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Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020

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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by Horts »

Absolutely putrid outside.

Driving to work visibility was down to around 50m at the back of Mornington on Peninsula Link.

Whole office stinks.
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by snowfall »

Smoky one here as well, although it sounds like it might be thicker further east. Currently 24c and DP 14.7c. Certainly feels humid out there. Not expecting any showers/storms to crop out here today, but tomorrow is looking interesting. One problem with the smoke haze is that it’s impossible to see whether any convection is happening.
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by Didjman »

Thats where satpic is handy ;)
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by Jake Smethurst »

Horribly disgusting out there! Shocking visibility earlier and the humidity is just making it feel even worse. Can't wait for these conditions to be gone (not likely until later tomorrow).

At least we have possible storms to keep us distracted over the next little while :)
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by Tassiedave »

Smoke now in the Tamar Valley near Launceston. A warm 28.4 degrees.
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by Skywalker »

Horrible, disgusting, filthy, dirty, smelly, disgracefully pathetic conditions out there (how did I go with that one?) :P
We were at Highpoint SC & the smoke has even made it's way in there. :o
It's certainly not much fun walking the dog & cycling to work at present (no choice there either, thanks to the current westgate tunnel works).
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Anything on tomorrow?
Storm chart looks great to the north.
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by Supercellimpact »




Nice, Bendigo is right in the middle.
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by occluded »

GFS 00Z doesn't seem too interested in any storm action here for tomorrow, maybe a seabreeze killing it off? OCF has 13mm though so happy to be proven wrong.

Having said that, after today I'll take any non-Easterly wind we can get to blow this muck away. Two days off the bike in conditions which would otherwise be almost ideal, if not for the rubbish in the air :|

(Edited: to -> too)
Last edited by occluded on Wed Jan 15, 2020 9:26 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by hillybilly »

Hot humid one here today, and smoky. Has thinned a bit this arvo, but still about as bad as I’ve ever seen (outside of this summer).

Only sparse showers today up near the border. Tomorrow is when it starts to crank with widespread slow moving showers and storms. Anticipate it will initially focus in north central but spread southeast during the day and through the evening. Progs all showing locally heavy falls. Then days of showers and storms. GFs, EC and CMC allow showing multi day totals north of 50mm widepread and locally past 100mm. This is a pretty unusual event so has lots of potential to deliver substantial falls. At this point thinking we should get at least 80mm in the Nongs.
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by Tassiedave »

Tas temps today: Launceston 30.4, Cressy 30.4, Ouse 29.2, Sheffield 27.5, Devonport 24.3, Hobart 22.8, St Helens 19.1
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by StratoBendigo »

EC for Monday is ummm.... Bonkers.
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by Tassiedave »

StratoBendigo wrote: Tue Jan 14, 2020 8:39 pm EC for Monday is ummm.... Bonkers.
As in lots of rain StratoBendigo?
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by Sean »

Ready for this smoke to clear off. Felt okay most of the day, but by the end of it I had an irritated throat and eyes.

Anyone lucky enough to catch themselves under a storm over the next few days is in store for quite the deluge... :D
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Champing for a week,
This wasn't on the cards. Although I did pack one rain coat as it is Melbourne
Victoria,
Prefer no storms while in a tent.. thanks.
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by James »

hmm I'll reserve my excitement until i actually see it happening, too many let downs in the past even though conditions have been ideal...some of the best storms or weather have been when it hasn't been predicted!
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by 93ben »

Skywalker wrote: Tue Jan 14, 2020 5:29 pm We were at Highpoint SC & the smoke has even made it's way in there. :o
It's certainly not much fun walking the dog & cycling to work at present (no choice there either, thanks to the current westgate tunnel works).
I was at Northland SC and there was smoke in there too! Then I saw a cyclist with a gas mask on!
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by hillybilly »

Looks good for today. All models on board for widespread showers and storms (apart from far west). Should be big, wet and slow moving. As always will be winners and losers. Should fire up in west central to north central/Wimmera and move southeast during the arvo. Peaks over Melbourne late arvo.

Smoke is awful out there this morning. Hopefully today’s rain goes someway toward wetting down smoky forests out east :?
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by Dane »

Tracker already picking up some lightning to the far south of here just North of Cape Otway.
Cant see the clouds because of the Thick Smoke Haze.
Very dry around here - hope we get some Rain later
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Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Post by Tassiedave »

ACCESS-G AND GFS vary a bit on how Sunday/Monday will play out with the positioning of the LOW. Looking further ahead I might have to get the winter clothing ready for around 24/1 with a cold blast coming up from the south.
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