Welcome New Members! We want to hear from you. Register, stop lurking and start posting!

VIC - Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15 2019

Archived Weather Events since 2009.
If you have any valuable content to add to any locked thread, please PM board moderator.
Online
G
Gordon
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 2878
Joined: Thu Jun 17, 2010 10:01 am
Location: Near Gordon, Vic. 620 m asl

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by Gordon »

Looking good for you JS; here, we're 29mm short of our June average, so we'll be lucky to make that tomorrow being in the lee of the Divide this time.

Edit- nice to see a Floodwatch for minor flooding for NE Vic catchments - I mean that in a positive way!
S
Sean
Cumulonumbus Calvas
Reactions:
Posts: 999
Joined: Mon Feb 27, 2012 6:35 pm
Location: Patterson Lakes - SE Melb

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by Sean »

Judging by those charts, I'll only see 10-15mm (if that) :|

Better than nothing and at least more desperate areas will do well :)
T
Tassiedave
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 1098
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2010 11:09 am
Location: Grindelwald Tasmania

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by Tassiedave »

Tas temps today: Friendly Beaches 19.3, Fingal 18.6, Hobart Airport 18.3,St Helens 18.1, Hobart 17.6, Launceston 16.9. Hobart average temperature first 11 days of June 14.2 degrees. Long term June average 12.0
User avatar
hillybilly
Site Admin/Moderator
Reactions:
Posts: 4964
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Howden Tasmania, 25m above sea level
Contact:

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by hillybilly »

Looks like mainly a northwest and northeast system to me. Northcentral might also do very well. Suspect falls will peak in the 50-100mm range which is notable for June which rarely throws up big totals. Bit to fast for us in the south and upslide isn’t great. Should still see 20mm here, but with a tweak would have delivered a good 50mm.

Bit of a shame to see a once in 20+ year humidity spike pass through and not quite have the forcing to deliver here :?

Back to winter next week if the latest EC verifies :D
s
snowfall
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 1277
Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2017 7:39 pm
Location: Gisborne South (349m asl)

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by snowfall »

Great to see it’s still fairly widespread, especially in the north where rain is really needed. I don’t think we’ll fare too well here with the strong north westerly, which tends to produce a sharp rain shadow this side of the ranges. It’s already very windy, with gusts above 40km/h.
Q
QldTwister
Cumulonimbus
Reactions:
Posts: 424
Joined: Tue May 22, 2012 7:56 pm
Location: Ashwood Vic

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by QldTwister »

Happy to miss out here so those in the W, NW, NC, NE, can score and enjoy a real solid widespread soaker VERY much needed for those parts

Rain blowing up in SA right on cue, wet morning and day for much of Vic great event

But yeah if the upper trough was amplifyig and not falling over WOW at the rain we could of had with this.

REGARDLESS still a big widespread rain event for Vic with possiblely a months worth of rain falling in 6 hours in parts of W and NW Vic which will be UNREAL for crops in the ground

Great 24 hours for many enjoy
Bring on the heat and stroms
User avatar
Australis(Shell3155)
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 3142
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2009 8:05 pm
Location: FTG
Contact:

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Radar looks good in the West,
I'm tipping if I'm quick I'll get 2 loads washing dry before it arrives.
And what puddles, there disappeared overnight..
User avatar
hillybilly
Site Admin/Moderator
Reactions:
Posts: 4964
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Howden Tasmania, 25m above sea level
Contact:

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by hillybilly »

Getting really gusty up here atm. Got a flight to Canberra just before lunch which will be a bit of a white knuckle ride :D

Fantastic falls back through SA. Plenty of spots in the mid north/flinders close to a months worth of rain already. Be great for the country and farmers up there. Some amazing DPs with spots showing values in the 14-16 range. Will now spread similar totals across northern Vic. This event will be worth heaps - I recall being told that croppers need about 150mm of rain for a wheat crop. This should deliver about 1/4 to 1/5 of that for many spots :D

Still thinking about 20mm here.

