The Australian Weather Forum

StratoBendigo wrote: ↑Sun Jun 17, 2018 8:34 am
A Laverton radar special by the looks of it. Kilmore Gap will cop a pasting too.

I am just down the hill from Kilmore Gap. 15mm in the manual gauge (few minutes ago) and coming down again now.

Looks like it's just about over here . Can see blue sky to my east and south east. Radar suggests a long dry spell coming up. Surprising to see that actually

Finished on 36mm for the 24 hours here. That’s a big fall for June, which tends to be a drier month with heavy falls less frequent here. Had 1mm more since. MTD about 80mm now.

Going more southerly now so the focus of the showers moves towards the city though to areas like Macedon.

Looks like about 25cm of snow in the Yarra Ranges overnight at spots like Donna Buang and Lake Mountain. Good fall, but geez got nothing on the 1990 event which dropped two or three times that in May. Headed up there shortly for a look

Looks like some decent rain starting to make its way to the northern side of the central highlands. Blustery rain here for the last hour or so, but just easing off and brightening up a bit now. Up to 18.3mm since midnight.

Absolutely pelting down here. 25mm for the last 24 hours.

Interesting talk at the local Bunnings in the lines of "it was meant to rain the whole day, but it's sunnny. Bloody bureau wrong again".

I'm sure thats not what the western side of town thinks

23.7mm's to 9am here, MTD now 52.2mm's - ave 69mm's

The moisture advection machine is ramping up nicely. Air temps averaging 5c to 10c below the sea surface temps. The snaking convergence zones is one to watch on the radar. The one just to the east of the city is nearly -60c on the cloud tops atm.

Just had a blast of sleet here. Thats the closest to snow that it has been here at 870m despite the bureau prediction of snow to 700m over two days.

Heavy, heavy rain here as I go under a line of orange. Its absolutely dumping!

stevco123 wrote: ↑Sun Jun 17, 2018 10:00 am Interesting talk at the local Bunnings in the lines of "it was meant to rain the whole day, but it's sunnny. Bloody bureau wrong again".

I'm sure thats not what the western side of town thinks

Well that's my greatest criticism of the way the BOM does their forecasts for the Melbourne area. They throw the entire metro area into the same basket and release one forecast for all. When you do that your always going to get the forecasts wrong for certain parts (different Geographic's), which then opens you up to criticism from the public.

Meanwhile it's still coming down here with the wind really picking up out there.

Very tricky one for BOM in this setup with a shift in shower/ rain streams by just a few km making a huge difference to totals - we've nearly doubled our overnight total in just 2 hours as we've come under one of those. (Although I must say, their Climate Outlook for a warm, dry June is looking a bit sick )

Up to 18mm since yesterday so 40mm plus for the dates. Love how widespread this week's 'event' is proving to be, with different flow directions sharing it around .

Significant amounts of water vapour being detected in the in the mid levels of the troposphere over the western side of the bay atm.

BANG!!! Thunder here!

Been very dark here for last 10 mins. only light rain atm. Scud is flying along from WSW at no more than 500ft AGL. I think radar over estimating rain intensity for here.

25.0 mm for here since midnight.


BOM is always going to lose out on a situation like today. The electronic media where the vast majority get forecasts from would not give out more detailed localised forecasts (how many of these Bunnings weather gurus would be bothered to listen anyway) as that would take ages thus no ad revenue.

Very surprised there's been no road weather alert for the metropolitan area. Some places have been absolutely hammered, notably Viewbank and in the last 15 minutes the Airport. Just missed the convergence zones from my location and the sun is out That being said, we've had 25 mm here since last night so I cannot complain! Western suburbs are going to do extremely well from this.

Wish I was in line for some of those downpours. Looks like it must be a total whiteout!

Hunter1890 wrote: ↑Sun Jun 17, 2018 11:32 am Some places have been absolutely hammered, notably Viewbank and in the last 15 minutes the Airport.

My wife reported lightning and thunder from Oaklands Quarry (5klms nth of airport)

At the airport "WND: VARYING 170 & 240/20 KTS. MAXIMUM CROSSWIND 18 KTS." On Rwy 16 (just changed runway from rwy27)