The Australian Weather Forum

hillybilly wrote: ↑Wed Dec 05, 2018 6:46 pm

I'm trying to work out how Ballarat temps of 14-32 Thursday, 20-34 on Friday, and 18-28 on Saturday, constitute a 'low intensity heatwave

Possible significant system later next week which EC is really keen on.

Yeah, noticed that too. EC still keen this morning but GFS isn't. Something to watch though.

"Well that escalated quickly..."

And 30.0c at 11:09am in the city already.

Opticast is now saying 39 for tomorrow as well.

Great day out there and Hot one tomorrow

Sat through Tues Wed could be hot and stormy on and north of the ranges early next week lucky them

Mild SSE winds here for us i think with trough just to our N and E

More typical December pattern though with Heat and moisture building over the continent

Some really dry air around Adelaide atm, 8-10% humidity and dew points down to -4c in some parts.

Geez, didn't take long for the media to sensationalise normal summer heat, using word like "Unprecedented"in the article below.

Must be a VERY slow news day.

https://www.news.com.au/technology/envi ... 71732eeee2

stevco123 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:25 pm Geez, didn't take long for the media to sensationalise normal summer heat, using word like "Unprecedented"in the article below.

Must be a VERY slow news day.

https://www.news.com.au/technology/envi ... 71732eeee2

It is NewsCorp...

stevco123 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:25 pm Geez, didn't take long for the media to sensationalise normal summer heat, using word like "Unprecedented"in the article below.

Must be a VERY slow news day.

https://www.news.com.au/technology/envi ... 71732eeee2

Yep, obviously they have already forgotten what an unprecedented summer scorcher really is. Perhaps they need a trip down memory lane. Black Saturday anyone?

Skywalker wrote: ↑Thu Dec 06, 2018 2:26 pm

stevco123 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:25 pm Geez, didn't take long for the media to sensationalise normal summer heat, using word like "Unprecedented"in the article below.

Must be a VERY slow news day.

https://www.news.com.au/technology/envi ... 71732eeee2

Yep, obviously they have already forgotten what an unprecedented summer scorcher really is. Perhaps they need a trip down memory lane. Black Saturday anyone?

My gut feeling is this is about a once every couple of years event for Melbourne for December (nowadays). 40s used to be quite rare in December so if we get one, then it might pop up a bit higher.

I do wonder about the run of 35C at Mildura. A week is a long run in December. I can’t inagine that’s happened often before

Btw some extreme numbers showing up in northern Australia. 45.2C at Wyndham which is barely below their highest on record. Lots of near misses or records in other tropical sites. If that dives south there will be some serious heat

Looks like a fire gone up near Ballarat on the radar

Emergency warning out for area around Buninyong

hillybilly wrote: ↑Thu Dec 06, 2018 3:39 pm Looks like a fire gone up near Ballarat on the radar

Emergency warning out for area around Buninyong

I just had one of those Elvis air crane helicopters fly over heading up that way.

Progs rolling in are looking better for patchy rain trailing the change form late Saturday through Sunday. GFS3 and CMC both have quite widespread 10mm plus falls, and locally over 25mm. Meanwhile stinker tomorrow. Most spots on the flats are going to be close to 40C by the mid arvo. Not a nice day.

They are also picking up something big second half of next week. EC has been keen on this second system for a while, so seems to be firming

hillybilly wrote: ↑Thu Dec 06, 2018 4:52 pm Progs rolling in are looking better for patchy rain trailing the change form late Saturday through Sunday. GFS3 and CMC both have quite widespread 10mm plus falls, and locally over 25mm. Meanwhile stinker tomorrow. Most spots on the flats are going to be close to 40C by the mid arvo. Not a nice day.

They are also picking up something big second half of next week. EC has been keen on this second system for a while, so seems to be firming

Late next week has me interested very much so

32.6c as a maximum today. Hottest day in a long time. Still 31c, so it’s going to be a warm night.

33.1 top here. Currently 30/12

Just on 37c for me today and currently on 30c.

Min of 23C for us in FC. Going to be a stinker. Anticipate something around 34 or 35C for us which is about 40C equivalent at sea level.

Thankfully just one shocker in this sequence for us in the south, though the front is weak as and will take a day or two to clear through to the east/northeast. No relief for spots like Mildura and Albury till the second half of the weekend

Some showers developing around middle of the day Saturday. Still looks like we should get a few mms.

Progs going big for late next week. CMC and GFS have got widespread 25-75mm falls

Overnight min here was 27.4°C no complaints slept well.

hillybilly wrote: ↑Fri Dec 07, 2018 4:36 am Some showers developing around middle of the day Saturday. Still looks like we should get a few mms.

Progs going big for late next week. CMC and GFS have got widespread 25-75mm falls

Yes, both the weekend and next week looking quite a bit better on this morning's WATL runs

Currently 35c here in the western desert on the way to a potential 40c.