Couple of warm days followed by fronts in the coming period. The fronts have quite marked temperatures drops but lack decent tropical infeeds so rain will be limited.
Today sees 30s across the north, and mid to high 20s in the south. Sunday and early Monday also warm(er).
Unfortunately, minimal chance of storms with today's system, but perhaps a chance on Monday.
Might be time to dust off the sprinkler in this neck of the woods. We haven't had anything substantial rain wise for 2 weeks now. The most we have had has been the 1-2mm on cup day.
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
Same here Skywalker..... Seems like we are going from flood to bushfires within a couple of months if it doesn't rain soon.
The Mallee is nudging 33 degrees and Melbourne is having a late run at 30. Kyneton is 26.4 which gives a range of 21 degrees for the day. Winds up around 70 km/h around Port Phil Bay and 80 on the west coast.
Someone has certainly turned the tap off, actually had the sprinklers on the back lawn the other day, nothing substantial is going to come from the sky soon by the looks and with these winds the ground is drying out quick around here. Can't believe just over a month ago we were worrying about flooding. Going to be a great summer with all this growth around unless we get something decent soon and the temps are only going to go up from now .
Glourious day here today. 23C with moderate wind, but not too bad. We've sneaked nearly 70mm in the last two weeks so things look really good, but yep noticing not far off the mountain that it's started to dry out fast. Been some really dry air masses and lots of wind which really saps the moisture. We've switched from a strong negative IOD to a strongly negative SAM (which tends to dry out OZ in November by cutting off tropical moisture). Been well picked by the models (btw).
Weak band of showers coming up for overnight.. thinking maybe 5mm here, but most areas will get little or none. Mondays system looks a bit better.
A lovely gusty south westerly 6 degrees (2 degrees wind chill) start here this morning. Nothing registered in the gauge. Not expecting too much today other than a cold strong wind. Not seeing too much going on up here for the next 6 days.
Looks like a cut off low next weekend in SE OZ but models still very wobbly.....
Looks like a pretty wet morning down Pakenham/Warragul way with winds off Bass Strait, but nothing getting past the Otways for the Melbourne area. Bay temps are around 15C currently, so it will be interesting to see if anything gets going off the bay today, marginal at best I'd say.
(Edit; ...and 15 minutes later we're getting our first moderate shower off the Bay).
Certainly breezy accompanied with a some light showers down south.
Just had a look at the stats for October from my AWS - daily temp average 5 degrees less than October 2015 and 2.1 degrees less than the 100 year average. Max temps were 8 degrees less than Oct 2015. That is a wild 12 month swing.
Had a few brief showers push through while travelling through Pakenham & beyond on our way down to the island today. Been fairly windy again for something different.
I'll give it a week at the most and we will have to start watering the gardens back out in the west.
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
Inched up to 14 degrees today...... Wind chill under 10 for most of it. A little bit different in the Kimberley at West Roebuck sitting at 46.2 a few hours ago
They have now lost tomorrow's rain, so hopefully they are wrong and we get some
Amazing how the decline of the IOD and SAM switch had just turned off the tap. Hoping this ain't the pattern for summer (the years is currently running similar to 1996 if you like analogues).
Btw looks like a few cms of snow at Buller this morning. Probably similar at Baw Baw. Shows it was a strong front, but moisture turned off.
Another windy showery ugly front about to arrive. Severe weather warning for us again for wind.....I'm going to write complaint to mother nature soon about this wind
Slight (20%) chance of drizzle in the early morning about the outer eastern and northern suburbs. Mostly sunny day. Light winds tending south to southwesterly and increasing to 15 to 250 km/h in the afternoon.
hillybilly wrote:Steady warmup now ahead of the next system for the weekend. That looks productive, but I don't dare start the thread as I don't want to jinx it
Not to worry, JasmineStorm has already got the thread up and running for the weekend.
1.5mm here from that decaying rainband, the drop in temperature was the most notable feature, and the drop off of the wind thankfully.