Victoria - Troughs and possible low - September 1-7 2019

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hillybilly
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 6:38 am

Messy Progs for the week ahead with a series of trough, and a possible low developing. Hard to pick the details as they vary a lot across the models and runs.

Today starts with a fading trough. This system has quite unstable air so will bring some locally heavy showers and possibly rumbles, particular west and ranges.

Mid week brings more troughs in the sequence. There is warm, near record warm, air edging down into NSW so if it goes a bit more northerly could get quite warm. Cooler for later in the week and more showers.

The airmass over Australia is very dry and warm so the area to the north of any low will miss most the rain and get warm/hot with gusty winds. EC has mid 30s in parts of northern NSW on Thursday and Friday which is not what they need with gusty winds :?
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Didjman
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 1:08 pm

There's a few sparks out west!
QldTwister
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 1:12 pm

SPRING HAS SPRUNG :D :D :D :D

19c atm sunny with moderate winds and stroms explodeing way out west right on time happy times

Intresating afternoon ahead

Mild few days on the way looking forward to it.
Bring on the heat and stroms
weathergasm
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 1:36 pm

How I wish the positive IOD would bugger off
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Didjman
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 2:33 pm

A Fathers Day storm - what an awesome present that would be :D
QldTwister
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 3:30 pm

Yeah Pos IOD is going to kill much of this country over the next few months unless we get a random heavy rain event.

Hot dry dusty 8 months ahead for the inland though locally be ok, till summer.

Thunderdy rain almost here just mm or 2 most weakning but
Bring on the heat and stroms
Adam38
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 3:36 pm

What a start to spring!!!! Warm sunshine, lightning, thunder, a bit of hail and a epic wind squallšŸ˜ƒ
phunkster
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 3:45 pm

Brief downpour including pea sized hail and some rumbles in Werribee, feels like it's been ages...
snowfall
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 4:11 pm

Had heavy rain and thunder here too. 5.8mm. Got up to 16.3c, now 8.8c. Spring is here.
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Australis(Shell3155)
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 4:23 pm

Dried out, had to water some pots..
now this is perfect soaking rain...
if it only lasted a few days things would be perfect..
James
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 4:39 pm

looked promising but as usual not even a rumble..but plenty of rain.

something about this area, always goes around
Dane
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 4:46 pm

Not much here less than 1mm. No thunder either. Temp dropped from 16 to just under 10 though now back up to 12.
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hillybilly
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 4:57 pm

Nice start to spring. Warm sunny arvo ending in a downpour with a bit of small hail and a bank of fog. Not big totals, but a handy 5mm here. Just keeps it ticking over. Garden will appreciate regular falls through spring ;)

Didnā€™t hear any rumbles, but was noisy rain so possible I just missed it.
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Didjman
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 5:01 pm

No sparks / rumbles here, but 2.8mm which I will take given the possible winds ahead (2nd half of the month...).
Macedonian
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 5:43 pm

Thunder, hail, lightning and some great rain 9mm to kick off spring.
Temp dropped 6C in one hour. 5.5C now.
stevco123
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 6:02 pm

Sparks and rumbles down here. Temp drop of 9 degrees tooo
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
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Australis(Shell3155)
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 6:39 pm

Gotta love puddles...
wasn't light wasn't heavy.
Good drop..
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Australis(Shell3155)
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 7:18 pm

Troubles in Life,
Too much insulation under an Tin roof..
can't hear that its bucketing down..
happy with the insulation tho..
ps it's hising down..
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hillybilly
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 7:22 pm

Rainy heavily here atm. Pretty sure I heard rumble :?:

EDIT> another 5mm from that lot. 10mm for the day. EC and GFS only had 2-4mm so a good result. Always nice when the models under do things. Lucky on the timing with the change mid arvo with heating to fire it up.
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Australis(Shell3155)
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Sun Sep 01, 2019 7:40 pm

Wow...
garden. (gums) are watered
New plants wil be loving this..
good down pour, just slowing now..
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