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Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

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Tassiedave
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by Tassiedave »

Great Lake Hotel Tasmania
Great Lake Hotel Tasmania
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by StratoBendigo »

HarleyB wrote: Sun Dec 03, 2017 9:09 am StratoBendigo would have had less Skywalker, but yeah, considering that's on the low end, pretty great going I think.
Errr, we got 25mm all up. In all honesty I was expecting 50-100mm. We did score 33mm last weekend, so all up a decent amount in the past week.

Our all time very soft daily rainfall record of 87mm (March 1914) lives another day...
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by Skywalker »

I agree Harley, it's still a fantastic result. What I'm impressed with is the manner in which it fell, good gradual soaking rain. This will do wonders for the garden. :-D

More pushing through now as the backend clips the metro area.
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by stevco123 »

Dane wrote: Sun Dec 03, 2017 9:30 am 26.0mm's in the 24 hours to 9am here. Event total is 54.2mm's on the low side of things compared to others
even in other parts of Crabourne but still a really good result.
51.6mm's in the last 48 hours here making it my highest 48 hour total since 13/14 November 2013 when 66.5mm's fell.
My parents got the same amount as you.

I got 80mm for the event so far.

Friend in Cranbourne South got 83mm.
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by 93ben »

I'm just annoyed at all the people taking a dig at the BOM (not on this forum so much but social media) saying Bunnings is happy with all the money they got from people buying up sandbags. Those people should be happy their houses didn't flood. There's others out there that did. Besides the totals were probably the largest overnight. So what if you spent time preparing. If you don't trust the BOM next time don't expect help when your area has flooded. It's always better to be well prepared instead of not being prepared.

Considering the low was a lot closer to Tasmania than what the models were suggesting is saying something. It was really hard to predict exactly where it was going to be. The big totals predicted did fall but it was further east away from Melbourne.
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by Dane »

Stevco wrote My parents got the same amount as you.

I got 80mm for the event so far.

Friend in Cranbourne South got 83mm.

Yes Stevco its amazing how rainfall amounts can vary over short
distances sometimes.
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by Onetahuti »

93ben wrote: Sun Dec 03, 2017 12:22 pm I'm just annoyed at all the people taking a dig at the BOM (not on this forum so much but social media) saying Bunnings is happy with all the money they got from people buying up sandbags. Those people should be happy their houses didn't flood. There's others out there that did. Besides the totals were probably the largest overnight. So what if you spent time preparing. If you don't trust the BOM next time don't expect help when your area has flooded. It's always better to be well prepared instead of not being prepared.

Considering the low was a lot closer to Tasmania than what the models were suggesting is saying something. It was really hard to predict exactly where it was going to be. The big totals predicted did fall but it was further east away from Melbourne.
Excuse me but why buy / build in a flood prone area if they really have or in their ignorance were they thinking of Noah's ark type rain, 40 days and forty nights, the BOM didn't have that forecast. The power of social media, all I will say is thanks to all on here who pointed out the difficulty in predicting the precise track and then the formation of the low, well done. 👍

Another 2mm to my earlier post, 68mm in total, only thing unhappy around here are the roses that were in bloom, looking a sorrowful sight today.
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by JasmineStorm »

Cold core 982 hPa cyclone now, with a little sting in her tail through central Vic areas. Looking like a nice cinnamon roll on the 1pm sat pic. Going to be some very good totals also in Tassie by the time she waves good by as well ;)
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by Tassiedave »

Magnificent looking LOW off our south east. Totals starting to mount since 9 am. Kingston 31 mm, Hobart 26 mm, Friendly Beaches 26 mm, Tunnack 26 mm, Fingal 18 mm, Launceston 9.2 mm.
Up until 9 am highlights were Pyengana 102 mm, Friendly Beaches 84 mm, Interlaken 78 mm, Memana 78 mm, Bicheno 71 mm, Upper Blessington 65 mm, Swansea 55 mm, Launceston 52 mm, Hobart 37 mm, Devonport 22 mm, Burnie 18 mm
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by hillybilly »

Lots of showers up here. Another 5mm or so since 9am. Back yard is like a swamp (and we live at the very very top of the hill). I've not seen our block this wet for a long time. Creeks here are running full. Cold day today with a max of just 10.0C.

