VIC - Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May 2019

[StratoBendigo]

Dew point is a crazy 14.7c atm. The last time we had such tropical air over us in the month of May was the night of the 2003 tornado which damaged about 50 homes....

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2003-05-19/ ... es/1855740

It's currently partly cloudy but the air is heavy and something's going to happen tonight. EC still suggesting 40mm....

[WeatherViewer]

My old neighbourhood of Wyndham Vale and nearby Werribee is getting smashed. I don't think they forecast that!

[phunkster]

My old neighbourhood of Wyndham Vale and nearby Werribee is getting smashed. I don't think they forecast that!

Can confirm! Scored 8mm and plenty of rumbles from that cell that's strobing over the bay

[JasmineStorm]

Just missed the core of those earlier clusters but now up to 14mm. Springhill just SW of here now up to 35mm. Some nice snaking multicell clusters heading South to south west. That one heading over the bay is getting quite angry.

Nice flashback SB with 2003.

I've just checked the uppers for later on and in my opinion the BoM should issue a pre-emptive severe thunderstorm warning for areas east of the trough for the night hours. The jet stream is starting to power this outbreak. Central areas will have winds near 130 km/h at 850 hPa around 4am. Wet microbursts will do plenty of damage if they spawn.

[Horts]

Epic view on Safety Beach, going to stay dry however.. just!!

[Didjman]

Is that a V notch near the heads??

[Adam38]

Great downpour here, I was in Melbourne all day so I missed it. Plenty of water laying around in the paddocks between Melton and B.Marsh. Backyard is a muddy pond as I’ve yet to landscape it.

[JasmineStorm]

Is that a V notch near the heads??

Nice spotting Looks like the V notch signature is starting to appear of the 5.50pm frame near the south channel BoM ob.....and then the black core appears on the 6pm frame heading for Rosebud.


128km Doppler is detecting something nasty to my NW.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Watching the lightening in the distance (south)
Dry as a bone

[JasmineStorm]

This was red lining coming off the bay. Good old Arthurs seat might have blocked a few pixels on the radar echoes

[Sean]

Very Otway-centric atm. Hoping that something builds further east. A band looks to be building between Swan Hill and Deniliquin, which would stream down into central areas, but the last couple of sat frames shows signs of decay (lighting has already stopped).

[Didjman]

128km Doppler is detecting something nasty to my NW.

See what you mean JS!! NNW of Heathcote too

And also near the Nobbies

[Skywalker]

Ho hum, still nothing here.

[Didjman]

V Notch near the Nobbies near where the blue is on the 128k Doppler

[snowfall]

4mm so far today. Far west central seems to be doing well right now, with a steady stream showers coming down from the NNW. I’m still not confident how we will go here, given potential rain shadow effects and wherever convergence lines appear. Good to still have 4mm in the gauge anyhow, but we only managed 7mm in total for April, so lots of catching up to do! Quite mild at the moment - currently 17c with a 14c DP.

[Lara_Hunter]

Great light show over Geelong, especially for May!! Heavy showers here

[Rivergirl]

I’m in Bright. 40-80mm forecast for tomorrow

[Didjman]

whats that on Doppler between Lara and SheOaks?? Aberation??

[JasmineStorm]

whats that on Doppler between Lara and SheOaks?? Aberation??

Mesocyclone signature in my opinion. Radar showing a developing dangerous cell near Avalon on that Doppler signature. BoM have a STW on that cell now.

[Didjman]

Thx JS