Progs are messy, but generally promising. Multiple troughs, and timing of each will matter a lot for who gets storms. First approaches on Thursday with fairly isolated activity, second on Friday looks very activity with LI heading very negative (dropping to -4 to -7) in central and eastern areas, third one late Sunday into Monday with widespread showers and rain, and potentially another around Wednesday.
Totals add up, with falls locally approaching 50mm, but they are patchy so will be winners and losers
Friday looks very active for north central and east central through to the northeast. Timing of front is good (mid to late arvo). Could make for a very thundery arvo with big wet storms. EC is tending to show early showers and storms, clearing then more storms, which is the pretty classic set up for bigger events. Mid arvo dew points reach nearly 20C so plenty of moisture if things fire.