True. They got Feb 2018 completely wrong in January's seasonal forecast. EC remains the outlier. Access-G focuses the rain just East of Melb and has not much at all here.Gordon wrote: ↑Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:26 am Yes I've been watching EC stick to this for a few days now, which would usually be enough to get me excited.
But the models have been so bad on rain lately, it's hard to be confident...
It is mildly interesting to see that the latest Climate Outlook http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/arc ... look.shtml has, after a horrible forecast at the start of March, flipped back to average rain for Vic or slightly above. But again, these Outlooks perform so poorly, I'm not about to bet money on it!
Thanks for the update Jasmine, disappointment plus, let's hope mother nature has a change of heartJasmineStorm wrote: ↑Tue Mar 20, 2018 6:29 am It's still lacking the moisture for this set up to go bang. Latest showing an Autumn coolish outbreak but its not getting a feed from the tropics. Showers but not proper rain. EX TC Marcus loses his puff and the Gulf TC not coming through the middle as its modelled at the moment.
Was in the models for a week or two out.. There’s no chance the coming winter will be record cold (or indeed cold compared to the average). I love cold snowy winter weather, but people thinking that’s going to happen are way too optimistic The last cold winter for OZ was way back in 1989.Slightly off topic but who was the guy the other day who predicted a cyclone for the top end?
The weather map every Australian should see - OverSixty
I predict that this guy is very good at self-promotion. Anyway, the wilder the prediction, the bigger the embarrassment when it's proved to be bogus.Lucia wrote: ↑Wed Mar 21, 2018 7:04 amThe weather map every Australian should see - OverSixty
https://www.oversixty.com.au/travel/dom ... hould-see/
Mar 7, 2018 - Australians are being warned to prepare for a winter freeze as creator of Brisbane Weather and East Coast Weather Facebook pages, David Taylor, predicts it to be the coldest winter on record. If David Taylor, who has correctly predicted major weather events in the past, is right again, then Australia could ...
Appears to be. There are caveats. Past data wasn’t recorded as frequently and isn’t all digitised.Please help. I have heard that today's pressure recorded in Ouse Tasmania of 1041.3 hPa is a record for Australia in March? Hobart reached 1041 hPa. Could someone verify this please?