Storms and rain Feb 25th-March 2nd.

[Skywalker]

Sun starting to come out here, this could make things very interesting later.

[stevco123]

Have a look at that!! A flood watch for Melbourne. Surprise surprise. A cold front is still lookimg for tomorrow and that should bring another band of rain. The warning suggests another 40-5omm + by tomorrow night. Depending on storms ofcourse.

[occluded]

Cell just popping up now in between Ballarat and Ararat in the clear air slot behind this morning's cloud band.

Sun starting to poke it's way through here in the CBD.

Another 3mm at home since this morning's feast.

[stratospear]

Just noticed that moisture streaming down from TC Rusty is quite substantial. Combine that with the cold front from the SW and lingering humidity - perhaps there is potential for some serious storm action tomorrow...

[Rivergirl]

VIC Flood Watch: Greater Melbourne Catchments
Source: Bureau of Meteorology
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Note: This Flood Watch is a heads-up for possible future flooding and is NOT a Flood Warning (see note below)

Flood Watch For Greater Melbourne Catchments (Werribee, Maribyrnong, Yarra, Dandenong And Bunyip)
Issued at 1:13 pm EDT on Tuesday 26 February 2013

A high pressure system is located over New Zealand, while a low pressure trough over eastern Victoria will drift westwards and weaken today. A cold front will enter western Victoria on Wednesday morning and move across the State during the day. On Thursday a high pressure system will develop south of the Bight and drift eastwards towards Tasmania on Friday.

Rainfall totals of up to 45 mm have been recorded in the 24 hr period to 9AM Tuesday in the Greater Melbourne catchments.

Rainfall totals of 10 to 20 mm have been forecast for the remainder of Tuesday and a further 20 to 30 mm is possible during Wednesday in the Yarra, Dandenong and Bunyip catchments.

Some stream rises have been observed in the Greater Melbourne catchments and with the forecast rainfall flooding may develop in the Yarra, Dandenong and Bunyip catchments from Wednesday.

The Bureau of Meteorology in conjunction with Melbourne Water are monitoring the situation.

Note: This Flood Watch means that people living or working along rivers and streams must monitor the latest weather forecasts and warnings and be ready to move to higher ground should flooding develop. Flood Warnings will be issued if Minor Flood Level is expected to be exceeded at key sites along the main rivers for which the Bureau of Meteorology provides a flood warning service. For detailed explanation see http://www.bom.gov.au/hydro/flood/vic/b ... watch.shtm" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

In the interests of community safety the SES suggests following precautions:

Don't walk, ride or drive through floodwater,
Don't allow children to play in floodwater,
Stay away from waterways and stormwater drains, and
Keep well clear of fallen power lines
Current Emergency Information is available at http://www.ses.vic.gov.au" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.

Current Road and Traffic Information is available at the VicRoads website: http://www.vicroads.vic.gov.au/trafficalerts" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Weather Forecast:
For the latest weather forecast see http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/forecasts/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

[Wilko]

Suns Out
I reckon its absolutely gonna explode this afternoon

[stevco123]

Watch oot for heavy rain tomorrow. We couldeasily pass 100mm for the month total

[nafets]

In the CBD the sun is trying to come out through the low cloud but I don't think it will be long ! Will the rear of the forecast rain today come from storms?

[WeatherViewer]

The sun is definitely peeking through here in Melbourne & getting more steamy.
I know this is off topic but check out the Port Headland weather Radar, some pretty nasty stuff! http://www.weatherzone.com.au/radar/wa/port-hedland" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

[BigTom]

Looking at the visible loop I say most likely there will be storms later on. 26/ DP 20 atm.

[Dane]

25.6mm's here up to 9am and another 14mm's since so almost 40mm's all up.
Takes our MTD to 64.6mm's so surprise surprise we are now above average for the first time since June last year.
Looks like a bit more to come too.

[Dane]

Jake check out the Melbourne rainfall map.
The Clayton South drain may be the closest to Monash.
http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/flood/melbourne.shtml" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

[James]

getting a bit late in the day now and nothing forming much except near ballarat

[Rivergirl]

Severe Weather Warning

IDV28000
Severe Weather Warning
for heavy rain
for people in the Northern Country, North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts

Issued at 2:51 pm EDT on Tuesday 26 February 2013.
Weather Situation

A high pressure system is located over New Zealand, while a low pressure trough is weakening over inland Victoria. A cold front will enter western Victoria on Wednesday morning and then move across the State during the day, clearing the far northeast at night.

Thunderstorms and heavy rain which may lead to flash flooding are forecast for the North East forecast district this evening and again on Wednesday, and parts of the Northern Country, North Central, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts on Wednesday.

A rain-band an isolated thunderstorms will contract to the northeast district this evening and ease overnight. Further heavy rain and thunderstorms are expected to develop across the eastern parts of the Central, Northern Country, North Central districts, West Gippsland and the Northeast district Wednesday afternoon.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:

Don't drive, ride or walk through flood water.
Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.

For emergency help in floods and storms, ring your local SES Unit on 132 500.

The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EDT Tuesday.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio broadcasts; the Bureau's website at http://www.bom.gov.au" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; or call 1300-659-217*.

[stevco123]

That activity in the west is setting Melbourne up for a caning later. Nothing to stop development either.

[typhoon29]

I love being wrong about my early prediction about here today, we have had a slow moving weak thunderstorm unload. Fun fun fun. Very isolated stuff.

[Instability]

Funny enough, although today's maximums did not get near yesterday's, temps across the metro area are higher than at the same time yesterday. Not much happening now beyong the line from Meredith to Beaufort, but with Temps in the mid 20's, DP's around 20, little sea breeze and convection moving in from the west I am not willing to write today off just yet from us Centralites.

Rog.

[I_Love_Storms]

Convection exploding to north and west. It is on again. Mammatus and anvil plumes as well. Maybe the most instability I have seen for the event. Conditions are primed as the colder air edges closer with the trough

[Macedonian]

Something weird is going on, just checked my gauge and it reads 32.5mm and the bom says 39mm since yesterday afternoon here. My gauge has been registering less than the bom over the last few events, It used to be almost always exactly the same. I wonder if the Mount Macedon AWS has been moved?

[tre75]

Hard too see alot of the development as seacloud didn't clear until 4pm or so and then there was sun, the humidity and temps rose quickly, it may take quite sometime for it to really get going but there is alot of low storm cloud bases around, won't take too much for it all to happen all over again this time in slow motion and alot more cell oriented from the look of the radar out meredith way, don't right it off just yet, 4 o-clock - storm o-clock

edit: btw the seabreeze is very weak, just enough to create instability move the air and cool things now & then .. perfect.