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Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Event discussion and analysis for Victoria and Tasmania, including day to day weather.
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stevco123
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by stevco123 »

100% humidity, rain coming straight down, no wind. Definitely feels like far north Queensland out there.

14mm in half an hour, 45mm since 9am yesterday, and the nearby Melbourne Water gauge confirms that with 46mm.
Radar looks interesting.
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
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Gordon
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by Gordon »

A miss for us (relatively speaking!) with 14mm to 9am. Hard to believe given the warnings and storms all around us for the last 18 hours - to the north, south, east and west.

Oh well, guess we were about due. Still very humid, so could be a late addition, but the models aren't excited.

(Edit: Suspect we were probably better off without some of those 100mm plus falls, given it's already quite wet here. A case of being careful what you wish for. Can't remember the last time I saw so many red dots on the rainfall and river heights map.)
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by Macedonian »

Back at work for the new year, just tipped out 44mm from the Bolobek gauge. That's for more than one day though. M/YTD here is now 77mm.
Some January's we don't record a drop or very very little.

I forgot to go look at the gauge at home before I left this morning. There was a long period of heavy thundery rain throughout the night.

Still pouring now.
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
Work- "Bolobek" at Macedon. 430m
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snowfall
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by snowfall »

Another 45mm here overnight and this morning. Could hear lots of thunder in the early hours, although it was mostly distant. That takes it to 88mm for the event. Frogs are chirping away, obviously loving our new wetlands.

It's still raining currently, although mostly light to moderate. Heavier rain now in east Central.
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by Gordon »

StratoBendigo wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 6:43 am Wow! Some flooding problems East of Bendigo this morning. Campaspe one to watch, although likely to have two peaks North of Eppalock given it hasn't spilled yet.

Quite a lot of road closures, especially around Heathcote and Redesdale. Messy.
Amazing how quickly rain like this lot can impact. Eppalock spilling and now a major flood warning in place for the Campaspe. http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/warnings/floo ... iver.shtml
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Skywalker
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by Skywalker »

Happy New Year all. First post for the year. :D

Arrived back from the island yesterday to a very sodden north western suburbs. We have had an incredible amount of rain for this time of the year. Up to 40mm since 9am yesterday & counting. Water everywhere on the roads including two flooded sections on the Ring Road near the Boundry Road exit. The flat volcanic clay soils just don't cope too well with this amount of rain in some parts.
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by snowfall »

It has been absolutely bucketing down over the past couple of hours. Really heavy, torrential stuff, with the rain coming up the south side of the ranges. We're now up to 96mm since midnight.
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Australis(Shell3155)
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

:? :o 9mm to midnight
87mm since midnight

They got my prediction Wrong !
And the day ain’t over yet. !
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Petros
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by Petros »

Its been a waiting game here in Nth Central Gippsland, in a rain lull this morning however tallied 10.5mm in overnight drizzle patches - 15.5mm for this event so far. Albiet EC is predicting heavy rain to set in here from basically now onwards.

Agree with HB re weak el nino/impact winter-spring/less impact summer/not a high impact on Vic rainfall. The issue is that the BOM do not effectively communicate this to the Vic media. They seem happy to plant "El Nino seeds" and let the MSmedia run off with alarmist predictions for the Victoria public (and unfortunately many farmers) to set off panic and expectations of dreadful fires to come etc.
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Blackee
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by Blackee »

Relentless rain in these parts. Passing through 90mm since this all started mid-morning yesterday. MTD already 140mm.
Was woken by loud thunder around 4am and torrential downpours with RR peaking at 158 mm/hr. It was disturbing to say the least :o
Mansfield 370m and Elwood
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James
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by James »

had some moderate thunder about 2.30am and bucketing rain...I dont have a gauge but the bucket i left outside overnight is almost full today, flooding around yard, everythings certainly saturated!
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Didjman
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by Didjman »

Parts of Seymour and Yea under evacuation warnings. Roads cut around here. Have had >20mm more here since 7am to add to the 86mm
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stevco123
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by stevco123 »

The one gauge 6 million people will be hearing about tonight and talk about has now passed 59mm for the event: the Melbourne CBD gauge.

Over a months' worth in 24 hours
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
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Didjman
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by Didjman »

113.1 here so far since 1000 yesterday - with radar showing the end in the next 2 hrs
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by StratoBendigo »

Campaspe River flood peak at Rochester expected tomorrow morning at around 114.8m.

Much lower than January 2011 and October 2022 floods (115.56m & 116m respectively).
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Australis(Shell3155)
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

[smention u=59]James[/smention]

This is one pretty local to you since midnight

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... 01-7/daily

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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by Dane »

Really big miss for Ballarat from this system, just 8.2mm's at Ballarat since
the rain started yesterday MTD is 27.8mm's.
I have recorded 7.4mm's here in Sebastopol so far MTD 52.4mm's.
Been overcast and misty all day with some slight drizzle at times.
Just over 1 mm since 9am.
Fizzer here
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by snowfall »

Surprised about Ballarat. I guess the rain bands for this system have not been especially mobile, with rain streaming over the same areas for hours.

The heavy rain has stopped here. It's just drizzle and thick fog now, which I expect will hang around for much of the afternoon. We're on a massive 111mm since midnight. Not surprising, there has been quite a few Vic emergency reports of flooding in the area.
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Didjman
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by Didjman »

We have mizzle now. Scorer stopped at 114.1 (sounds like a radio station lol).
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Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Post by StratoBendigo »

Bendigo broke a daily rainfall record with this event - 92mm in the 24 hours to 9am. That's with records going back to 1862.

Worth noting that it broke a record that's stood since March 1914 (a soft 87.6mm). In Kangaroo Flat we got 96mm in the April 2020 storm which ended the last drought.

Just 70mm at our place with this event. January total now 115mm.
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