Vic - potential rain in the east from an inland low 5-8/1/22

Adam38 · Post by **Adam38** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 4:52 pm

The main Melbourne forecast has dropped the “possibility severe” thunderstorms from its latest forecast… yet a possibly dangerous one is moving in from the west…

Gordon · Post by **Gordon** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 4:52 pm

Lara_Hunter wrote: ↑Fri Jan 07, 2022 4:18 pm Just heard my first distant rumble from the west of us.

I took this photo whilst fishing yesterday of one of the storms that hit Lara around 5pm.. I had a few phone calls from the concerned wife asking whether I was coming back in or not..

What could possibly go wrong?

Spectacular pic!

I see that latest STW rates the Bannockburn storm as very dangerous, and it is indeed forecast to move east, even slightly ENE.

James · Post by **James** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 4:57 pm

Adam38 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 07, 2022 4:52 pm The main Melbourne forecast has dropped the “possibility severe” thunderstorms from its latest forecast… yet a possibly dangerous one is moving in from the west…

there is where i feel concerned its mostly automated...and in these situations highlight how manual intervention and updating regularly is important

Wilko · Post by **Wilko** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:00 pm

The BOM on the radio announced the cell near Lara is extremely dangerous with hail more than 8cm
Keep a close eye on the radar folks extremely volatile situation Evolving

stevco123 · Post by **stevco123** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:01 pm

Hook echo showing on several frames by the look of it. Just wow

weathergasm · Post by **weathergasm** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:01 pm

Wilko wrote: ↑Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:00 pm The BOM on the radio announced the cell near Lara is extremely dangerous with hail more than 8cm
Keep a close eye on the radar folks extremely volatile situation Evolving

Yep, that storm could do anything from collapsing over Werribee to consolidating and moving right over the CBD and eastern suburbs. Very volatile indeed. Could end up being a long track supercell.

Edit: just looked out my west-facing window here in Box Hill and that thing looks like something you’d see over Texas in spring. A massive anvil covering the south-west horizon. Careful what you wish for…

Australis(Shell3155) · Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:15 pm

Totally off Topic..
anyone run Into the food shortages around. ?
Well not me..but there is whisper around..
especially country..
have spoken to 3 country friends and they had noticed the shortages..

tonycynic · Post by **tonycynic** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:16 pm

The latest radar frame looks like we may have a problem. Have noticed shortages too, stocking up.

stevco123 · Post by **stevco123** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:17 pm

Awesome view from here towards that Lara storm too. Definitely has that Oklahoma supercell look to it

Mike · Post by **Mike** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:18 pm

stevco123 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:17 pm Awesome view from here towards that Lara storm too. Definitely has that Oklahoma supercell look to it

It does somewhat, mature part being obscured here by huge new growth on its north side

Gordon · Post by **Gordon** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:19 pm

Australis(Shell3155) wrote: ↑Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:15 pm Totally off Topic..
anyone run Into the food shortages around. ?
Well not me..but there is whisper around..
especially country..
have spoken to 3 country friends and they had noticed the shortages..

No shortages up this way... yet.

WeatherViewer · Post by **WeatherViewer** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:28 pm

Crossing Truganina 10 minutes ago

mick · Post by **mick** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:29 pm

WOW Ive just landed at Moorabbin and If I was living in Mornington I would be worried.
Stay safe, the bomb is about to drop.

WeatherViewer · Post by **WeatherViewer** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:30 pm

Smashing down here now!!!

Mike · Post by **Mike** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:32 pm

WeatherViewer wrote: ↑Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:28 pm Crossing Truganina 10 minutes ago

This is the view a few minutes ago all the way from Woodend with original cell highlighted

: DSC_0001copy.jpg (353.63 KiB) Viewed 4379 times

Attempt at showing scale with edge of Mt Macedon shown

: DSC_0002copy.JPG (114.66 KiB) Viewed 4379 times

SC. · Post by **SC.** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:37 pm

Cell over the bay.

: IMG_20220107_165256 (2).jpg (935.13 KiB) Viewed 4352 times

Cell past Rosebud

stevco123 · Post by **stevco123** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:40 pm

10 bucks says the bay will kill it before it gets to the other side, and then redevelop in some unheard of forest town 100km to the east of Melbourne

mick · Post by **mick** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:50 pm

stevco123 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:40 pm 10 bucks says the bay will kill it before it gets to the other side, and then redevelop in some unheard of forest town 100km to the east of Melbourne

Yers, its called Pakenham, always reforms there.

Australis(Shell3155) · Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:52 pm

That cell hasn’t died much.. about to hit the city

Wilko · Post by **Wilko** » Fri Jan 07, 2022 5:56 pm

This radar is seriously doing my head in
Moving in all directions

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Vic - potential rain in the east from an inland low 5-8/1/22

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Re: Vic - potential rain in the east from an inland low 5-8/1/22

Re: Vic - potential rain in the east from an inland low 5-8/1/22

Re: Vic - potential rain in the east from an inland low 5-8/1/22