, and the cells down near Castlemain looked nice and dark with some nice intense rain curtains. Very chunky updraughts, and i may have seen a vapor vortex or 2 as well. Hard to tell fro the tree coverage blocking the view of the horizon. Skies are very messy atm, but that line down near ballarrat would look very nice

[firestorm]

lots of thunder and ligthning(wish it was dark) over head with not a heap of rain just steady to heavy nothing like last week but a bucket load more thunder and ligthning have fun all to my east should intesify as it moves along 4.4mm so far. loving the last few weeks of weather

[rikjpool]

Can see the line moving quite nicely on the dopplar atm. I wonder how far north this line will push?

[Andy]

Hi all, ll let you know what happens here soon! Sky to my SW is looking very nasty. Wind has just swung to a cooler SWesterly ish.....
Intesting time ahead for us all by the look of it.