Warm week with troughs, showers, storms Nov 7 - 13th

[tonycynic]

Looks like a couple had updated but most hadn’t, looks like it is all fixed now. Forecast rain for here has increased for tomorrow and more for next weekend too. Waiting for the lawn to dry out a bit longer.

[James]

I havent been on this board for a long time, but it seems like the same old things are happening, fizzers!, lost count of the times severe storms / storms of any kind forecast for here and so far nothing.

Whats wrong with the forecasts these days?

Are these "severe storms" (with tornados) going to eventuate still? or too late now the sun is going down?

[stevco123]

I havent been on this board for a long time, but it seems like the same old things are happening, fizzers!, lost count of the times severe storms / storms of any kind forecast for here and so far nothing.

Whats wrong with the forecasts these days?

Are these "severe storms" (with tornados) going to eventuate still? or too late now the sun is going down?

Today was never going to happen in my opinion. You can look at models all you want, but sometimes real time observations are the way to go. It was game over the moment mid level cloud moved in this morning and the wind picked up.

There is still the chance but any development so far has been fast moving, impulsive and short lived.

Expecting a lot more when air flow goes Southwesterly this week

[BigTom]

Storms now firing up in the west of the state! Hopefully this gives central a chance to see a flash or 2 tonight

[Didjman]

They are forming along a dry line:

http://realtime.bsch.com.au/index.html? ... p=#nav#nav

[hillybilly]

Cold rainy one down here under thick cloud. Looks like a very wet three days ahead. Could see heavy snowfalls on Tuesday with a polar low hitting the Tasman sea. EC has heavy sleet to near sea level with 50cm at 500m. Not sure I quite believe that, but is a pretty extreme set up.

Melbourne’s storm’s killed by mid and high cloud. Should still see something in an hour or two on the trough.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Welcome Back James. …. !

Happy not to have the storms as I was expecting today,
Some of the reports from recent events seem extreme.

[James]

Welcome Back James. …. !

Happy not to have the storms as I was expecting today,
Some of the reports from recent events seem extreme.

Well yes, but as happens every year i put all the plants undercover, the models had severe storms from 4am this morning, but of course nothing happens.

I actually went out and put them all back this evening and had to water them grrr

[Didjman]

Welcome Back James. …. !

Happy not to have the storms as I was expecting today,
Some of the reports from recent events seem extreme.

Same on Friday. From the CBD 1000 ft up (flr 36 of Suncorp Building), I saw 90 deg wind shear. Glad overcast killed any development on that one!

[Dc449]

Nice looking flashes over the bay, hoping it continues to grow our way (CBD)

[Dane]

Heavy rain Thunder and Lightning here now.
Up to 6mm's now

[Adam38]

Very heavy rain has woken me up, absolutely pouring down!! 20mm in very quick time so far…

[Adam38]

40mm overnight,,, up to 110mm so far

[Australis(Shell3155)]

3.45am thunder.
Now just nice light rain. Under 4mm. Tipping it could add up..
everything is that vibrant green.

[StratoBendigo]

All south of here this morning. Ballarat to Geelong seems to be copping it. Only 4mm here overnight so we've dodged a bullet.

[Lara_Hunter]

Didn’t expect to see 40mm overnight. Lots of water around Lara.

[Pengaz]

A couple of mm overnight, but now it’s pouring down in Warragul as that rain mass extends eastwards.

Some impressive falls in the Geelong area and Mornington peninsula, we might end up in a similar position of this keeps up.

[Didjman]

23 mm here since Friday

[samboz]

34mm in Sale for the last few days, 1mm since 0900 yesterday(Sun 13/10) despite the BUM forecast of
HEAVY rain all day.
Hearing FIZZER being mentioned, be pretty right about the forecast.

[snowfall]

A further 15mm here since last night, bringing the MTD to 50mm.

Had one huge thunder clap in the evening from a nearby lightning strike, but otherwise most of the lightning activity was more distant. A nice evening show though. A few coldish days coming up...