VIC - Becoming cold, wet and windy with a series of fronts: November 6-11 2019

Event discussion and analysis for Victoria and Tasmania, including day to day weather.

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Australis(Shell3155)
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Sat Nov 09, 2019 6:23 am

Dog was scratching on the door to come inside, might have been a tad cold 🥶
Loving the continued rain, think about ~ 75mm
Macedonian
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Sat Nov 09, 2019 8:54 am

Minimum of 1C earlier this morning but nothing in re. to precipitation at all.
The sun is shining here.
Gordon
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Sat Nov 09, 2019 9:08 am

Another 4.5mm in the gauge, 23mm for the event and 65mm mtd.

Lots of hail yesterday and down to about 2C overnight, but if any actual snow fell (which I doubt) I slept through it :).

Very good to see balance being restored in the upper Yarra/ Dandenongs going into summer.
snowfall
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Sat Nov 09, 2019 9:17 am

Great to see lots of rain falling in parts of the central area. We tend to get quite rain shadowed in these westerly setups, so only 40mm for the month and about 6mm for the event so far. But the cooler temps and regular falls are keeping the area green, with good growing conditions, so can't complain. It definitely beats hot and dry!
Gordon
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Sat Nov 09, 2019 10:01 am

Worth a look at the Lake Mountain snow cam this morning https://lakemountainresort.panomax.com/ - impressive November cover for 1300m - certainly skiable!
stevco123
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Sat Nov 09, 2019 1:55 pm

Looks like it may have all developed just too far East of the Metro area. Was expecting to happen overhead but just dribs and drabs here now
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
Skywalker
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Location: Burnside Heights/Cowes (Home) & Sunshine West (Work)

Sat Nov 09, 2019 4:42 pm

Been nothing but cloudy, windy, dribs & drabs crap here today.
We had fun yesterday with all the hail & shower activity so can't really complain too much. :)
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
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hillybilly
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Sat Nov 09, 2019 6:09 pm

Cold rainy day in the Nongs with another 4mm or there abouts. Foggy with intermittent showers ATM. An old fashion winters day :D

Spent most the day in the Yarra Valley and made it up to Lake Mountain. Fantastic cover - was about 30cm deep, with some drifts over 50cm above 1400m. Snow settled to about 800m. Best snow I've seen there in a long time at this time of year. I did ski Lake Mountain in early November 2003 (from Memory that was the year) and there was more than 50cm of snow at 1400m so would probably make it the best low level snow up there in more than 10 years for the time of year :D Was heavy snow for much of the three hours we were up there, though temperatures were rising and by 3pm it was raining below about 1200m.

Here's a few photos I took - got heaps more and will look to put them up.

Image

Image

Image
Gordon
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Sat Nov 09, 2019 10:23 pm

Great pics hillybilly!
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hillybilly
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Sun Nov 10, 2019 8:00 am

Just shy of 7mm in the gauge this morning. Currently thick fog and light drizzle. Might yet get a mm or two more.

The garden is sodden 52mm for the event and 115mm in the past 8 days (just 2mm to our monthly average). Never one to complain about rain as I know at this time of year it could be 40C and windy in a week or two ;)

Event is really one that’s split the state. Even in central parts totals range from less than 5mm to more than 100mm :o
Tassiedave
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Sun Nov 10, 2019 10:19 am

First reasonably good weather day in Tassie for a while today. The west has copped heaps of rain/snow this week. Looking further north I notice there has been focus on next Tuesday for the QLD/NSW bushfires with deteriorating conditions. However if I'm reading ACCESS G correctly next Sunday to the following Tuesday looks absolutely horrendous for the fire area with the red heat line going beyond the coastline. Would that mean 40 plus for Brisbane in November?
WeatherViewer
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Sun Nov 10, 2019 5:17 pm

Looking like a rather cool November on the cards this year, in comparison to more recent years of course.
Horts
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Sun Nov 10, 2019 6:01 pm

WeatherViewer wrote:
Sun Nov 10, 2019 5:17 pm
Looking like a rather cool November on the cards this year, in comparison to more recent years of course.
20191110_175830.jpg
20191110_175830.jpg (512.21 KiB) Viewed 303 times
Cold and wet weather looks to last Dec 5 atleast.. joy :|
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Didjman
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Sun Nov 10, 2019 6:25 pm

Horts wrote:
Sun Nov 10, 2019 6:01 pm
Cold and wet weather looks to last Dec 5 atleast.. joy :|
-ve SAM from the SSW back in September is the dominant climate driver atm for southern Vic and Tas - re "Cold and wet weather looks to last Dec 5 atleast.. joy :|"
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hillybilly
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Sun Nov 10, 2019 7:40 pm

Tassiedave wrote:
Sun Nov 10, 2019 10:19 am
First reasonably good weather day in Tassie for a while today. The west has copped heaps of rain/snow this week. Looking further north I notice there has been focus on next Tuesday for the QLD/NSW bushfires with deteriorating conditions. However if I'm reading ACCESS G correctly next Sunday to the following Tuesday looks absolutely horrendous for the fire area with the red heat line going beyond the coastline. Would that mean 40 plus for Brisbane in November?
ATM any northerly is going to spike. OZ is running very hot (yep hard to believe down here in our little corner :o ) and intensely dry. Tuesday looks very bad. Catastrophic on the forecast. Around Sydney the EC meteogram has temperatures peaking near 40C, dewpoints dropping well negative and winds gusting over 40 knots. That is a horrible set of numbers :(

Milder mostly fine day here in the end. A max of 12C, so chilly but first day since Thursday to bet above 10C. Amazing that most the snow has melted in just one day. Just patchy now at most the resorts.

Weekend ahead looks pretty uneventful for us. Westerlies but mainly coastal stuff. Guess new thread time.
Adam38
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Sun Nov 10, 2019 8:44 pm

Sydney and surrounds fire danger is forecast to be catastrophic on Tuesday 😢
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occluded
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Mon Nov 11, 2019 10:01 am

Not good at all up north, plenty of CFA and SES heading up north to assist for Tuesday :?

Meanwhile I was borderline hypothermic riding down Lake Mountain yesterday morning, 1C and light rain at the top with a decent 5-10cm of wet snow still up top, snow patches down to almost the ticket box.

Some contrast.
Wilko
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Mon Nov 11, 2019 2:24 pm

It is hard to believe that just a few hours north of here they will be having close to 40° we have been extremely lucky and protected from the heat
I would love to know if the temp differential between ie Melb and selected locations in NSW is at record levels
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