Pretty amazing that we've had about 160mm but most the local damage is the odd leaky roof and washed out driveway. Guess it shows how well our planning laws and drainage systems work. Also being dry at the start has meant that the soil was able to take a lot of it.

Showery week coming up, with a low on the east coast, which should impact Gippsland and parts of central Vic.
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by typhoon29 »

I know next Sunday is 7 days away but come on it is summer, 18 degs possible showers! I have a bbq; surely that'll change; hoping for 25 degs.....
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by occluded »

95mm for the event from the nearest AWS. Tipped 40mm+ out the gauge a few times over the last few days :)

Still getting some heavy showers coming through at the moment.

The rain filled in on the radar and really ramped up around 5.30 last night and didn't let up for hours. Had some trying conditions while tarping a roof in Donvale in the evening and a big tree down on Beauty Gully Rd kept us busy overnight.
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Empties twice 53 44 total 97mm
Very happy with how it arrived over the weekend for us.
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by Blackie »

Tassiedave wrote: Sun Dec 03, 2017 2:55 pm Magnificent looking LOW off our south east. Totals starting to mount since 9 am. Kingston 31 mm, Hobart 26 mm, Friendly Beaches 26 mm, Tunnack 26 mm, Fingal 18 mm, Launceston 9.2 mm.
Up until 9 am highlights were Pyengana 102 mm, Friendly Beaches 84 mm, Interlaken 78 mm, Memana 78 mm, Bicheno 71 mm, Upper Blessington 65 mm, Swansea 55 mm, Launceston 52 mm, Hobart 37 mm, Devonport 22 mm, Burnie 18 mm
Great to see Tasmania getting a good drink in most areas for a change TD. And that snow is nuts. Top of only 17 here today with a light shower. Fire lit! Gullies and creeks are still flowing well 36 hrs after the main deluge ended.
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by Wilko »

26mm Sat
Event total 54mm :)
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by Dane »

Getting some showers this morning some quite heavy too, checked the gauge at 6.30am
5.8mm's in it but just had another briefly heavy shower.
I see Essendon Airport has had 21mm's.
Bit wintery only 12c here.
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by hillybilly »

Heavy showers this morning dropping another 2mm (and pouring ATM). Bit of a Western Port stream set up here. Even better Port Phillip Bay stream sat over the inner west of Melbourne. Can see the impact of a sharpening upper trough and the warm bays coming into play.

Event is pretty close to 160mmm now, so about 150% of the December average. Fantastic stuff and hopefully sets us up for a green summer here.
I know next Sunday is 7 days away but come on it is summer, 18 degs possible showers! I have a bbq; surely that'll change; hoping for 25 degs.
Was joking at work that people would be complaining about our "cold summer" within 5 days ;) I'm half expecting the papers to run a front page "where's summer" story any day :P This is just typical unreliable Vic weather IMHO. November was our 2nd hottest on record, and spring our 4th warmest.

On a more serious note, I wouldn't wish summer to come in a hurry. People probably don't recall but we had a horrible start to summer 2008/09 in central Vic including local falls over 100mm on the second weekend of December. A month later things were scorched. Goes to show how quickly things can turn.

PS looking at our storm total thinking this is probably the third biggest rain event here since 2001 (but maybe I'm forgetting some???). We had ~180mm in February 2005 and ~200mm in February 2012. Puts this one at around a once a decade type of "storm". Would be great to crack 200mm but that would require the stream to continue for a few more hours.
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by stevco123 »

The total to 9am Sunday in the city was the heaviest 24 hour December rainfall since 1992.

0mm here since midnight, with everything going to the east of me.
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by Tassiedave »

OK guys - What's next? Will the LOW on Wednesday/Thursday stay off the coast or will it impact Victoria and Tassie in any way?
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Re: Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

Post by StratoBendigo »

It's interesting to note that the only big storages in the Goulburn Murray system to see levels rise were Eildon (3%), Waranga Basin(8% but will be more), and Nillahcootie (overflowing).

Eppalock has less water in it now than a week ago....
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