Vic - Summer polar blast, then settled - 11-20/12/22

[Petros]

Latest CMC run:



This (now a) cut off low looks like it could hang around SE of Vic for the remainder of the week, bleak cold wet southerlies, ....a Christmas party wrecker?:

[Skywalker]

Horrible day of disgusting windy filth here after absolutely perfect conditions yesterday. Very similar to last weekend, although was down on the island then so didn't experience the filth as much.

Starting to need a good drink out here in the western wasteland as things are really starting to dry out. Not far off having to dust of the sprinklers.

[QldTwister]

Yesterday was just prefect today is nice too love warm windy sunny days but soon that will all change.

Cloud will thicken showers will develop and tend to rain tonight maybe a rumble or too then cold and windy tomorrow and then cold and showers all week better again slowly by next weekend into following week

enjoying warm sunshine while i can

[hillybilly]

Progs really upping the next 72 hours. Widespread 20-50mm through central and east. Bit unclear about the north - probably a miss in the Mallee and Wimmera but further south and east should do quite well. Wouldn’t be surprised to see some local flooding in east central if the upper end of the progs happen.

Tasmania is also look wet. Widrepread 25-50mm through the south and east, and could well see pockets of over 100mm. Chilly, with some snow on the peaks. The low gets blocked and actually moves west for a period so will take a long time to clear, and could well get a decent wrap around,

Next week looks very different - hot and possibly humid later. Guess we will see. Some real heat in the northwest with 48.5C today which is probably an early season record for WA. Glad to see that heat stay up there

[Wilko]

Could be an active night with Rainbow radar lighting up a touch

[QldTwister]

Steady rain here now after off and on rain last few hours and should go off and on all night before tends to SWly showers tomorrow

5mm so far today
15 to 25mm possible through most of the metro by 9am tomorrow higher east, lower west as usual.

Then another front later Tuesday with band of rain then even colder air with showers to follow in coming days

Looks like a full week of well below average tempertures just crazy and lots showers in south little if any in north

Warmth might not return until eraly to mid next week just crazy

[StratoBendigo]

Event total of 20mm. More than I expected and there was also some small hail at one point last night.

Spring 2022 keeps doing its thing (clearly not summer yet).

[stevco123]

19mm so far. That's 18 more than i expected honestly.

Looks to be one of those weeks where showers are on and off but totals will be high.

No summer just yet, can confirm

[Gordon]

Another unexpectedly high total here, 21.5mm. Makes 1110mm ytd, passing 1094.5mm in 2011 to make 2022 our wettest year here (25 years).

Cutting firewood - again. But I'd choose this over drought and fires... not that I get to choose! (Somewhere in between would be nice.)

[Petros]

We got 16mm from steady overnight prefrontal rain, which followed a muggy calm overcast day of 26.5C.

Mild calm overcast now, more rain looming.

[snowfall]

Yep, more than expected here too - 25.8mm. A mix of showers and rain periods with some heavy bursts at times. Things were starting to dry out a bit, so it's very welcome.

[StratoBendigo]

Another unexpectedly high total here, 21.5mm. Makes 1110mm ytd, passing 1094.5mm in 2011 to make 2022 our wettest year here (25 years).

Cutting firewood - again. But I'd choose this over drought and fires... not that I get to choose! (Somewhere in between would be nice.)

Our YTD is approx. 830mm. Not quite the 2010 record of 1061mm, but the most we've had in a calendar year since then.

[Wilko]

That wind is picking up in a major way
Obs around the Bay reporting 80km/h
Glad I got the trees trimmed recently
Going to be a wild week ahead
My son comes back from the Prom today just in the nick of time

[Gordon]

A scary burst of house-shaking wind with a cell that just passed over us - short-lived thankfully.

[StratoBendigo]

This week reminds me of early-December 1987 and a school camp I went on in South Gippsland where we had torrential rain, crazy winds, big surf, and wintry temps...

Gippsland looks set to get quite a bit of rain in the next few days with a persistent ECL likely to keep life interesting there.

[Tassiedave]

Storms affecting Launceston currently. Photos taken from Grindelwald lookout 20km north west of Launceston elevation of 200m.

[StratoBendigo]

Just had torrential rain and thunder in that downpour. What month is it again?

[Wilko]

Just had torrential rain and thunder in that downpour. What month is it again?

Same here 5mm in 5 minutes here from Little Red

[Petros]

So much for the "heralding of a period of sultry weather" this low is set to hang around to the E of Tassie, and create a "period of wintery weather":



18.5mm here so far, with a cold squally westerly front passing this arvo.

[Gordon]

Thread title needs editing I think mods? This is turning into a period of unusual cold.

Wind has been extreme too - surprised BOM haven't issued warnings. Quite a few trees down. In fact, though I'm not usually one to bag BOM, their forecasting efforts lately have been pretty underwhelming overall.