But that's exactly my point, nobody really knows, its not predictable to that level, yet we still have forecasts and models and other things that really achieve (in the scheme of things) a narrow range of probability to what actually turned out to happen. But we still seem to feel we can trust them, and plan by them etc to a greater level than it can offer in reality.weathergasm wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 4:36 pm The weather is difficult to predict, guy. Particularly the track and speed of low pressure systems. The BOM can’t just look at what the model ensemble is telling them will happen and say “well, the last few times it said Melbourne would receive 25mm it didn’t happen so let’s just cut the forecast rainfall in half!”
That’s a great photo. Which spot exactly? Higher parts of the mid north in SA used to have a climate more more like central highlands of Victoria with pretty frequent snowfalls, but they’ve become a fair bit rare. Some cracking historical photos from those parts. Snow in a dry landscape always looks special.mick wrote: ↑Fri Oct 16, 2020 8:16 pm HaHa well I hope all is well with you all in Vic. Some storms coming.
Since I moved to mid north SA, we have had more rain than when I was in Melb. Then I went to 90 mile beach and nearly died of Dehydration.
2 Weeks ago we had snow, lovely snow of the type the Macedonians post, I was so excited I made Karl of the old days look tame.
Main camera, flat battery, phone flat battery, back up cam, card wouldnt work. So I didnt capture much to see until after daylight, but to the naked eye 3am to 8 am was superb.
First time Ive held falling snow in my hand. Sorry for late report and wrong topic. Leave pass requested.IMG_0039 [1280x768].JPG