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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2019 8:04 am
by hillybilly
Tassiedave wrote: ↑Sun Apr 21, 2019 8:01 am
Beyond today ACCESS G suggests a massive HIGH will sit over South East Australia for days on end.
EC has it in the bight so swly stream most days. Cooler with some showers, though won’t make it much over the divide
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2019 2:01 pm
by neil275
Looks like a line of storms heading my way. Would be the first rain since .... I can't remember when. Watching the radar with interest.
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2019 2:43 pm
by Luken
We camping near Eildon, and that line looks to be building and heading our way.. I have mixed feelings about that, but it will be interesting to say the least. Good tent and cover setup so cant imagine it being too bad ... famous last words.
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2019 5:40 pm
by Wilko
I must say I am not enjoying the new norm
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2019 7:11 pm
by Horts
Boooooring.
Not even any waves to paddle around on.
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2019 7:44 pm
by Australis(Shell3155)
Water falling from sky...
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2019 7:45 pm
by Skywalker
Yawn, yet another non-event.
The drought continues......
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2019 8:17 pm
by Tassiedave
Today's Temps in Tas: Campania 27.4, Grove 26.2, Hobart 25.7, Friendly Beaches 25.1, Launceston 24.0, St Helens 21.8
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2019 8:29 pm
by hillybilly
1mm here
Watching a band of storms training just to my west. Not sure if it will slip away or move east. Few falls in the 5-10mm rain showing up over the middle eastern burbs. Other area doing ok is the northeast (as expected).
Sadly another bust for most. Not surprising, but disappointing. I’ve never seen such a shocking run,with last year awful (saved by the freak November and December rainfall), and now back to record (or there abouts) dry again
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2019 8:34 pm
by Didjman
The only water to hit the dirt here was from my hose.
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2019 8:51 pm
by Onetahuti
2.8mm for here, will put a bit of water into the tank as well as no need to water new lawn tomorrow.
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2019 8:56 pm
by Blackie
Hi All,
Finally some rain to measure tonight at Mansfield. 5mm so far with tons CGs and some of the best crawlers in recent years, all last at least 2 hours.
The talcum powder that is the surface around here has finally been settled.
B
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2019 11:26 pm
by Sean
Well, it spat at least..
10mm so far this April. So, it won't be the driest on record, but it will still be much drier than usual unless we get something substantial in the next week and a bit.
Soil very dry a few centimetres below the surface. A week of 20s and some wind will dry it out completely.
I keep hoping that our luck will change, but it feels like we're trying to scramble up a near-vertical sand dune. I mean, the YTD is shocking, even in the areas doing best.
When the **** are we gonna have a good year? It's been a literal decade just about.
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Mon Apr 22, 2019 6:30 am
by hillybilly
Just over 3mm here in the end. Local AWS did a bit better with 5mm. Near miss with some nice storms developing off the backside of the Dandenongs, so could have easily have been 10 or 20mm (but not to be).
Cooler week ahead, with showers becoming more widespread later Thursday and Friday. Could add up locally in the south, but again best goes through Tasmania. Another front about Sunday.
Sean wrote: ↑Sun Apr 21, 2019 11:26 pm
When the **** are we gonna have a good year? It's been a literal decade just about.
You can trace this back to late 1996. Since then we've had below average rainfall the majority of months, with the occasional deluge. No regularity to the rainfall, and the best of it has tended to come from the tropics (think the crazy wet conditions in "summer" 2010/11 and 2011/12, really wet November/December 2017 & 2018).
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Mon Apr 22, 2019 7:47 am
by Tassiedave
Rainfall overnight in Tasmania: Corra Linn 8.8mm, Launceston 6.4mm, Scottsdale 6.2mm, Low Head 6.2mm, Poatina 3.8mm, Hobart 1.2mm
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Mon Apr 22, 2019 10:04 am
by Macedonian
hillybilly wrote: ↑Mon Apr 22, 2019 6:30 am
Just over 3mm here in the end. Local AWS did a bit better with 5mm. Near miss with some nice storms developing off the backside of the Dandenongs, so could have easily have been 10 or 20mm (but not to be).
Cooler week ahead, with showers becoming more widespread later Thursday and Friday. Could add up locally in the south, but again best goes through Tasmania. Another front about Sunday.
Sean wrote: ↑Sun Apr 21, 2019 11:26 pm
When the **** are we gonna have a good year? It's been a literal decade just about.
You can trace this back to late 1996. Since then we've had below average rainfall the majority of months, with the occasional deluge. No regularity to the rainfall, and the best of it has tended to come from the tropics (think the crazy wet conditions in "summer" 2010/11 and 2011/12, really wet November/December 2017 & 2018).
You are so right HB. I moved to melbourne from the blue mountains at the end of '95 and except for 2010-2012 it has been dismally dry the whole time. Moving up onto mt macedon has been the only saving grace as far as rainfall goes.
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Mon Apr 22, 2019 11:44 am
by stevco123
Perhaps this is in fact the norm and the many years before 1996 were in fact exceptional, instead of the other way 'round?
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Mon Apr 22, 2019 11:55 am
by Macedonian
I doubt it. Long term monthly averages show remarkably even rainfall. Not the boom-bust sort of stuff we have been getting since the turn of the century.
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Mon Apr 22, 2019 12:14 pm
by Gordon
We've been lucky enough to have had a good run here since 2010, including last year (thank goodness!).
However I've never seen a flash drought like the one that's hit us this year - that's only 22 years of records admittedly, but still, it is just incredible how fast and hard it's happened. Basically negligible rain for almost 4 months (no double figure daily totals at all, among other mini-records).
As an aside, the BOM rainfall outlooks have been consistently pathetic - as if anyone needs reminding. Why such poor information continues to be published, I do not know.
Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?
Posted: Mon Apr 22, 2019 1:00 pm
by JasmineStorm
I actually had a look at BoM data recently on this long term topic at the nearest long term station to here, Malmsbury reservoir dating back to 1872. Here are the driest starts to the year in order. 2019 is currently 14th associated with this BoM data.
January to March
1882 - 6mm
1965 - 20mm
1967 - 22mm
1923 - 23mm
1892 - 27mm
2009 - 28mm
1879 - 31mm
1893 - 31mm
1986 - 34mm
1894 - 36mm
1992 - 37mm
1985 - 41mm
1997 - 41mm
2019 - 43mm (14th)