June and July were both well above average for Vic (+0.6C and +1.4C) so we'll need around -2C to fall below average for winter. Not likely to happen - if it does the month will be our coldest August on record Of course, the forecasts are just about the "odds" so they don't mean it will be warmer or colder, just which way things are leaning. I'm pretty relieved that Vic has bucked the trend with decent rain the last couple of months, as the rest of OZ has been really warm and dry
Of course I agree that the decent rain has been good, but BOM can't have it both ways - issue forecasts and then say 'well it was just our best guess' when they constantly fail for certain areas - like ours. Unfortunately, major decisions are made based on these forecasts, so a bad forecast is actually much worse than no forecast. I'll post some examples in Climate.hillybilly wrote: ↑Sun Aug 18, 2019 4:20 pm Of course, the forecasts are just about the "odds" so they don't mean it will be warmer or colder, just which way things are leaning. I'm pretty relieved that Vic has bucked the trend with decent rain the last couple of months, as the rest of OZ has been really warm and dry
Marangaroo, which is just on the outskirts of Lithgow in nsw had a 25C diurnal range a week or two ago. -8C to 17C. It is a murderously cold elevated frost hollow.hillybilly wrote: ↑Sun Aug 18, 2019 4:20 pm Geez a day of two halves. Mild sunny morning, cold, foggy and wet arvo Rain is falling thickly, but clearly a lot of bright banding on the radar. Had just on 3mm here so far.
GFS update still suggests showers here overnight into tomorrow with temps cold enough for snow. Fingers are crossed
June and July were both well above average for Vic (+0.6C and +1.4C) so we'll need around -2C to fall below average for winter. Not likely to happen - if it does the month will be our coldest August on record Of course, the forecasts are just about the "odds" so they don't mean it will be warmer or colder, just which way things are leaning. I'm pretty relieved that Vic has bucked the trend with decent rain the last couple of months, as the rest of OZ has been really warm and dry
EDIT> scored 6mm from that band. EC had 7mm so almost nailed it again
Looking through the obs some “impressive” numbers. 23.6C at Orbost - not a record, but certainly pretty spring like. In NSW 30.7C looks the best of it. With the dry air some big diurnal temperature ranges such a Marrangroo which went from -3.2 to 19.2C and Glen Innes from -1.7C to 21.0C.