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Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 10:44 pm
by stevco123
Looks like she's-a-coming, albeit I'd have to say in a much narrower form.

Hopefully she delivers or it ramps up a bit

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 10:47 pm
by nafets
Main band stayed west. Have moderate rain now from a new stream coming off the warm bay :)

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 10:51 pm
by JasmineStorm
88mm at Musk (near Daylesford). Just ticked over to 63mm here.

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:05 pm
by nafets
"The Great Ocean Road between Apollo Bay and Binns Road is closed due to a significant number of trees haven fallen across the road." https://emergency.vic.gov.au/respond/#! ... 8/moreinfo

Countless calls for assistance along the coast and in the path of the torrential rain, notably Ocean grove! Sounds nasty.

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:14 pm
by JasmineStorm
Here is the view at 1500m above.... she is an ugly beast. The 2nd core is now deepening in eastern Bass strait off east Gippsland and providing assistance to the convergence zone, almost locking it into place. The east side of the bay is calm but above at 1500m is it chaos. Incredible set up.

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/w ... 77,-38.336

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:17 pm
by Lara_Hunter
Been torential here since around 8:30 and in that time we've had just under 40mm and it's still heavy. Just under 50mm since 9am. I'd say Ocean Grove and some areas on the Bellarine will be sitting well above us.

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:33 pm
by WeatherViewer
Getting hammered here in Tarneit. Pity my rain gauge was playing up this evening. If i was to guess I would say getting close to 40mm now based on other PWS. Still coming down, heaviest consistent rain in years.

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:36 pm
by Adam37
Same in Bacchus Marsh, it looked like the rain band was going to move east but has seem to have stalled... my backyard has turned into a lake 😮

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:40 pm
by JasmineStorm
Goodness me.... the zone is shifting slightly west again. The 2nd developing core must heading north west in Bass strait and forcing the zone to the west :o

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:42 pm
by Sean
JasmineStorm wrote: ↑Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:40 pm Goodness me.... the zone is shifting slightly west again. The 2nd developing core must heading north east in Bass strait and forcing the zone to the west :o
Oh, no! Does that mean I miss out after all? Because it's definitely shifting back west! How weird.

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:43 pm
by dagget
Looks like it is shifting west again, could be in or a wet night.

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:47 pm
by JasmineStorm
Sean wrote: ↑Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:42 pm
JasmineStorm wrote: ↑Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:40 pm Goodness me.... the zone is shifting slightly west again. The 2nd developing core must heading north east in Bass strait and forcing the zone to the west :o
Oh, no! Does that mean I miss out after all? Because it's definitely shifting back west! How weird.
Honestly, I've never seen a set up like it.....the 2nd core must of just cut off and is heading west :?

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:59 pm
by JasmineStorm
Signing off for a break.... currently at 73mm

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Mon Apr 10, 2017 12:25 am
by JasmineStorm
Just spotted a new south easterly attack on the IR sat pic....heading for Melbournes SE burbs through Phillip island in a short while. Can see it appearing on the Melbourne 128 km radar. This new attack is part of the reason the zone is pushing slightly west.

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Mon Apr 10, 2017 12:39 am
by Vic
JasmineStorm wrote: ↑Mon Apr 10, 2017 12:25 am Just spotted a new south easterly attack on the IR sat pic....heading for Melbournes SE burbs through Phillip island in a short while. Can see it appearing on the Melbourne 128 km radar. This new attack is part of the reason the zone is pushing slightly west.
To add to that it appears that on the 264km radar it looks like the new attack may be joining up with the old one.. Or maybe it's late and i'm imagining things?

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Mon Apr 10, 2017 1:40 am
by snowfall
Incredible situation. Still belting down here - 51mm. I thought the wrap around would have cleared us by now but amazing that it has retrograded west. Really drenching the central highlands.

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Mon Apr 10, 2017 1:54 am
by snowfall
And another few mm in quick time plus a howling wind. I haven't seen conditions this extreme in quite a while. Seems to be breaking up somewhat on the radar at the moment, though we are still stuck under a steam of heavy rain.

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Mon Apr 10, 2017 1:58 am
by StratoBendigo
Raining again here. Event total closing in on 50mm. Redesdale over 60mm! One out of the box.

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Mon Apr 10, 2017 2:22 am
by snowfall
58mm here now, closing in on 60 quite quickly. Had a flash of lightning and thunder earlier.

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Posted: Mon Apr 10, 2017 5:25 am
by 93ben
Can't believe this system has stayed in the west for this long! I hope everyone is ok over there.