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2-3 January - Hot

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Jake Smethurst
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by Jake Smethurst »

Squall warning just issued by the BoM.
Squall Warning
For Port Phillip and Western Port

Issued at 3:58 pm EDT on Saturday 3 January 2015

A line of thunderstorms is approaching from the west and is expected to reach
Geelong at approximately 4:45pm and sweep across Port Phillip, reaching Western
Port at approximately 5:30. Wind gusts in excess of 50 knots are possible just
ahead of and with the thunderstorms.

No further alerts will be issued for this event.
And Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Melbourne Area too.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING - MELBOURNE AREA
for DAMAGING WIND, HEAVY RAINFALL and LARGE HAILSTONES

For people in the Port Phillip, Western, Geelong and Bellarine Peninsula and parts of the Mornington Peninsula, Inner and Northern Local Warning Areas.
Issued at 4:21 pm Saturday, 3 January 2015.

The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 4:15 pm, severe thunderstorms were detected on weather radar near Ballarat and Winchelsea. These thunderstorms are moving towards the east. They are forecast to affect Geelong City, Lara and Torquay by 4:45 pm and Caulfield, Craigieburn, Footscray, Frankston, Melbourne City, Melton, Preston, Rosebud, St Albans, Sunbury and Werribee by 5:15 pm.
Damaging winds, heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding and large hailstones are likely.
Wind gusts of 98 km/h recorded at Airey's Inlet and 94 km/h at Mt Gellibrand with this line of storms.
Jake - Senior AWF Forecaster
Feel free to send me a private message if you have any questions.
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stevco123
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by stevco123 »

Looks like it's stalled and breaking up slightly. Damn. I was afraid toys would happen.
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Dane
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by Dane »

Storms to the west do seem to be weakening if the Lightning tracker is to be believed.
Still hopeful of a few mm's and a few rumbles after 6pm.
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Gordon
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by Gordon »

Torrential rain hitting us now, temperature dropping beautifully. Some thunder/lightning but not outrageous amounts.
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stevco123
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by stevco123 »

Our only hope is for it to restrengthen once it crosses the bay, for us east 'burbans. I haute it when it dies like this.

So annoyed.
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Skywalker
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by Skywalker »

stevco123 » Sat Jan 03, 2015 5:19 pm wrote:
stevco123 wrote:Our only hope is for it to restrengthen once it crosses the bay, for us east 'burbans. I haute it when it dies like this.

So annoyed.
Yep, same old crap. Any decent storm weakens as it hits the western suburban force field then re-builds as it crosses the bay towards the eastern suburbs. :roll:
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
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mick
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by mick »

Its a bit confusing when BOM says no further updates will be issued, then issues updates.

Cool shange hit carrum, at 17.32 down to 31 from 41. calm now, then the big drop to 22. s/ssw winds atm.
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mick
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by mick »

Its clearing way out west already, bay looks to be about to smash this front to a dry change hope im wrong..
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Dane
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by Dane »

Storms continuing to weaken as they approach may not get much at all I think.
BTW City top was 38.2c today old site came in with 38.4c - I got 37.5c so still no 40 this summer yet.
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Gordon
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by Gordon »

6 mm in about 10 minutes from the first lot here, more to come. Just spent the last little while clearing out gutters. Couldn't start a fire with a flame thrower here now :) .
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Jake Smethurst
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by Jake Smethurst »

Looks to be re-strenghtening slightly. Still one to watch, I've observed a few CG strikes over the bay.
Jake - Senior AWF Forecaster
Feel free to send me a private message if you have any questions.
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Gordon
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by Gordon »

Up to 10 mm here and sitting on 19 C.

As others have noted, it's been a while since we've had such an abrupt change from nasty fire weather to cool & wet. Heaven!
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Dane
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by Dane »

Gee what a fizzer of a system so far. Not a drop of rain.
Showers keep approaching and then just dissapait as they get near.
Might not get anything at all from this. :x
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droughtbreaker
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by droughtbreaker »

Following the models perfectly atm, i.e. storms over west vic fizzling once they got to central, but now a rain band redeveloping in western and west central. There's not a massive amount with it but it should extend through most of the Melbourne area tonight. Eastern VIC sees less of it.

Only 1.5mm here with the trough c/o a brief heavy shower (massive drops), but no thunder or lightning whatsoever. The change was barely noticeable. Hardly a breath of wind and a steady drop in temp rather than a sudden drop (as is usual with summer trough/fronts). There was only about 20 minutes here late this afternoon where we got anything resembling a strong wind gust.
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BringOnTheCoolChange
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by BringOnTheCoolChange »

The rain is moving very slowly West to East, it's going more South then anything tho.
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mad*moo73
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by mad*moo73 »

Is there some kind of force field over the middle of the bay stopping the rain moving any further east? I swear the humidity is awful I'd rather have the heat back!
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WeatherViewer
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by WeatherViewer »

Raining nicely here in Wyndham Vale. Seems we are on the right side of the rainband. Any rain is welcome in the Arid lands 35km south west of the CBD, cooling down nicely to.
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Australis(Shell3155)
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Raining nicely in Mansfield 5am,
Bed room has sat on 30 all day, opened windows at wrong time later afternoon and up to 33,
Dropped down to 29 most of the late night now sitting on 27,
Few rumbles and this smell is divine..
Day wasn't as bad as was expecting.
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dazrain
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by dazrain »

Light rain here in Brighton East. Probably only 1mm/hr rate hardly showing in the radar.

Beautiful after the last 2 days!
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Desertdust
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Re: 2-3 January - Hot

Post by Desertdust »

A very handy 10mm in the tube this morning. That's a substantial drop in this dry area, very welcome :D
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