Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Event discussion and analysis for Victoria and Tasmania, including day to day weather.

Moderators: mad*moo73, Jake Smethurst

Forum rules
When posting photos, particularly in active breaking weather threads, please link to clickable photos to minimise download issues. For more information, see Posting Photo Guidelines for more information. Threads that are six weeks old or older will be Archived Here
User avatar
hillybilly
Senior Moderator
Posts: 2988
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Ferny Creek 560m in Melbourne’s east
Contact:

Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by hillybilly » Sat Jul 20, 2019 6:34 am

Week of fronts zipping through in a broad westerly stream. On track to have a front about every second day. Not particularly cold - more like August or September, than mid July. Not a lot with each front, but will be a few mms for southern and mountain areas with each front, and more in the usual wet spots (Otways, Yarra Ranges etc). The most active front is due around Wednesday into Thursday. Progs have been toying with a strong front around Saturday, but not sticking in the model runs.

User avatar
hillybilly
Senior Moderator
Posts: 2988
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Ferny Creek 560m in Melbourne’s east
Contact:

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-36

Post by hillybilly » Sun Jul 21, 2019 5:44 am

Been blowing a gale here all night. Not damaging gusts (though you can never be too confident when you have trees :o ), but windy enough to move the chairs around the deck and blow the cover off the BBQ.

Very lame looking front on the rain radar with a feeble band of virga and showers. Apparently we might get a shower or two :?

Next front around Tuesday looks a bit better. Inbetween lots of gust nwly winds. Going to be a fairly mild spring like week, looking at the latest batch of Progs. More like late August than July.

Hawker
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 327
Joined: Tue Jul 10, 2012 7:49 pm
Location: Castlemaine

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-36

Post by Hawker » Sun Jul 21, 2019 8:20 am

"Been blowing a gale here all night. Not damaging gusts (though you can never be too confident when you have trees :o ), but windy enough to move the chairs around the deck and blow the cover off the BBQ."

I am surprised you don't have bricks holding your bbq cover down up there HB.
Bom's 10 day os getting a bit keener for us 10 mm or a bit more on Tuesday.
Keep my fingers crossed, most places still need all they can get.

Edit next front looks good on sat image.

Dane
Supercell
Posts: 1397
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 9:51 am
Location: Sebastopol 420m ASL

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-36

Post by Dane » Sun Jul 21, 2019 10:51 am

Front weakened right out as it passed over us. Just a sprinkle here this morning not enough to register in the gauge.
Next front Tuesday looks a bit stronger but will weaken as well before reaching us.
Pity it wasnt stronger impressive cold air pool showing up on the Satellite pic but most of that will remain south of
Victoria it seems. Tassie will do better.

User avatar
Australis(Shell3155)
Supercell
Posts: 2507
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2009 8:05 pm
Location: Boronia
Contact:

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by Australis(Shell3155) » Mon Jul 22, 2019 5:46 am

PS Melb. This weekend was ace..
Sat gently pushed the mower so it didn't sink,
Sun mowed longer grass after the wind.
Everything looks a treat when the sun shone late afternoon.
then top top it off with some wind and rain to start the week.
Glad to have seen blue skies and green grass, over that dark grey we've had for a while.

crikey
Supercell
Posts: 1303
Joined: Mon Feb 07, 2011 8:02 pm
Location: tweed shire NSW and nDUNOLLY.. Nth Central district VIC
Contact:

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by crikey » Mon Jul 22, 2019 7:58 am

Ok. I am excited. The sub polar jet is back in action and appears on this weeks charts.
The 500hpa also looking very impressive in wind speed and wavy.with its own jet streaks.
The cold pool looks great on the BOM sat pic' this morning.
Tuesday the westerly wind belt slaps Tasmania and VIC.
Support at the 500hpa layer with some upper troughing bring some precip'
and further support at 200hpa with overlaying troughing
By 4pm, the thickness on the VIC coastal area down to 536
Tasmania gets even colder air at 532 thickness.

link to jets
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/ ... fresh+View

StratoBendigo
Supercell
Posts: 1369
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2015 2:18 pm
Location: Kangaroo Flat

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by StratoBendigo » Mon Jul 22, 2019 8:19 am

Yes, looks like an OK front tomorrow for Vic. Might scrape 5 mm out of it here.

Meanwhile, a good frost this morning. Our first sub-zero morning in 4 weeks. Finally!

User avatar
chasersaddict76
Cumulus
Posts: 33
Joined: Wed Jul 10, 2019 8:36 pm
Location: Bendigo

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by chasersaddict76 » Mon Jul 22, 2019 3:38 pm

July getting hopeless rainfall is below average is likely..
Only had 21mm out of 56.4mm average month.
So far this year May and June was over average wettest month.

Hope frontal bring some showers as will not be much...

tonycynic
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 394
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 5:57 pm
Location: Mount Evelyn (h),Donvale (w)

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by tonycynic » Tue Jul 23, 2019 6:11 am

Checked the forecast before bed, afternoon rain/showers. Wake up to rain and more inbound. Check the forecast again, still saying late afternoon. Wake up BOM and look out the window.

