Big rain event 12-14 October

[Didjman]

16-18mm here so far

[stevco123]

I was going to write it seems to be clearing, but then had another look at the radar and saw that it is building from the northwest

[Wilko]

Yes we are in a bit of a rain shadow now in Melbourne
However the rain will spread from NW later today
5mm already...didn’t expect that

[hillybilly]

Falls already approaching 40mm on the northern slopes in north central. Off to a rapid start. Just about to start in northern Tasmania.

Southern Tasmania is calm with cirrus and a bit of Sc Not our type of event.

[StratoBendigo]

25mm in Round One. It's eased off now until the next barrage...

Upper end of SES forecast is for Campaspe River to get close to 2011 level at 15.3m at Rochester.

[Pengaz]

6.5mm of nice steady soaking rain here so far.

Was quite mild over night and feels tropical outside despite only being 14c.

[Tassiedave]

Emergency Services press conference just now in Tassie. Concerns over big falls in the north. Could be up to 250mm in the Great Western tiers in 24 hours.

[snowfall]

3mm so far here, with some rain shadowing taking place. Quite happy for it not to be a deluge given how wet everything already is!

Hope people in northern parts are doing OK.

[dazrain]

Temp wise the warmest it’s been this month is only 22.2

I’m thinking we won’t crack 25 for October.

Would be very unusual for that not to happen in Melbourne in October surely ??

[Skywalker]

BOM frantically updating forecasts, and spreading the SWW for heavy rainfall across most of the state, with damaging winds now added for elevated areas.

The one saving grace of the original forecast for Thursday was lack of strong winds - looks like we've lost that .

Any windy filth is going to make things extremely dangerous in elevated areas such as the Dandenong's. It's definitely something we don't need right now.

3-4mm has fallen so far here at work. Been pretty steady light to moderate rain so far.

[Wilko]

Rainbow radar starting to show thunderstorms
Could be quite the event

[StratoBendigo]

Yeah, that line of storms near Swan Hill looks to be packing a punch. Also of note is that Mildura is currently 24c.

[jimmyay]

Pouring in town again. It’s set in for a while.

[Didjman]

19.4mm for round 1 here.

[stevco123]

VEEERRYYY annoying BoM doesn't put overnight forecast totals in their forecasts. So 30 to 50mm tomorrow for example, but what about tonight?

[jimmyay]

Notice they’d amended their Wednesday totals for Melb from 3-8 to 5-10 mm. Given the city has already has 10mm today with (presumably) more incoming in coming hours - radar starting to fill in again - we are indeed left wondering!!

[Gordon]

Yes, plenty of double-figure falls across Melbourne already.

Only just starting here. However, 30mm in 90 minutes to 4pm at Mt William hints at what's lurking out west.

[Tassiedave]

Rain forecast Thursday: Sheffield 150-200mm, Deloraine 120-200mm, Scottsdale 120-200mm, Devonport 80-120mm, Exeter 80-120mm, Burnie 80-120mm. The higher of these ranges would be all time 24 hr records in some cases. For example the Scottsdale record is just 110mm.

[Skywalker]

VEEERRYYY annoying BoM doesn't put overnight forecast totals in their forecasts. So 30 to 50mm tomorrow for example, but what about tonight?

Since when has the BOM made sense about anything they do.

[StratoBendigo]

Bendigo's Daily October rain record is a very soft 57mm (28/10/1892). But given tomorrow's rain will likely straddle across the 9am cutoff that record is probably safe.