VIC - Warming trend with dangerous fire WX followed by rain - 27 Jan - 3 Feb 2020

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Scoresby Topped @42.2 @ 4.40
Still 42 @ 5.50
Relief was being under cloud most of the morning and just before mid afternoon.
Then whamo - Filth..
slight relief last 10 minutes with more cloud cover...
Got washing off early am just in case, but false alarm.
3 loads done and not dusted...

[mick]

Putrid day out there. Since when do you have 43C, dumping rainstorm then, 40C in Melbourne? This is just getting silly TBH. In the not seen before stakes, today is the first day on which Melbourne, Canberra and Hobart have all reached 40C. It would have also been a record hot day in Canberra (if not for the heatwave a couple of weeks back).

Progs starting to get jump. Heavy falls west, but can't agree on central and east. Feels like we could get 5 or 50mm. This is the pattern showing up back in SA with big falls next to near zero falls

All I can say is that whats going to hit, isnt even a blip on the radar yet.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Kangaroo Island 54mm
Yep.. thinks your right Mick..

[weathergasm]

BOM seem to think the system will peter out fairly significantly by the time it passes over the ranges to the east of Melbourne. That said, there remains a fairly incredible amount of moisture for this system to draw on and it cannot be ruled out that the system will have retained a lot of its strength by the time it gets to Melbourne.

Just a matter of watching and waiting. Definitely way too early to interpret a bit of a wobble and uncertainty in the models to mean this will be a fizzer for central areas.

[Adam38]

Still 42c here... a bushfire has broken out just to the west of me in Pentland Hills, keeping a close eye on that!!

[Tassiedave]

Tas temps today: Hobart Airport 41.4 (new all time record), Campania 40.7, Ouse 40.6, Hobart 40.4, Fingal 38.4, Strahan 38.2, Launceston 35.9, Devonport 29.8

[Horts]

Had a couple of heavy mud showers down here this arvo. Still bloody hot. Loving it!

[mick]

147 kph at Fawkner Beacon? Gimme a break please!
Cmon folks, use common sense and do not pass on this rubbish.

[Sean]

Will the front have enough oomph to push it east, that’s the question.. If not, it’s all going to slip south and end up in the trade winds

The atmosphere is sodden. It would be a damn waste if it doesn’t at least unload over western areas.

Wait and see

[Supercellimpact]

Screw this heat. Sweaty and vile. Hopefully we get some storms to cool it down a bit.

[Tassiedave]

The wind just blew the bails off at the MCG.

[Horts]

Pretty epic squall line came through here just now!

[hillybilly]

147 kph at Fawkner Beacon? Gimme a break please!
Cmon folks, use common sense and do not pass on this rubbish.

Wouldn’t discount it. The wind was crazy in Docklands with the storm. Easy 40 knots. Looked like snow it was so wind driven.

Never seen anything like it.

Had a few rumbling cells here with a couple of attempts at rain. All high based splats.

Hoping tomorrow delivers as today has hammered the garden despite all the rain this month. Not wilted, just scorching.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

All my warnings are " tree down Rowville " " tree down Rowville "
Bit of thunder, nothing more, open doors close doors, open..

[StratoBendigo]

147 kph at Fawkner Beacon? Gimme a break please!
Cmon folks, use common sense and do not pass on this rubbish.

Refer 4:06pm
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDV60801 ... 5872.shtml

[Horts]

Yeah Fawkner Beacon wouldn't be far off, you was intense here.

Had the house opened up and knocked over all my indoor plants, she packed a punch!

[hillybilly]

Tidbit from a Friend...

The Fawkner Beacon gust is the equal second-strongest on record in the Melbourne area. The highest (154 km/h at Laverton on 14 January 1985) was also on an extremely hot day (43.7 there).

Prefrontal trough has pushed through here and a chilly 24C

Radar is starting to get interesting for Vic.

[Gordon]

Yes BOM did tweet that Fawkner gust, though it's gone from the current 'examples' in the STW.

A few spots here so far; best part is the temp dropping in to the 20s about 8pm and staying there. Was a ridiculous 37C at 6pm!

[snowfall]

Feeling very muggy outside - currently 22.0/18.6c. Have had a few heavy showers, but they’re moving quickly so they have only amounted to 2.6mm.

Adelaide is already on 21mm, with some more heavy stuff on its way.

[Didjman]

Currently 25/18 here after a max of 42C - at 1000ft ASL.