Tassiedave
Cumulonumbus Calvas
Posts: 610
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2010 11:09 am
Location: Grindelwald Tasmania

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by Tassiedave » Tue Jul 23, 2019 6:51 am

Rain overnight in Tasmania: Henty Canal 28mm, Wynyard 19mm, Sheffield 14mm, Devonport 11 mm, Deloraine 11mm, Launceston 7.6mm, Hobart 0.2mm. Yesterday Hobart was 17.7 degrees, 6 degrees above average.

User avatar
hillybilly
Senior Moderator
Posts: 2988
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Ferny Creek 560m in Melbourne’s east
Contact:

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by hillybilly » Tue Jul 23, 2019 7:11 am

Messy radar this morning with heavy showers but also big gaps in the bands. Things are also training so if you gets under one could be a quick 5-10mm, or miss and it’s zilch. Just under a mm so far in FC. We usually do we’ll under these setups so should see a decent fall, but always comes down to a bit of luck.
chasersaddict76 wrote:
Mon Jul 22, 2019 3:38 pm
July getting hopeless rainfall is below average is likely..
Only had 21mm out of 56.4mm average month.
So far this year May and June was over average wettest month.

Hope frontal bring some showers as will not be much...
Yep, bit of a downturn. Most of Southern OZ is on track for a below average one. Guess as expected with a positive IOD
pattern in the Indian Ocean, but you always hope somehow you buck the trend. The Dandenong have done quite good compared to most with our rain just 10-15mm below average. Should sneak above the average by the end of this sequence :D

Gordon
Supercell
Posts: 1983
Joined: Thu Jun 17, 2010 10:01 am
Location: Near Gordon, Vic. 620 m asl

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by Gordon » Tue Jul 23, 2019 9:24 am

9.5mm here, 60mm mtd. Looks like another decent burst with the next front later today.

Meanwhile, 28mm to go to our monthly average.

Macedonian
Supercell
Posts: 1997
Joined: Mon Dec 21, 2009 10:44 pm
Location: Mount Macedon Vic at 870m above sea level

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by Macedonian » Tue Jul 23, 2019 10:00 am

Yr.no has 2cm of snow for Mt Macedon this evening. Can't see it myself.

Dane
Supercell
Posts: 1397
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 9:51 am
Location: Sebastopol 420m ASL

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by Dane » Tue Jul 23, 2019 10:15 am

2.4mm's overnight here, MTD 48.5mm's (ave 67mm's) looks like we may fall short of that.
Should get a few more mm's later today but not that much more after that.

Skywalker
Supercell
Posts: 1558
Joined: Sun Nov 29, 2009 10:03 am
Location: Burnside Heights/Cowes (Home) & Sunshine West (Work)

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by Skywalker » Tue Jul 23, 2019 10:43 am

tonycynic wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2019 6:11 am
Checked the forecast before bed, afternoon rain/showers. Wake up to rain and more inbound. Check the forecast again, still saying late afternoon. Wake up BOM and look out the window.
You should know by now the BOM takes a "all eggs in one basket approach" to their Melbourne forecasts. ;)

Had a brief 5 minute shower push through with that band earlier, otherwise it's been dry & windy! :x
Things are certainly not looking good for my area at least. It's been a while since we had a solid rainfall event come off here.
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.

User avatar
chasersaddict76
Cumulus
Posts: 33
Joined: Wed Jul 10, 2019 8:36 pm
Location: Bendigo

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by chasersaddict76 » Tue Jul 23, 2019 11:31 am

Jet Stream wave over South Victoria Today and High Pressure is very stubborn for next 14 days keep pushing frontal away and rest Australia inland dry freezing mornings.

JasmineStorm
Supercell
Posts: 1836
Joined: Thu Sep 22, 2016 9:40 pm
Location: Kyneton 527 ASL

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by JasmineStorm » Tue Jul 23, 2019 4:42 pm

4mm during the day as an entrée, main course now starting

User avatar
Australis(Shell3155)
Supercell
Posts: 2507
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2009 8:05 pm
Location: Boronia
Contact:

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by Australis(Shell3155) » Tue Jul 23, 2019 5:46 pm

Radar :o
noticed wind picked up not long ago..
still dry here..

SC.
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 334
Joined: Wed Nov 25, 2009 5:57 pm
Location: Notting Hill
Contact:

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by SC. » Tue Jul 23, 2019 6:39 pm

Been windy for a couple of hours. Had two cracks of thunder just now.
Matt

http://vintagemoviepostersforum.com/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

User avatar
Australis(Shell3155)
Supercell
Posts: 2507
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2009 8:05 pm
Location: Boronia
Contact:

Re: Sequence of fronts in a westerly stream: July 21-26

Post by Australis(Shell3155) » Tue Jul 23, 2019 7:10 pm

Couple flashes,
I'm thinking more rain than 0.6 which is noted for Scoresby,
Was pretty heavy for a bit.

Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests