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VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by johnno »

Something to keep an eye on thats for sure.. Lets not forget GFS was onto Christmas Day a for a week the weekend before and was generally consistent about it.. Which was the thread I started.. EC never had any decent falls with the odd 3, 5, 7 mm falls for Melbourne that was about it as the week progressed which I think I touched on a couple of times in that thread during that week. EC has been out of whack for a while only 5 days ago it had this system as a slow moving trough moving slowly over the state where no other model showed that at any time especially GFS... EC had rain areas progged across the state for many days with this system especially for Southern areas GFS generally didn't hence BOMS forecasts once again being out of whack. I can freely say EC has gone down hill since 2008 but even moreso the past few months I have kept a close eye on it and GFS seems to be handling things better when it comes to positioning of highs/lows/fronts/troughs.

Back to now its dropped to 18.2c here
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by Dane »

Thunder Now, one low rumble anyway, 5.3mm's now
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by droughtbreaker »

It's all over the place here now. Fairly heavy rain with huge drops that literally lasts about 20 seconds and then eases back for a minute and then comes back for another 30 seconds etc. In the midst of all this the cloud is breaking up and there is some sun poking through.
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by Duckey »

Cracking thunder here now and the rain seems to have set in, temperature has plummeted down to 18.7 from 29.9 just over an hour ago
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by occluded »

3mm so far here from about three short bursts of rain, cooled off markedly and wind has eased back to 'fresh'.

At least the garden is getting a nice drink and the tank getting a little topup.
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by SC. »

A couple of rumbles here too.

I won't be expecting too much rain in the gauge with the rain coming in on such an angle. That's when I turn to the driveway puddle gauge.
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by Meso »

Ok, enough now, I wanna watch cricket.
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by nafets »

Raining heavily now, with some nice cracks of thunder!!!
EDIT: I've been under the small red core, totals quickly rising!
Last edited by nafets on Sun Feb 05, 2012 5:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Go the bombersss!
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by johnno »

Wow gun shot thunder!!!! Hail too finally a decent heavy shower
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by aussiestormfreak »

Wow!! Look at the radar! :o Looks like one very intense line of showers and thunderstorms is getting organised over the Melbourne area, with a few preceding cells (equally intense). :D
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by Flangfest »

Hmmm I'm sitting on my back door step looking at the cell east of Scoresby which should be pouring on us but it's not...doesn't even look like rain is falling from it, but I'm inexperienced with this stuff.
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by AUSSKY »

Trentham has had 7.6mm after the dust went through, dropped form 22C to 10C, had thunder and small hail!
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by stratospear »

Some crazy temperature fluctuations in the NW of the state today. Charlton was 31 degC at 11:30am, 18 degC at 3pm, now back up to 24 degC...

Some seriously cold air for February over Adelaide atm where it is currently only 15 degC!
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by Dc449 »

Some real loud thunder here. Cant see any Lightning. But some nice rain. Hopefully more to come in the next week or 2 because the grass has gone crusty yellow. Stark contrast to last year.
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by Flangfest »

Booming thunder now... just saw a CC then :)
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by AUS_Twisted »

Just had a good one then! To bad nothing is really visible, it's a real mess out there
Last edited by AUS_Twisted on Sun Feb 05, 2012 5:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by stevco123 »

Looks like the AWF storm Forecast was a little off mark today(not criticising lol).currently lightning and thunder here.quite loud too.
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by Duckey »

Amazing at how fast these little cells are moving....dropping large amounts of rain but too localised to really be picked up. Cracks of thunder right overhead now but they'll be gone in 5 mins...
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by AUS_Twisted »

stevco123 » Sun Feb 05, 2012 5:47 pm wrote:
stevco123 wrote:Looks like the AWF storm Forecast was a little off mark today(not criticising lol).currently lightning and thunder here.quite loud too.
That storm forecast is not for today, check when it was issued
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Re: VICTORIA: Trough then cold front. 3rd .. 6th Feb 2012

Post by Instability »

I was just about to type that there is all these strikes on the map but we had not seen a flash or heard a rumble - just had a flash, rumble, FLANG!!!!

LOL, I was just walking outside to take a look at what was happening when the flang hit. The strike was just the other side of the house and had that lovely, crisp bang sound to it :)

Rog.

P.S. how fast is that cell going that is tracking from just east of Yarr Glen to Phillip Island?? It has covered 76km in half an hour :o
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