Only downer will be in the alps where this will wash the ski season out. Will be little snow left by Thursday.
J
JasmineStorm
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 1870
Joined: Thu Sep 22, 2016 9:40 pm
Location: Kyneton 527 ASL

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by JasmineStorm »

Sparks to the NW and SW of here. 300 km/h Jet stream starting to work its magic.
H
Hawker
Cumulonimbus
Reactions:
Posts: 410
Joined: Tue Jul 10, 2012 7:49 pm
Location: Castlemaine

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by Hawker »

Thunder starting to become more frequent, better stick my head outside
and have a look. Could be an interesting day
S
StratoBendigo
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 2802
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2015 2:18 pm
Location: Kangaroo Flat

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by StratoBendigo »

Storms more to our SW as usual. Interesting to see Mildura at 21c at 7:00am. This is one tropical airmass. Not surprising since it was 36c in Wyndham WA yesterday (where this air is coming from).
A
Adam38
Cumulonimbus
Reactions:
Posts: 483
Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2018 1:57 pm
Location: Bacchus Marsh

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by Adam38 »

It’s very mild this morning, rain coming down here now and I thought I heard a rumble of thunder too.
S
StratoBendigo
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 2802
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2015 2:18 pm
Location: Kangaroo Flat

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by StratoBendigo »

5mm since 7:30am. It seems to be setting in for the day.

Some impressive rainfall totals in South Australia. Over 50mm in the Adelaide Hills and almost as much in the wheat growing areas around Lameroo etc.
J
JasmineStorm
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 1870
Joined: Thu Sep 22, 2016 9:40 pm
Location: Kyneton 527 ASL

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by JasmineStorm »

Rumbles earlier, 6mm and ticking over here. Widespread non mountainous gravity wave clouds above Victoria at the moment, the Jet stream is going into overdrive :)
W
Wilko
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 1488
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 12:08 pm
Location: Moorabbin & Highett, Vic

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by Wilko »

Yep hard to get too exited down my neck of the woods with that Donut overhead :x
User avatar
occluded
Cumulonumbus Calvas
Reactions:
Posts: 611
Joined: Tue May 04, 2010 3:26 pm
Location: Mooroolbark 130m asl

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by occluded »

A couple of mm just before 9am here, otherwise that rainshadow is playing out as per the ACCESS C charts :x Already waiting for the next event.

At least the NW and N of the state will get some well-needed rain.
User avatar
hillybilly
Site Admin/Moderator
Reactions:
Posts: 4964
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Howden Tasmania, 25m above sea level
Contact:

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by hillybilly »

A quick 2mm with that first burst in FC. Now waiting for the rainband proper. At the airport ATM where the lee rainshadow is obvious with a patch of bright white surrounded by a ring of grey.

Just a stunning set up. Expect plenty of records to be set across daily high rainfalls, high mins, high maxs and high humidity. A few tidbits I've spotted in a quick scan.

Late-season heat records at Oodnadatta Airport in SA 31.6C and at Giles in WA 29.4C, 62 year of data. Record high June minimum at Alice Springs 21.8C. Record daily rainfall for Port August 31.6mm. Near miss on the Darwin June record and Australian June record (both about 1C).
S
Skywalker
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 1869
Joined: Sun Nov 29, 2009 10:03 am
Location: Burnside Heights/Cowes (Home) & Sunshine West (Work)

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by Skywalker »

Wilko wrote: Wed Jun 12, 2019 9:41 am Yep hard to get too exited down my neck of the woods with that Donut overhead :x
I was about to say, that is certainly one impressive looking Donut on the radar. :P
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
s
stevco123
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 2935
Joined: Sat Aug 07, 2010 7:42 pm
Location: Cranbourne 78m asl

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by stevco123 »

It's been backbuilding the whole morning here, giving me 3mm so far. According to the radar, 10km up the road is dry, thanks to that hole. Interesting...
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
W
Wilko
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 1488
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 12:08 pm
Location: Moorabbin & Highett, Vic

Re: Sequence of fronts with possible low: June 9-15

Post by Wilko »

Skywalker wrote: Wed Jun 12, 2019 9:57 am
Wilko wrote: Wed Jun 12, 2019 9:41 am Yep hard to get too exited down my neck of the woods with that Donut overhead :x
I was about to say, that is certainly one impressive looking Donut on the radar. :P
Ahh fingers crossed it looks like the hole is becoming a “Jam Donut”
Locked