Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

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hillybilly
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Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by hillybilly » Tue Apr 10, 2018 11:43 am

Decent sequence of fronts and troughs showing up from about Friday PM. First system approaches the southwest late Friday moving into central areas early Saturday. There are then a series of rapidly moving troughs.

Falls looks ok for most areas, though not huge - mainly in the 10-25mm range. Better falls about the northeast ranges. Chance to get the dismal April off to a proper start :?

Temps start out well above average, but chill to a few degrees below the norm by early next week. Could see a bit of snow on the peaks, but doesn’t stay around for long.

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by Tassiedave » Wed Apr 11, 2018 3:48 pm

Wow! 39.3 degrees in Hopetoun today!

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by Dane » Wed Apr 11, 2018 4:14 pm

Yeah saw that TD equals the all time April record set by Mildura yesterday.
Only reached 23.6c here in Cranbourne and 22.2c in the City thanks to sea breezes.

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by Dane » Thu Apr 12, 2018 3:50 pm

Latest BOM climate outlook for May to July predicting above normal temperatures
and Rainfall close to normal for the Melbourne area.
The front on Saturday is looking good - hope it delivers.

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by JasmineStorm » Fri Apr 13, 2018 7:06 am

Tomorrow's system is being set up by a 340 km/h polar jet. There is going to be wind damage in Victoria tomorrow.

https://earth.nullschool.net/#2018/04/1 ... 62,-56.969

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by Rivergirl » Fri Apr 13, 2018 11:49 am

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
For people in Central, East Gippsland, Mallee, South West, Northern Country, North Central, North East, West and South Gippsland and Wimmera Forecast Districts.

Issued at 11:01 am Friday, 13 April 2018.
A series of active cold fronts will affect Victoria over the next few days. The first cold front will reach the southwest this evening before moving through the remainder of the State overnight and early Saturday. A second and stronger cold front will reach the southwest during the late morning on Saturday before affecting remaining parts of Victoria during the afternoon.

DAMAGING winds of 50 to 70 km/h with gusts to around 90 km/h are forecast for the South West, North Central, Central, North East and West and South Gippsland during tonight and early Saturday in association with the first cold front.

DAMAGING winds of 60 to 80 km/h are expected over all Victorian districts during Saturday, mainly during the afternoon. Across the northern plains, wind gusts of 90 to 100 km/h are possible while elsewhere wind gusts may reach 100 to 120 km/h.

DESTRUCTIVE winds of 70 to 90 km/h with peak gusts of around 130 km/h are possible about the Alpine peaks (above 1200 metres) during Saturday afternoon and early evening.
Isolated thunderstorms are possible during tonight and Saturday and wind gusts above 90 km/h are possible.
The wind is expected to ease in most areas during Saturday although strong to gale force winds may remain near the coast and over the Alpine area.
Locations which may be affected include Mildura, Horsham, Warrnambool, Bendigo, Shepparton, Seymour, Maryborough, Ballarat, Geelong, Melbourne, Wodonga, Wangaratta, Traralgon and Bairnsdale.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move vehicles under cover or away from trees;
* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony;
* Keep clear of fallen power lines;

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEST Friday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 217. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by stevco123 » Fri Apr 13, 2018 2:18 pm

I need some help on how to record my maximums for the last two days. I seem to have lost my memory on how it is done.

11th April, the temp rose to 24.6 during the day at 2pm, but the next morning it shot up to 26.5 before 9am.

This means my maximum for the 11th of APril is 26.5 correct?
http://www.weatherlink.com/user/stevco1 ... &headers=1" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; for current weather updated every 2 minutes

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by hillybilly » Fri Apr 13, 2018 4:20 pm

Yep, the maximum is 9am to 9am. Twice in the last week Melbourne’s maximum has been set in the early hours of the following day.

Progs looking very good for southern areas with consistent 15-40mm falls. Lower falls as you go north, but still probably the best event in a long time.

Wild day Saturday, and watch for a significant storm surge on Port Phillip Bay.

Bit of snow in the alps, but airmass isn’t overly cold so don’t think it will stick for long.

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by stevco123 » Fri Apr 13, 2018 10:45 pm

Blowing an absolute gale here.This is more like it. Typical autumn pre-frontal weather
http://www.weatherlink.com/user/stevco1 ... &headers=1" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; for current weather updated every 2 minutes

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by Blackie » Fri Apr 13, 2018 11:56 pm

First time here in awhile on account of settled (boring) Victorian weather. Enjoying the never ending balmy weeks though, as worrying as it is.
Have been observing lightening from over toward Mt Buller for that last hour or so.

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by hillybilly » Sat Apr 14, 2018 1:20 am

Some impressive dust storm photos doing the rounds. This one is from near Horsham :o

Blowing but and cooler bit still zilch rain at home. MTD sat on 5mm, so just need another 110mm to get to our monthly average :o :? :(

Image

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by Tassiedave » Sat Apr 14, 2018 8:52 am

Rainfall to 9 am: Sheffield 19 mm, Launceston 9 mm, Mt Arthur 17 mm, Scottsdale 7.6 mm, Nunamara 20 mm, Hobart 0.6 mm, St Helens 2.6 mm, Grindelwald 19.6 mm

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by JasmineStorm » Sat Apr 14, 2018 9:40 am

3 sites in the SW have had gusts of 100 km/h this morning. Mt Gellibrand now down to 990 hPa.

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by Didjman » Sat Apr 14, 2018 10:31 am

Gusts to 53klm here atm - but we are at the bottom of the "Kilmore Gap" hill.

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by Macedonian » Sat Apr 14, 2018 10:38 am

Raining, a bit breezy and 6C at Mt Macedon now.
The wind isnt too bad at all. It's so nice to see some rain, i hope this spells the end of the never ending summer.

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by JasmineStorm » Sat Apr 14, 2018 10:54 am

Light rain here, wind has just picked up to around 60 km/h. I see Kilmore gap getting up around 90 km/h now Peter :)

How bad is that Broady radar...goodness me. The 512 km Yarrawonga gives a better idea although not great.

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by Didjman » Sat Apr 14, 2018 10:54 am

Satpic is looking pretty special!

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by Didjman » Sat Apr 14, 2018 10:57 am

JasmineStorm wrote:
Sat Apr 14, 2018 10:54 am
I see Kilmore gap getting up around 90 km/h now Peter :)
We are at the bottom of the hill so wind not quite as bad.

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by snowfall » Sat Apr 14, 2018 11:25 am

Very windy here. Just some light showers so far and 0.7mm, but getting darker to my west. The radars sure are challenging today - I've been switching between the NW Tasmania and Yarrawonga ones, but only get coverage at 512km.

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Re: Sequence of fronts: April 13-18

Post by snowfall » Sat Apr 14, 2018 11:29 am

Bucketing down now with windy, driving rain.

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