Becoming cold, wet and windy with a front followed by a deep low: September 4-7

Post by **hillybilly** » Sun Sep 03, 2023 6:09 pm

Warm start to the week, followed by a series of fronts the last cutting off into a strong low. Big change in temperatures for the week, with 850Ts starting out in the low teen, dropping to around -5C over Tas and around -3C over Vic. System is probably the coldest for the year, so might finally see some lower level snow, but still looks probably too mild for spots like the Dandenongs. Heavy falls in the alps, should add a bit of life to the ski season at the higher resorts, at least for a week or so.

Will be a very wet system for coastal VIC, the alps and western Tasmania. Elsewhere, a lot depends on the details. Should be widespread and at least moderate falls.

Gordon · Post by **Gordon** » Mon Sep 04, 2023 5:43 pm

Just noticed this thread - posted in the wrong one!

EC has snow to 600m asl around here on Friday evening. Latest BOM 4 day synoptic charts certainly show a deep southerly fetch at the end of the week, which usually means low level snow... although I've thought we were a chance a few times this winter and nothing happened, so don't take that to the bank

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Post by **hillybilly** » Mon Sep 04, 2023 6:48 pm

Turning into quite a dumper for east central as picked by the progs. Funny, looking at radar earlier would not have expected it.

This whole sequence looks like an east central to eastern ranges special. Heavy falls. Patchier elsewhere and not a lot in the northwest. Western tas will get bucket loads. Eastern areas depend a lot on the position of the low but currently looks good.

Watch for some low level snow on the backside, most likely on eastern VIC and south/east Tasmania. Could then be some really nasty frosts early next week. The record warmth has bring slot of flowering towards so could be damaging.

Pengaz · Post by **Pengaz** » Mon Sep 04, 2023 8:01 pm

Yep, been pouring here since sunset. Looks like most amateur stations around here have already clocked up over 10mm.

Came through in a big gusty change late this afternoon.

Looking like a wetter week for us after a magic weekend.

Lucia · Post by **Lucia** » Tue Sep 05, 2023 9:05 am

A very welcome 20mls here in Lilydale this morning, will need another 1000 gallons to be full.

Gordon · Post by **Gordon** » Tue Sep 05, 2023 9:19 am

Great falls to the east!

'Only' 5mm here, but that's about double the forecast, so a good result.

Post by **Blackee** » Tue Sep 05, 2023 11:09 am

Just 4mm here with a few more reasonable showers this morning and it's cold again after yesterday's summer-like early in the day temps.

Australis(Shell3155) · Tue Sep 05, 2023 12:30 pm

16.30 yesterday
1.30 so far today.
Gravel for less than a split second.
9deg. Fresh. After over 22c yesterday

Pengaz · Post by **Pengaz** » Tue Sep 05, 2023 12:49 pm

19mm from last nights heavy rain, which stopped around midnight.

Have had some beefy showers including hail this morning to add another mm or so to the gauge. Much colder out there today.

Petros · Post by **Petros** » Tue Sep 05, 2023 2:21 pm

18mm from overnight rain and a midnight brief storm, much needed. Heard of 25mm at Briagalong.

StratoBendigo · Post by **StratoBendigo** » Tue Sep 05, 2023 2:26 pm

Just 1mm overnight here. 14-15c max temp today after a chilly 0c this morning.

snowfall · Post by **snowfall** » Tue Sep 05, 2023 8:31 pm

Great result for east central. Way too rain shadowed here with all the wind, so just a very modest 1.4mm yesterday.

Feeling spring-like here now, with many trees starting to leaf up and flowers in bloom. A little burst of cooler weather later this week after having almost 20c on Sunday; the typical variations in maximum temps now increasing as we head out of winter.

Post by **hillybilly** » Tue Sep 05, 2023 9:30 pm

Just a mm down in Howden. Was never a system for us.

The main event is building in the bight. Unfortunately it’s starting to peak further west and possibly slide which will drag the heaviest falls over the ocean west of Tasmania. Hopefully it can edge a bit further west as we really need an event.

Nice cool weekend, but back to warmth next week

StratoBendigo · Post by **StratoBendigo** » Wed Sep 06, 2023 9:39 am

Two frosts in a row here. -1c this morning and now cloud drifiting across.

Friday will probably be the strongest dose of polar-modified air all winter. Fleetingly....

Post by **hillybilly** » Wed Sep 06, 2023 7:53 pm

System looks very windy, but slips south at the wrong spot. Only 100-200km form this been a good rain producer and being a bit of a fizzer. Expecting it to land in between. Some lower level snow, but not the snow to sea level system for Tas and 500m it was looking like.

Next week looks horrible for early spring. Early season warmth inbound. EC has 850Ts nearly 20C above average, and 35C in Mildura

QldTwister · Post by **QldTwister** » Wed Sep 06, 2023 10:24 pm

Weekend was just stunning wasnt it just wow loved it sunny so good
Acess C nailed Monday nights event with soaking for east central into gippy but little elsewhere.

Mild again today and tomorrow ahead of the front, could be some storms about in the north then showers then rainband here howling Nly so wont be as much then low really ramps up near bombs tomorrow night then cold wet windy

Fri will be coldest day of winter lol showers hail thunder gales huge seans wrap around low level snow heavy in the miuntions full polar blast
Next Friday could be hot and sunny lol

Next 48 hours lots of weather for us all 4 seasons so get out and enjoy

Classic strong spring front with 35c in NSW ahead of it below 10 on the coast behind it damaging winds, rain, hail, snow, storms, with it and huge waves.

Macedonian · Post by **Macedonian** » Thu Sep 07, 2023 10:55 am

Tomorrow is looking nippy.

: Screenshot_20230907-105351_Chrome.jpg (442.99 KiB) Viewed 1031 times

Australis(Shell3155) · Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:19 pm

Winds died down for now..
What’s next…
Pouring concrete tomorrow fingers crossed it blows it self out tonight..

Post by **Blackee** » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:39 pm

Just had a single decent flag here. Solid rain now. Hope it lasts for a little while at least

Gordon · Post by **Gordon** » Thu Sep 07, 2023 8:08 pm

Healthy rain here this afternoon with another forecast-beating 10mm plus (still raining).

Some scary gusts late afternoon, but wind seems to have backed off over the last couple of hours.

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Becoming cold, wet and windy with a front followed by a deep low: September 4-7

Becoming cold, wet and windy with a front followed by a deep low: September 4-7

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