Models seem to be settled on a good event
Each is similar and gives a drink to everywhere apart from the far west and northwest which may not get much (which is typical in summer).
Stinker today, though thankfully nothing like those truely awful days earlier in summer. Temps mainly mid to high 30s south, high 30s to 40s north. Wind are pretty light and front unimpressive, but air is rather dry and it’s hot enough to be a worry with things so dry
Showers start from tomorrow, first mainly east. Becoming more widespread Tuesday as the upper trough settles in to our west and surface trough slowly digs southwest. Might get some showers and storms in northcentral and central areas, but mainly east were some will be heavy. Wednesday and Thursday then bring widespread showers and storm. Instability is excellent and the precipitable water values are high so they should be dumpers. Mount Isa which is broadly the source region for what’s starting to come south had its highest precipitable water value on record yesterday, so we have a record wet airmass parked to our north. We could well approach records in Victoria, depending on how it plays out down here in the coming days.
Showery then from Friday to Monday, particularly south.