EC back on for a solid system after falling away on a couple of earlier runs. Looks quite good... general 10-30mm most southern areas, typically 10mm perhaps a bit more north, less as you head into the Mallee. GFS and CMC similar, though models are a bit jumpy from run to run.
Quite cold too. 850Ts below zero most the week so should drop quite a bit of snow in the alps. They look like dipping to about -2 to -3C at their coldest, so perhaps a bit for the top of Macedon and perhaps even down to the level of about Trentham. Looks a degree or two too mild for the Dandenongs.
Mild sunny day in FC with a bit of high cloud. Dying trough approaching atm with some decent showers back through SA, but starting to slip south.
Progs are pretty jumpy atm, so not quite sure what to expect the next few days rain wise. Tending to think this will favour the slopes, far west and coastal strip. With rainshowing quite an issue as the troughs are weak and tending to fade.
The Tasman sea is almost back to normal temperature - so hopefully the never-ending run of cut off lows in the Tasman which holds the high back over SE Australia and the bight will cease. Would be nice to get a run of fronts with some NW cloud bands which is looking more likely in June.
This system looks weak currently but may tide us over until something more substantial occurs.
Pleasantly surprised to be getting quite a string of moderate showers this morning - not a lot in total so far, but more than I was expecting this early, this far east.
Just had a shower of rain now the sun is out and the temp has spiked over 20c (hopefully for the last time in months). Ridiculous for late-May, although certainly not the heatwave that late-May 2014 was when we saw 23c.
June is usually the most boring winter month anyway (if you count winter as being from the 1st of the month). Late july to early September is what i look forward to.
All getting shredded crossing the ranges. Northern slopes and nearby plains may do alright overnight with around 10 mm in spots. Expect more wind and a gusty shower in Melbourne if you are lucky.
StratoBendigo wrote: ↑Tue May 29, 2018 7:29 am
We copped the bullseye of the storm around 2am last night. A very welcome 16mm in the gauge
That is good to hear Strato! 11mm here which is way more than I expected and brings our mtd to 105mm - beating our May record of 117mm is slim chance but pleasantly surprised to get this close.
Woke up a few times during the night to the sound of heavy rain. Totalled 7mm here, which is also more thann I had expected. I was expecting almost none!